Metallurg vs Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma Prediction
🔊 The second round of the All-Russian Hockey League playoffs kicks off with a clash between the regular season's top team, Metallurg, and Gornyak-UGMK from Verkhnyaya Pyshma. Metallurg had a challenging journey through the first round, while Gornyak kept their fans on edge by stretching their series to seven games. Let's break down the patterns and trends in our prediction for the Olimpbet VHL matchup on April 9, offering you the best insights for the game.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons, Metallurg and Gornyak-UGMK have faced off six times in the VHL regular season, with the Siberian club emerging victorious in all encounters. Including friendly matches, Metallurg's winning streak now extends to nine consecutive games.
In the VHL playoffs, the clubs from Novokuznetsk and Verkhnyaya Pyshma have clashed twice. In 2022, the Urals team claimed the first-round series (4-1), while in 2023, the Kuzbass side triumphed in the second round (4-2). This season, the regular season champions won both meetings-5:4 in Verkhnyaya Pyshma and 3:2 in OT in Novokuznetsk.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Metallurg Team Overview
In the first-round series, Metallurg triumphed over Samara's CSK VVS in six games (4-2). Despite being the top team from the preliminary stage, they never won by more than two goals and only once scored more than three goals. Metallurg's scoring average in the first round stood at 2.33 goals per game, with the same number conceded.
At home, including regular season games, Metallurg have avoided regulation losses in 9 of their last 10 matches. In the series against the Volga team on their ice, the Novokuznetsk side secured two wins (1:0 OT and 5:3) and suffered one defeat (1:3). Their average scoring in regulation time in front of their fans is 2.00 goals per game, with an equal number conceded.
In power plays, Metallurg scored twice (11.8% conversion rate - ranking tenth in the Petrov Cup), while in penalty kills, they allowed three goals (82.4% kill rate - 11th in the Petrov Cup).
Match Results: Metallurg
Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma Team Overview
The Ural club is the only team to have played all seven games in the series against Perm's Molot. Surprisingly, the eighth seed took a 3-0 lead in the series, then lost three consecutive games, but ultimately clinched victory in the decisive match (2-1), where they were also trailing. Their scoring average in the first-round series was just 1.57 goals per game, while conceding 2.00.
On the road, Gornyak-UGMK have gone six consecutive matches without a regulation-time victory. In the series against Molot, the Urals team displayed pragmatic hockey with one win (2-1 OT) and two losses (2-3 OT and 1-2 OT). Their away game scoring average stands at 1.33 goals scored against the same number conceded.
The Ural club is the only team in the tournament that has failed to score on any of their 16 power-play attempts over seven games. Meanwhile, in penalty killing, the team from Verkhnyaya Pyshma conceded five goals, achieving a 68.8% penalty kill rate, ranking 13th in the Petrov Cup.
Match Results: Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma
Prediction for the 1st period
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 29;
- First period wins at home - 6; away wins - 8;
- Average total for the first period: 2.03;
- Today's home team averages 1.03 goals, while the visitors average 1.
First Period Stats: Metallurg (home) vs Gornyak-UGMK (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- Wins: 14 (41.18%) vs 14 (41.18%);
- Losses: 7 (20.59%) vs 14 (41.18%);
- Draws: 13 (38.24%) vs 6 (17.65%).
- Average goals scored: 0.91 vs 0.85;
- Average goals conceded: 0.47 vs 0.91.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 6 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 2;
- Average first-period total: 1.4 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.4) vs 2 (scored - 1, conceded - 1).
- Total goals in the first period under 1.5 have occurred in 6 of Metallurg's last 7 games (OLIMPBET VHL).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 29;
- Home team victories - 18, away team victories - 11.
Statistics: Metallurg vs Gornyak-UGMK
- Matches played in the tournament: 62 vs 62;
- Victories: 55 (81%) vs 39 (57%);
- Losses: 13 (19%) vs 30 (43%);
- Home victories for the hosts in the tournament: 28;
- Away victories for the guests in the tournament: 18.
Last 10 Matches:
- Victories: 8 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 5;
- Home victories for the hosts: 4;
- Away victories for the guests: 2.
- Metallurg have won (in regular time) 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters between these teams (OLIMPBET VHL).
Total Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Average total goals per match for home team - 3.48, for away team - 2.83;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 6;
- Both teams scored in the 1st period - 10 times;
- Both teams scored in the 2nd period - 9 times;
- Both teams scored in the 3rd period - 10 times.
Statistics: Metallurg vs Gornyak-UGMK
- Average tournament total: 5.44 vs 4.96;
- Average goals scored: 3.54 vs 2.84;
- Average goals conceded: 2.13 vs 2.42;
- Metallurg: average home total in the tournament - 3.74;
- Gornyak-UGMK: average away total in the tournament - 2.76;
- Last 10 matches (average goals scored): 3.6 (home - 3.6) vs 2 (away - 2.17).
- Metallurg score over 2.5 goals at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters between these teams (OLIMPBET VHL).
Editor's Prediction
Gornyak have a strong track record of starting playoff series in the VHL on a high note, scoring at least two goals in each of their last seven opening games. Considering Metallurg have conceded at least twice in each of their last five encounters with CSK VVS and in 10 out of their last 11 head-to-heads with the team from Verkhnyaya Pyshma in the Petrov Cup, backing Gornyak-UGMK's individual total over 1.5 goals seems like a smart choice.
Betting Tips: Metallurg - Gornyak-UGMK Verkhnyaya Pyshma
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