Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction

Details
The main thing
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    108
    115
    22
    29
    28
    29
    23
    28
    35
    29

    🔊 Can the hosts bounce back from their crushing defeat in the previous game? In the third match of the Western Conference playoff semifinals, the Minnesota Timberwolves face off against the San Antonio Spurs. After a setback in the opening clash, Wembanyama and his squad delivered a powerful response, barely noticing their opponents. Such a resounding blow could have dealt Finch's men a significant psychological hit, as it's rare to see a team at this level lose by 38 points. We're eager to see how the Timberwolves react on their home court. Let's analyze the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These clubs have faced each other 52 times. San Antonio holds a significant edge, having won 29 of those encounters. The Spurs were the dominant force in their last meeting as well, routing Minnesota at home with a score of 133-95.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    43%
    24 Wins
    57%
    32 Wins
    16.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    109
    139
    27
    36
    34
    38
    23
    36
    25
    29
    13.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    126
    97
    34
    30
    25
    17
    32
    26
    35
    24
    10.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    114
    109
    34
    30
    26
    26
    20
    28
    34
    25
    09.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    108
    115
    22
    23
    29
    28
    28
    35
    29
    29
    07.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    133
    95
    24
    17
    35
    18
    39
    28
    35
    32
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Minnesota Timberwolves Team Overview

    Minnesota, finishing only sixth in the Western Conference, once again proves that their regular season performances shouldn't be taken too seriously. They seem to lull their competitors into a false sense of security, only to reveal their true potential come playoff time. Considered underdogs in the last round against Denver, they dispatched them with impressive confidence. And as the series against San Antonio kicks off, things are looking promising despite a disappointing defeat in Game 2.

    After that crushing loss, Coach Finch is likely to focus heavily on the mental preparation of his players before this battle. However, there's hope they won't lose faith, given their wealth of experience in knockout games. Still, Minnesota's level of helplessness in the last game was surprising. They fell short of their trademark aggression, significantly losing out on rebounds and assists. This is despite the fact that their leader Edwards, against all predictions, recovered much quicker than expected. Yet, he's still far from peak condition, having spent only 24 minutes on the court.

    Match Results: Minnesota Timberwolves

    16.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    109
    139
    27
    36
    34
    38
    23
    36
    25
    29
    L
    13.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    126
    97
    34
    30
    25
    17
    32
    26
    35
    24
    L
    10.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    114
    109
    34
    30
    26
    26
    20
    28
    34
    25
    W
    09.05.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    108
    115
    22
    23
    29
    28
    28
    35
    29
    29
    L
    07.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    133
    95
    24
    17
    35
    18
    39
    28
    35
    32
    L
    Empty
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    San Antonio Spurs Team Overview

    Even before the series tipped off, it was clear that it had the potential to be a playoff highlight. And so far, it has lived up to the hype. After dropping the first game, it seemed like San Antonio might struggle to break down the formidable defense led by the exceptional Gobert. However, the result of the second game was a resounding and unexpected victory. They resolved all issues before halftime, thanks to a phenomenal defensive effort that held Minnesota to just 29.8% shooting from the field and secured a 24-point lead.

    Unlike the opening clash, the Spurs displayed exemplary team chemistry, particularly on the offensive end-seven players scored in double figures. The game served as a reminder of how lethal San Antonio can be when they hit their stride with fast-paced offense and defend with maximum aggression and focus. Their deep 10-man rotation ensures they don't lose scoring momentum even when Fox and Wembanyama take a breather (the Frenchman played just 26 minutes in the second game). It's evident that if anyone can disrupt Oklahoma's bid for a second consecutive title, it's the Spurs, who notably defeated the Thunder four times during the regular season.

    Match Results: San Antonio Spurs

    09.06.26
    NBA
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    111
    115
    22
    33
    42
    24
    27
    35
    20
    23
    W
    06.06.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    104
    105
    34
    25
    18
    31
    23
    28
    29
    21
    L
    04.06.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    95
    105
    27
    19
    28
    29
    21
    28
    19
    29
    L
    31.05.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    103
    111
    25
    32
    28
    24
    24
    24
    26
    31
    W
    29.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    118
    91
    35
    22
    25
    31
    32
    13
    26
    25
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Minnesota Timberwolves

    ⛔ Minnesota will be without DiVincenzo, and Dosunmu is doubtful after picking up an injury in their last game.

    📋Projected lineup: McDaniels, Gobert, Shannon, Randle, Edwards.

    San Antonio Spurs

    ✅ Spurs have no injury concerns.

    📋 Projected lineup: Wembanyama, Fox, Castle, Vassell, Champagnie.

    🔝 Top Scorers

    For Minnesota, Edwards remains the leading scorer, averaging 28.8 points per game. However, at the start of the series against the Spurs, he hasn't fully regained his form after an injury and looks lackluster. In Game 2, Anthony managed just 12 points. We believe the young star will struggle to recover in time for the next matchup. We recommend betting on Edwards' total under 22.5 points at odds of 1.85*.

    For San Antonio, Wembanyama is the main offensive force with 25 points. In a recent game, he focused on defense, contributing only 19 points. We think this scenario won't change much in their away clash against Minnesota, where the Frenchman will face even tougher defense. This could allow star shooter Fox, who averages 18.6 points, to take the scoring lead. We'll bet on Fox's total over 16.5 points at odds of 1.91*.

    🏀 Three-Pointers

    In terms of three-point accuracy in the playoffs, Minnesota is not impressive, converting just 33.9% of attempts (9th in the metric). In their last game against the Spurs, they performed even worse (30% efficiency). We think the opponent's strong perimeter defense (allowing only 31% of threes, 1st in the league) won't let the Timberwolves hit many from beyond the arc, even at home. We'll bet on Minnesota's three-point total under 10.5 at odds of 1.79*.

    San Antonio excels in three-pointers, currently holding the best playoff rating with 39.5% accuracy. In the last game of the series, Johnson's squad attempted 39 shots from deep, achieving a 41% success rate. We predict the Texans will maintain their elite accuracy on the road and will bet on Spurs' three-point total over 12.5 at odds of 1.83*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different betting lines.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The blow Minnesota suffered in their last game will be too painful to recover from quickly. Especially considering their leader Edwards is still feeling discomfort from his injury, and there's a high chance that key role player Dosunmu won't play. Under these circumstances, containing the Texans, who are sensing blood, will be extremely difficult, even on their home court. We anticipate the Timberwolves will avoid a heavy defeat, but they won't be able to keep pace with their formidable opponent for the full 48 minutes-there will inevitably be a slump. We're betting on a victory for the visitors.

    Our choice
    San Antonio Spurs Win (inc. OT) at odds of -172*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (7 May 2026, 13:18)

    Betting Tips: Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs

    Minnesota Timberwolves won the 4th quarter
    minnesota-timberwolvessan-antonio-spursin 8 of last 9 games against San Antonio Spurs (NBA).
    minnesota-timberwolvessan-antonio-spursin 7 of last 8 home games against San Antonio Spurs (NBA).
    4th Quarter Minnesota Timberwolves Win
    +105
    San Antonio Spurs won the 3rd quarter
    san-antonio-spursin last 10 games (NBA).
    3rd Quarter San Antonio Spurs Win
    -143
    Minnesota Timberwolves have won
    minnesota-timberwolvessan-antonio-spursin last 7 home games against San Antonio Spurs (NBA).
    Minnesota Timberwolves Win (inc. OT)
    MyBookie
    +205
    San Antonio Spurs have won
    san-antonio-spursin 10 of last 11 away games (NBA).
    San Antonio Spurs Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Timberwolves - Spurs Table position

    Group stage WESTA
    gWLForm
    1.
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    440
    2.
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    431
    3.
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    422
    4.
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    413
    5.
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    404