Metallurg vs Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma Prediction
🔊 The top team of the regular season kicked off the second round of the VHL playoffs with a comeback victory over Gornyak-UGMK, securing a goal just two minutes before the end of regulation. What can we expect from the second game in the series between Novokuznetsk Metallurg and Gornyak-UGMK from Verkhnyaya Pyshma? Let's analyze the patterns and trends in our prediction for the Olimpbet VHL clash on April 11 to offer you the best picks for the match.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons, Metallurg and Gornyak-UGMK have clashed seven times in the VHL, with all matches going in favor of the Siberian club. Including friendly encounters, Metallurg's winning streak has now reached ten consecutive games. This season, the regular season champions have won all three meetings: 5-4 in Verkhnyaya Pyshma, 3-2 in overtime in Novokuznetsk during the regular season, and 2-1 in the first game of the series.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Metallurg Team Overview
Metallurg continue their trend of energy-efficient hockey - in the current playoffs, the Kemerovo club have not won by more than two goals and have only scored more than three goals once. Their scoring rate in this edition of the Petrov Cup stands at 2.29 goals scored against 2.14 goals conceded on average per game.
At home, including regular season games, Metallurg have avoided regulation time defeats in 10 of their last 11 matches. Their average scoring during regulation in front of their fans is 2.00 goals scored against 1.75 goals conceded per game.
On the power play, Metallurg have scored twice (11.1% conversion rate - ranking 12th in the Petrov Cup), while on the penalty kill, they have conceded three times (83.3% success rate - ranking 10th in the Petrov Cup).
Match Results: Metallurg

Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma Team Overview
The Urals club, who almost let slip their first-round series against Perm's Molot, once again faltered in the game's closing moments. In their opening matchup with the "Metallurgists," the Urals initially led on the scoreboard and were close to forcing overtime with just two minutes left in regulation, but ultimately lost without needing extra time. Their playoff performance reflects an average of just 1.5 goals scored while conceding 2.0 per game.
On the road, Gornyak-UGMK have gone seven consecutive matches without securing a win in regulation, suffering five losses in this stretch. The "Miners" have managed a meager average of 1.25 goals scored while allowing 1.50 goals against in regulation during away games.
The Urals club stands as the only team in the tournament yet to score a power-play goal despite having eight games and 17 opportunities with the man advantage. Meanwhile, in penalty-killing situations, the club from Verkhnyaya Pyshma has conceded five goals, with a 70.6% kill rate, ranking them 13th in the Petrov Cup.
Match Results: Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 30;
- Home wins - 19, Away wins - 11.
Statistics: Metallurg vs Gornyak-UGMK
- Total matches played in the tournament: 62 vs 62;
- Wins: 56 (81%) vs 39 (56%);
- Losses: 13 (19%) vs 31 (44%);
- Home wins in the tournament: 29;
- Away wins in the tournament: 18.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 8 vs 4;
- Losses: 2 vs 6;
- Home wins: 5;
- Away wins: 1.
- Metallurg have won in regulation time in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings in the OLIMPBET VHL.
Total Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Average goals per match for home team - 3.43, away team - 2.77;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 5.9;
- Both teams scored in the 1st period - 10 times;
- Both teams scored in the 2nd period - 9 times;
- Both teams scored in the 3rd period - 10 times.
Statistics: Metallurg vs Gornyak-UGMK
- Average tournament total: 5.41 vs 4.93;
- Average goals scored: 3.52 vs 2.81;
- Average goals conceded: 2.12 vs 2.41;
- Metallurg's average home total in the tournament - 3.69;
- Gornyak-UGMK's average away total in the tournament - 2.71;
- Last 10 matches (average goals scored): 3.1 (home - 3.33) vs 1.8 (away - 1.83).
Editorial Prediction
Despite their energy-conserving style of hockey, Metallurg have only managed one shutout and have conceded at least twice in five of their last six encounters. The club's response to low-scoring games is also noteworthy-this season, following matches with no more than three goals, Metallurg have allowed at least two goals in the subsequent game in nine out of ten instances.Gornyak-UGMK rarely plays two consecutive low-scoring games in the playoffs. In seven out of eight scenarios in the Petrov Cup, after a match with no goals or just one scored, the Ural club invariably netted at least twice in the next game. The optimal choice for the second game of the series is Gornyak-UGMK's individual total over 1.5 goals.
