Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka Prediction & H2H Stats 11 November 2026
🔊 Bangladesh host Sri Lanka in the final Group A match of the 2026 SAFF Cup. The hosts have already secured a place in the semi-finals after beating Bhutan and Sri Lanka subsequently drawing with the same opponents. The visitors also still have a chance to finish top of the group, so the result is particularly important for them. The return of several Bangladesh players who missed the tournament opener adds further intrigue.
Head-to-head record
📊 In October 2021, Bangladesh beat Sri Lanka 1-0 in the SAFF Championship.
Head-to-head statistics Bangladesh - Sri Lanka

Bangladesh: reinforcements ahead of the final round
Bangladesh began their home tournament with a 1-0 win over Bhutan. Thomas Dooley’s side dominated possession and created several good chances, but took a long time to make their advantage count. Substitute Mohammad Ibrahim scored the decisive goal in the 69th minute. The coaching staff also surprised observers by using right-back Bishwanath Ghosh as a centre-forward. The experiment did not produce the expected goals, so the return of the regular attacking players could significantly change how the hosts play.
The main boost is Hamza Choudhury, who missed the first match because of club commitments in England. The midfielder joined the team on 9 November and has already started training with his team-mates. Farhaan Ali Wahid arrived in Dhaka on 10 November because of flight problems, leaving him virtually no time to fully settle into the squad. Nevertheless, both players give the national team more attacking options. Bangladesh have already secured a place in the semi-finals, but will aim to finish top of their group at their home tournament and maintain their positive momentum ahead of the play-offs.
Match Results: Bangladesh

Sri Lanka: two goals and a win that slipped away
Sri Lanka began the tournament with a high-scoring draw against Bhutan (2-2). They scored twice in the first half: Oliver Kelaart first equalised, then Ahmed Waseem Razeek put them ahead. However, their opponents improved after the break and equalised in the 76th minute. Sri Lanka ultimately missed out on victory, although they showed they can create chances and capitalise on mistakes in the opposition defence.
Before the tournament, they also played several high-scoring friendlies: they beat Seychelles 3-0 and 2-0, then lost to Mauritius (0-3) before winning the second meeting (3-2). The squad includes players based abroad, and they played an important role against Bhutan. Against Bangladesh, the visitors will need to be more solid after the break, as their opponents can improve with the return of their key players.
Match Results: Sri Lanka
⚽ Goals Prediction
Sri Lanka scored twice against Bhutan but then allowed their opponents to equalise. Bangladesh created enough chances despite their narrow win, but struggled to convert them. The return of Choudhury and Ali Wahid should give the hosts more options in attack, while Sri Lanka have already shown they can score even against strong opposition. Therefore, Both Teams to Score - Yes looks promising. Odds: 1.67*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker