Metallurg vs Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma Prediction
🔊 Metallurg return home with the aim of closing out the series early. Following a thrilling comeback victory, scoring seven goals in the fourth game of the second-round playoffs of the All-Russian Hockey League, fans in Kuzbass expect nothing less. Let's analyze the patterns and trends in our prediction for the fifth game of the Olympbet VHL playoff series on April 19, to offer you the best pick for the match. Read more here.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons in the VHL, Metallurg and Gornyak-UGMK have clashed ten times, with the Siberian club claiming victory in nine of those encounters, while the team from the Urals secured one win. Including friendly matches, Metallurg have emerged victorious in 12 of their last 13 games. In the playoff series, Metallurg won both home games (2-1 and 1-0), and on Ural soil, the teams traded wins-first, Gornyak triumphed (3-2), followed by a Metallurg victory (7-4).
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Metallurg Team Overview
The Siberians finally delivered a high-scoring performance, netting as many goals as they haven't managed in this playoff (or in recent years). The Metallurgs snapped their streak of seven consecutive games with no more than three goals scored. Thanks to their seven goals, the Siberians improved their average playoff scoring rate to 2.6 goals scored against 2.2 conceded in regulation time.
At home, including regular season games, Metallurg have avoided regulation time losses in 11 of their last 12 matches. Their average scoring in regulation at home during this playoff is 1.8 goals scored against 1.4 conceded per game.
On the power play, Metallurg have scored four times, significantly improving their conversion rate (18.2% - 7th best in the Petrov Cup), while on the penalty kill, they've conceded five times (81.5% kill rate - 11th in the Petrov Cup).
Match Results: Metallurg
Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma Team Overview
The Ural club engaged in a shootout with Novokuznetsk, delivering their highest-scoring playoff game with four goals-a feat the "miners" had never achieved before. Their average scoring in the Petrov Cup stands at 1.73 goals scored and 2.36 conceded per game in regulation time.
On the road, Gornyak-UGMK have gone eight consecutive matches without a victory in regulation, suffering six losses during this stretch. Their average scoring in away games is just 1.0 goals scored while conceding 1.4 goals per game in regulation.
The Ural club has scored on the power play in two consecutive games, which is noteworthy after a nine-game drought. Gornyak's execution is no longer catastrophic-7.7% with two goals from 26 power-play opportunities. In penalty killing, the club from Verkhnyaya Pyshma has conceded seven goals, more than any other team in the tournament. Their 66.7% penalty kill rate is the worst in the Petrov Cup.
Match Results: Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma
Prediction for the 1st period
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 33;
- First-period wins at home for hosts - 7; for visitors on the road - 9;
- Average total goals in the first period: 2;
- Today's home team averages 1.03 goals, while the visitors average 0.97.
First Period Statistics: Metallurg (home) vs Gornyak-UGMK (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 36 vs 36;
- Wins: 15 (41.67%) vs 15 (41.67%);
- Losses: 8 (22.22%) vs 15 (41.67%);
- Draws: 13 (36.11%) vs 6 (16.67%).
- Average goals scored: 0.89 vs 0.83;
- Average goals conceded: 0.47 vs 0.89.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 2;
- Average first-period total: 1.4 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.7 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.9).
- Total goals in the first period under 1.5 has occurred in Metallurg's last 6 home games (OLIMPBET VHL).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 33;
- Home team victories - 21, away team victories - 12.
Statistics: Metallurg vs Gornyak-UGMK
- Matches played in the tournament: 62 vs 62;
- Victories: 58 (81%) vs 40 (55%);
- Losses: 14 (19%) vs 33 (45%);
- Home victories in the tournament: 30;
- Away victories in the tournament: 18.
Last 10 Matches:
- Victories: 7 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 6;
- Home victories: 4;
- Away victories: 1.
- Gornyak-UGMK covers the +1.5 spread in 19 of their last 21 games (OLIMPBET VHL).
- Gornyak-UGMK covers the +1.5 spread in 11 consecutive away games (OLIMPBET VHL).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Average total goals per game for the home team - 3.42, for the away team - 2.73;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 5.88;
- Both teams scored in the 1st period - 11 times;
- Both teams scored in the 2nd period - 11 times;
- Both teams scored in the 3rd period - 11 times.
Statistics: Metallurg vs Gornyak-UGMK
- Average total in the tournament: 5.42 vs 4.96;
- Average goals scored: 3.51 vs 2.79;
- Average goals conceded: 2.13 vs 2.45;
- Metallurg: average home total in the tournament - 3.61;
- Gornyak-UGMK: average away total in the tournament - 2.64;
- Last 10 matches (average goals scored): 2.7 (home - 2) vs 1.8 (away - 1.2).
- Total under 5.5 goals has hit in five consecutive head-to-head matches at the home team's venue (OLIMPBET VHL).
- Total under 5.5 goals has hit in six of Metallurg's last seven games (OLIMPBET VHL).
- Total under 5.5 goals has hit in six consecutive away matches for Gornyak-UGMK (OLIMPBET VHL).
Editorial Prediction
The team from the Urals is unlikely to accept a defeat, especially conceding seven goals, with their season potentially on the line. In four of their last five elimination games, Gornyak-UGMK have not lost in regulation time. While a double chance bet seems risky-given Metallurg are playing at home-considering a handicap is worthwhile.
The team from Verkhnyaya Pyshma have avoided losing by more than one goal in 19 of their last 21 matches, and this streak extends to 11 consecutive away games. The editorial choice for this game is a Gornyak-UGMK win with a +1.5 handicap.
Betting Tips: Metallurg - Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma
in 15 of last 16 games against Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma (OLIMPBET VHL).in last 9 home games against Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma (OLIMPBET VHL).in 11 of last 12 home games (OLIMPBET VHL).in last 8 away games (OLIMPBET VHL).in 14 of last 15 home games against Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma (OLIMPBET VHL).in 14 of last 15 away games (OLIMPBET VHL).in 10 of last 11 away games (OLIMPBET VHL).in 14 of last 15 home games against Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma (OLIMPBET VHL).in 9 of last 10 games against Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma (OLIMPBET VHL).in last 20 home games (OLIMPBET VHL).in 19 of last 20 games (OLIMPBET VHL).in last 7 games (OLIMPBET VHL).
