Bahia Ba vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction 23 November 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Bahia and Vasco da Gama promises to be an exhilarating affair in Serie A. Bahia, currently sitting seventh in the standings, are eager to solidify their position and continue their push for a top-five finish. The team has shown fluctuating form, securing 4 victories in their last 10 matches. Vasco da Gama find themselves in 13th place, striving to steer clear of the relegation zone, with inconsistent results and just one win in their last five outings. An intense battle is expected, with both teams likely to focus on an attacking approach.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 24 September 2025 and ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Vasco da Gama were the home side):
- possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corners: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 20 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Bahia and Vasco da Gama:
- 28 matches played;
- home victories - 12, away victories - 10, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 43 for Bahia, 30 for Vasco da Gama;
- average goals in the first half - 1.32, second half - 1.29;
- average total goals per match - 2.61.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Vasco Da Gama

Bahia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Bahia hosting Fortaleza. The match ended in a 2-3 defeat for the hosts.
Here are the game statistics (Bahia vs Fortaleza):
- possession: 71% vs 29%;
- corners: 10 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 8 vs 5.
🔵 Bahia have endured a challenging run in their last five matches, suffering three defeats, securing one win, and earning a draw. Despite these results, they trail the eighth spot by 8 points. The "Tricolor" continue their pursuit of a top-5 finish, sitting just two points behind Botafogo. Offensively, they are capable of creating chances with an average of 1.35 goals per game, though their defense often falters, conceding an average of 1.26 goals per match. In their most recent encounter, they suffered a 3-1 away defeat to Vasco, prompting the hosts to seek revenge.
Match Results: Bahia

Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The visitors last took to the pitch on in a Serie A clash, where they faced Grêmio as the home side and Vasco da Gama as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory for Grêmio.
Here's the match statistics (Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 17 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
⚫ Vasco da Gama are enduring a tough season, currently sitting in thirteenth place in the standings. Their recent performances have highlighted their inconsistency: after a streak of four consecutive wins, they suffered four straight losses. Their scoring woes are also concerning, with Vasco netting just one goal in their last four matches while conceding 10. They are perilously close to the relegation zone, holding only a six-point cushion, and they risk dropping out of the Copa Sudamericana qualifying spots if they lose their upcoming match in Salvador.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 28;
- First-half wins for the home team - 8; away team - 2; draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.32;
- Today's home side averages 0.75 goals, visitors - 0.57.
First-Half Stats: Bahia (home) vs Vasco da Gama (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- Wins: 9 (52.94%) vs 7 (41.18%);
- Losses: 2 (11.76%) vs 5 (29.41%);
- Draws: 6 (35.29%) vs 5 (29.41%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.35;
- Average goals conceded: 0.29 vs 0.71.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 3 vs 4;
- Losses: 5 vs 5;
- Draws: 2 vs 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.9).
- Bahia scores in the first half at home in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
- Bahia has scored in the first half in 6 consecutive head-to-head matches against this team.
- Bahia has scored in the first half in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches in Serie A.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 28;
- Home wins - 12, Away wins - 10, Draws - 6.
Statistics: Bahia vs Vasco da Gama
- Matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- Victories: 15 vs 12;
- Win percentage: 44% vs 35%;
- Defeats: 11 vs 16;
- Draws: 8 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 5;
- Losses: 5 vs 5;
- Draws: 1 vs 0.
- Vasco da Gama have covered a +1.5 spread in 8 consecutive head-to-head matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team averages - 1.54 goals, the visitors - 1.07;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.61;
- Both teams scored: overall - 14 times; at the home ground - 6 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Vasco da Gama
- Average total in the tournament: 2.62 vs 2.97;
- Average goals scored: 1.35 vs 1.47;
- Average in the first half: 0.56 vs 0.62;
- Average in the second half: 0.79 vs 0.85;
- Bahia: average home total in the tournament - 1.76;
- Vasco da Gama: average away total in the tournament - 1.41;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- Vasco da Gama have scored under 1.5 goals away in the last 10 head-to-head matches.
Corners Prediction
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.53; at home - 4.88;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; at home - 6.8.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.26, away - 3.82;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.6; away - 2.8.
- Total under 10.5 corners has hit in 6 consecutive head-to-head matches at the host's ground (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.78 (1.89 for the home team and 1.89 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4 (1.5 for the home team and 2.5 for the visitors).
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.26; at home - 2.24;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; at home - 2.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.12, away - 2.18;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; away - 1.8.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 28;
- Both teams scored overall - 14 times;
- At the home ground - 6 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Vasco da Gama
- Total matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 17;
- BTTS for Bahia at home - 9 (53%);
- BTTS for Vasco da Gama away - 8 (47%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 2;
- BTTS for Bahia at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS for Vasco da Gama away - 0 (0%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams boast strong attacks but struggle defensively. However, the home side remains the favorite in this matchup. We suggest focusing on corners - under 10.5 corners has hit in the last 6 head-to-heads at Bahia's stadium. As for the outcome, we predict a 2-1 victory for the hosts, considering they've won 12 out of 17 home games, while Vasco are having issues both in scoring and collecting points.