Bahia Ba vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction 9 August 2026
🔊 In round 22 of the Brazilian Série A, Bahia will host Vasco da Gama at Arena Fonte Nova. The hosts continue to push for the upper positions and begin the round in fifth place, while the visitors are in the relegation zone but come into the match after an emotional run to the Copa do Brasil quarterfinals. Bahia will also have an important freshness advantage - the team had around 11 days to prepare for the match, while Vasco played a tough cup game in the middle of the week.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 12 February 2026 and ended 0:1. Here is the comparative statistics from that match (Vasco da Gama were the home side):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 5;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Bahia and Vasco da Gama:
- 30 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 10, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 45 vs 30;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.27, in the 2nd - 1.23;
- average total goals per match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Vasco Da Gama
Bahia Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the Série A (home side - Fluminense, away side - Bahia). The match ended 0:0.
The match statistics were as follows (Bahia vs Fluminense):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 0 vs 11.
Rogerio Seni's team comes into this match after three consecutive draws in the league. In the last round, Bahia drew 0-0 with Fluminense and held on to fifth place with 32 points. Despite losing some momentum, one of the main arguments in favour of the hosts will be a full preparation for the match. After the draw with Fluminense, Bahia had several days of rest and were able to focus exclusively on the league. On top of that, Arena Fonte Nova remains a serious advantage for the team, and the head-to-head record in Salvador also favours the hosts - at home, the "tricolores" have not lost to Vasco in their last 11 matches.
Match Results: Bahia
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The current away side's last official match took place in the Copa do Brasil (home side - Fluminense, away side - Vasco da Gama). The match ended 1:3.
The match stats were as follows (Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense):
- possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corners: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 25 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
Vasco arrive in Salvador on an emotional high. In midweek, the team beat Fluminense 3-1 at Maracanã and advanced to the quarter-finals of the Copa do Brasil. Brenner scored twice and was the standout performer, while the result gave the squad an important psychological boost ahead of their fight to stay in Série A. However, their league position remains difficult: Vasco begin round 22 in 18th place with 21 points and are in the relegation zone. On top of that, they will be playing against a side that had significantly more time to recover. In the first half of the season, Bahia already beat Vasco in Rio de Janeiro 1-0.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 30;
- first-half wins for the home side - 8; for the away side - 2; draws - 5;
- average first-half total: 1.27;
- today's home side average 0.73 goals scored, the away side - 0.53.
First-half stats: Bahia (home) vs Vasco da Gama (away)
- played in the tournament: 11 vs 9;
- wins: 3 (27.27%) vs 1 (11.11%);
- losses: 4 (36.36%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- draws: 4 (36.36%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- average goals scored total: 1.55 vs 1.11;
- average goals conceded total: 0.73 vs 0.78.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 5 vs 3;
- average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.6) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4).
- Bahia have scored in the first half in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these sides.
- Bahia have scored in the first half in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these sides (Série A).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1.5, away side - 1;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: all time - 14 times; at the home team's ground - 6 times.
Average total statistics: Bahia vs Vasco da Gama
- in the tournament: 2.57 vs 2.7;
- goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.15;
- 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.3;
- 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.85;
- Bahia: at home in the tournament - 1.55;
- Vasco da Gama: away in the tournament - 1.11;
- last 10 matches: 1.3 (home - 1.4) vs 1.1 (away - 1.5).
- Vasco da Gama have scored under 1.5 goals away in 11 consecutive head-to-head matches between these two sides.
- Vasco da Gama have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 matches in a row (Série A).
Corners Prediction
Bahia: Statistics
- season: average total in the competition - 5.81; at home - 6.91;
- last 10 matches: average total - 6.9; at home - 8.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- season: average total in the competition - 5.35, away - 4.44;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; away - 4.
- Bahia have taken more than 5.5 corners at home in 5 matches in a row (Série A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 30;
- both teams scored in all time - 14 times;
- at the home team's ground - 6 times.
Stats: Bahia vs Vasco da Gama
- played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
- season matches in which both teams scored (hereinafter - BTTS): 14 vs 14;
- Bahia: BTTS at home - 8 (73%);
- Vasco da Gama: BTTS away - 7 (78%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 8 vs 4;
- Bahia: BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
- Vasco da Gama: BTTS away - 3 (75%).
- Bahia have scored and conceded at home in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Bahia have scored and conceded at home in 6 of their last 7 matches (Série A).
- Vasco da Gama have scored and conceded away in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (33/205, 16.1%);
- Bahia at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (4/11, 36.4%);
- Vasco da Gama away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.51% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 10.34% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 9.5% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Bahia look like the favourites thanks to home advantage, a higher position in the table, and a significant freshness edge. Vasco can cause problems after their emotional win over Fluminense, but the physical load from the cup match may tell in the second half. The hosts have a more consistent attack and will surely look to exploit their opponents' fatigue.
Editor's Pick - Bahia win. The team should have more possession and apply pressure, while home advantage and freshness could prove decisive. Predicted score - 2:1.
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Betting Tips: Bahia - Vasco da Gama
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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