Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction

Details
The main thing
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    126
    97
    34
    25
    32
    35
    30
    17
    26
    24

    🔊 Who will take the lead in the most intense matchup of the second round? In Game 5 of the Western Conference semifinals, the San Antonio Spurs face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves. In their previous clash, the visitors capitalized on Wembanyama's early ejection for an unsportsmanlike foul to level the series. The French sensation might still face a one-game suspension, but the Texans have proven their competitiveness even without their star, narrowly missing victory in the final moments. Both teams are evenly matched, meaning even the smallest detail could decide the outcome. Let's analyze the game and make an insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These clubs have faced each other 54 times. San Antonio holds a slight edge with 30 victories. However, the most recent clash on May 11 saw Minnesota triumph with a score of 114-109.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    57%
    32 Wins
    43%
    24 Wins
    16.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    109
    139
    27
    36
    34
    38
    23
    36
    25
    29
    13.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    126
    97
    34
    30
    25
    17
    32
    26
    35
    24
    10.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    114
    109
    34
    30
    26
    26
    20
    28
    34
    25
    09.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    108
    115
    22
    23
    29
    28
    28
    35
    29
    29
    07.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    133
    95
    24
    17
    35
    18
    39
    28
    35
    32
    Empty
    There are no events
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    San Antonio Spurs Team Overview

    San Antonio are living up to their reputation as the main obstacle in Oklahoma's quest for a second consecutive title. The Texans confidently dispatched Portland, but as expected, they've encountered fierce resistance in their current series against Minnesota. Leading 2-1, Johnson's squad missed the chance to solidify their lead, faltering in the clutch of the last battle. They deserve applause for their fight without the ejected Wembanyama, but the real question is: what was the Frenchman thinking to jeopardize his team like that?

    After the Frenchman's ejection, his replacement, Kornet, tried almost single-handedly to patch up the Spurs' defense and delivered a stellar performance, which isn't fully reflected in his modest final stats (7 points and 9 assists). For instance, he neutralized the threat of vertical lobs from small to big men finishing at the rim against Gobert or Reid and also helped the team remain effective on offensive rebounds after missed shots. This mechanism worked well until the fourth quarter when the defense had to focus more on stopping Edwards and Randle, leaving the paint exposed. The lack of size, combined with poor three-point shooting (hitting only 6 out of 26 attempts), led to a frustrating defeat. Nevertheless, the series is still in the Spurs' hands.

    Match Results: San Antonio Spurs

    06.06.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    104
    105
    34
    25
    18
    31
    23
    28
    29
    21
    L
    04.06.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    95
    105
    27
    19
    28
    29
    21
    28
    19
    29
    L
    31.05.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    103
    111
    25
    32
    28
    24
    24
    24
    26
    31
    W
    29.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    118
    91
    35
    22
    25
    31
    32
    13
    26
    25
    W
    27.05.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    127
    114
    29
    27
    40
    31
    32
    33
    26
    23
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Minnesota Timberwolves Team Overview

    Minnesota continues to uphold its reputation as one of the toughest playoff opponents. For the second consecutive round, they are playing the role of underdogs, battling on equal terms. This time, it's San Antonio feeling the brunt of their steely resolve. Trailing 1-2 in the series, Finch's squad claimed a crucial Game 4 victory, capitalizing on the unexpected ejection of Spurs' leader Wembanyama. The French giant was sent off in the second quarter after elbowing Reid in the throat. The NBA is now reviewing the incident, and the Texas star might face a one-game suspension.

    However, the victory didn't come easy. The Timberwolves were down by eight points heading into the final quarter and struggled to find answers against San Antonio's tenacious and aggressive defense. But then Edwards took charge, sinking a series of difficult shots and sparking the comeback. Playing through a knee injury, Anthony finished with 36 points. It was this young franchise superstar who exploited weaknesses in the opposition's defense and secured the win. Yet, the coach should be concerned that even at home, in a favorable position, such extraordinary efforts were required. Clearly, it will only get tougher for Minnesota as their physical resources aren't limitless.

    Match Results: Minnesota Timberwolves

    16.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    109
    139
    27
    36
    34
    38
    23
    36
    25
    29
    L
    13.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    126
    97
    34
    30
    25
    17
    32
    26
    35
    24
    L
    10.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    114
    109
    34
    30
    26
    26
    20
    28
    34
    25
    W
    09.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    108
    115
    22
    23
    29
    28
    28
    35
    29
    29
    L
    07.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    133
    95
    24
    17
    35
    18
    39
    28
    35
    32
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    San Antonio Spurs

    ⛔ Spurs are uncertain about the participation of their star player, Wembanyama.

    📋 Probable lineup: Fox, Cassell, Vassell, Champagnie, Wembanyama.

    Minnesota Timberwolves

    ⛔ The Timberwolves will be without DiVincenzo, who is out for the season.

    📋Projected lineup: Edwards, Gobert, Randle, McDaniels, Dosunmu.

    🔝 Top Scorers

    The key figure in the Spurs' offense remains Wembanyama, who is averaging 19.6 points in the playoffs. After the Frenchman's early exit in the last game against Minnesota, Fox led with 24 points. We believe the sharpshooter will deliver in the upcoming matchup (especially if Wembanyama faces a suspension), and we're backing Fox to score over 17.5 points at 1.83* odds.

    For Minnesota, their top scorer is Edwards, who is putting up 21.5 points in the postseason. In the recent game against the Spurs, he exploded for 36 points, showing that even a knee injury can't slow him down. We predict the star will continue to shine in Game 5 and are backing Edwards to score over 26.5 points at 1.86* odds.

    🏀 Three-Pointers

    San Antonio have been impressive from beyond the arc in the playoffs, hitting 37.6% of their attempts. However, they faltered in the last game of this series, making only 23%. We're confident that on their home court, the Texans will regain their usual efficiency. We're betting on Spurs to make over 11.5 three-pointers at 1.79* odds.

    Minnesota connect from downtown at a slightly lower rate of 34.2%, but they improved to 37% in the previous game. With Edwards and Randle in prime form, Finch's squad should be able to replicate that performance on the road. We're taking Timberwolves to make over 10.5 three-pointers at 1.87* odds.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Editorial Prediction

    Despite a disappointing setback in their last game, San Antonio remain the clear favorites for the series and this matchup. On their home court, the Spurs are often unstoppable thanks to their elite defense and incredibly deep bench. Even if Wembanyama doesn't play, they have plenty of options both defensively and offensively. The visitors rely heavily on Edwards' heroics, and we're doubtful he can carry the offense at the same level with his knee injury as he did in Game 4. The Texans will learn the right lessons from their recent defeat and secure a convincing revenge win. We predict a San Antonio victory with a spread of (-7.5).

    Our choice
    San Antonio Spurs Handicap (-7.5) at odds of -152*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 May 2026, 13:38)

    Betting Tips: San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves

    San Antonio Spurs won the 3rd quarter
    san-antonio-spursin last 12 games (NBA).
    san-antonio-spursin last 8 home games (NBA).
    3rd Quarter San Antonio Spurs Win
    -200
    Minnesota Timberwolves won the 4th quarter
    minnesota-timberwolvesin 6 of last 7 away games (NBA).
    4th Quarter Minnesota Timberwolves Win
    +115
    Minnesota Timberwolves have scored over 103.5 points
    san-antonio-spursminnesota-timberwolvesin 9 of last 10 games against San Antonio Spurs (NBA).
    minnesota-timberwolvesin 14 of last 15 games (NBA).
    minnesota-timberwolvesin 7 of last 8 away games (NBA).
    Minnesota Timberwolves Total points Over (103.5)
    MyBookie
    -127
    Over 52.5 points in the 2nd quarter
    san-antonio-spursminnesota-timberwolvesin 13 of last 15 San Antonio Spurs home games against Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA).
    2nd Quarter Total Over 52.5
    Bovada
    -105
    View more facts

    Spurs - Timberwolves Table position

    Group stage WESTA
    gWLForm
    1.
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    440
    2.
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    431
    3.
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    422
    4.
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    413
    5.
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    404