Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction 9 May 2026
🔊 Can the hosts bounce back from their crushing defeat in the previous game? In the third match of the Western Conference playoff semifinals, the Minnesota Timberwolves face off against the San Antonio Spurs. After a setback in the opening clash, Wembanyama and his squad delivered a powerful response, barely noticing their opponents. Such a resounding blow could have dealt Finch's men a significant psychological hit, as it's rare to see a team at this level lose by 38 points. We're eager to see how the Timberwolves react on their home court. Let's analyze the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 These clubs have faced each other 52 times. San Antonio holds a significant edge, having won 29 of those encounters. The Spurs were the dominant force in their last meeting as well, routing Minnesota at home with a score of 133-95.
Head-to-head statistics Timberwolves - Spurs
Minnesota Timberwolves Team Overview
Minnesota, finishing only sixth in the Western Conference, once again proves that their regular season performances shouldn't be taken too seriously. They seem to lull their competitors into a false sense of security, only to reveal their true potential come playoff time. Considered underdogs in the last round against Denver, they dispatched them with impressive confidence. And as the series against San Antonio kicks off, things are looking promising despite a disappointing defeat in Game 2.
After that crushing loss, Coach Finch is likely to focus heavily on the mental preparation of his players before this battle. However, there's hope they won't lose faith, given their wealth of experience in knockout games. Still, Minnesota's level of helplessness in the last game was surprising. They fell short of their trademark aggression, significantly losing out on rebounds and assists. This is despite the fact that their leader Edwards, against all predictions, recovered much quicker than expected. Yet, he's still far from peak condition, having spent only 24 minutes on the court.
Match Results: Minnesota Timberwolves
San Antonio Spurs Team Overview
Even before the series tipped off, it was clear that it had the potential to be a playoff highlight. And so far, it has lived up to the hype. After dropping the first game, it seemed like San Antonio might struggle to break down the formidable defense led by the exceptional Gobert. However, the result of the second game was a resounding and unexpected victory. They resolved all issues before halftime, thanks to a phenomenal defensive effort that held Minnesota to just 29.8% shooting from the field and secured a 24-point lead.
Unlike the opening clash, the Spurs displayed exemplary team chemistry, particularly on the offensive end-seven players scored in double figures. The game served as a reminder of how lethal San Antonio can be when they hit their stride with fast-paced offense and defend with maximum aggression and focus. Their deep 10-man rotation ensures they don't lose scoring momentum even when Fox and Wembanyama take a breather (the Frenchman played just 26 minutes in the second game). It's evident that if anyone can disrupt Oklahoma's bid for a second consecutive title, it's the Spurs, who notably defeated the Thunder four times during the regular season.
Match Results: San Antonio Spurs
Latest news
Minnesota Timberwolves
⛔ Minnesota will be without DiVincenzo, and Dosunmu is doubtful after picking up an injury in their last game.
📋Projected lineup: McDaniels, Gobert, Shannon, Randle, Edwards.
San Antonio Spurs
✅ Spurs have no injury concerns.
📋 Projected lineup: Wembanyama, Fox, Castle, Vassell, Champagnie.
🔝 Top Scorers
For Minnesota, Edwards remains the leading scorer, averaging 28.8 points per game. However, at the start of the series against the Spurs, he hasn't fully regained his form after an injury and looks lackluster. In Game 2, Anthony managed just 12 points. We believe the young star will struggle to recover in time for the next matchup. We recommend betting on Edwards' total under 22.5 points at odds of 1.85*.
For San Antonio, Wembanyama is the main offensive force with 25 points. In a recent game, he focused on defense, contributing only 19 points. We think this scenario won't change much in their away clash against Minnesota, where the Frenchman will face even tougher defense. This could allow star shooter Fox, who averages 18.6 points, to take the scoring lead. We'll bet on Fox's total over 16.5 points at odds of 1.91*.
🏀 Three-Pointers
In terms of three-point accuracy in the playoffs, Minnesota is not impressive, converting just 33.9% of attempts (9th in the metric). In their last game against the Spurs, they performed even worse (30% efficiency). We think the opponent's strong perimeter defense (allowing only 31% of threes, 1st in the league) won't let the Timberwolves hit many from beyond the arc, even at home. We'll bet on Minnesota's three-point total under 10.5 at odds of 1.79*.
San Antonio excels in three-pointers, currently holding the best playoff rating with 39.5% accuracy. In the last game of the series, Johnson's squad attempted 39 shots from deep, achieving a 41% success rate. We predict the Texans will maintain their elite accuracy on the road and will bet on Spurs' three-point total over 12.5 at odds of 1.83*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different betting lines.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The blow Minnesota suffered in their last game will be too painful to recover from quickly. Especially considering their leader Edwards is still feeling discomfort from his injury, and there's a high chance that key role player Dosunmu won't play. Under these circumstances, containing the Texans, who are sensing blood, will be extremely difficult, even on their home court. We anticipate the Timberwolves will avoid a heavy defeat, but they won't be able to keep pace with their formidable opponent for the full 48 minutes-there will inevitably be a slump. We're betting on a victory for the visitors.
No comments
Betting Tips: Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs
in 8 of last 9 games against San Antonio Spurs (NBA).in 7 of last 8 home games against San Antonio Spurs (NBA).in last 10 games (NBA).in last 7 home games against San Antonio Spurs (NBA).
in 10 of last 11 away games (NBA).
Other predictions
