Moutet vs Hurkacz Prediction 13 August 2026
🔊 2024 Cincinnati quarterfinalist Hubert Hurkacz returns to the US after a two-year absence. Notably, that run is not his career best at the tournament: a year earlier he reached the semifinal of the American Masters 1000 event. In the first round of this year's edition he faces Corentin Moutet. For the Frenchman, this will be his fifth attempt to get through the opening round of the tournament. He has managed it only once so far - last season.
Head-to-Head
📊 The players have already faced each other - Hubert Hurkacz won their only head-to-head match. However, that meeting took place back in 2019.
Head-to-head statistics Moutet - Hurkacz
Corentin Moutet Player Overview
Corentin Moutet comes into the tournament after a difficult stretch: just two wins in his last ten matches and five straight-set losses during that period. Since Wimbledon, he has appeared on hard courts three times and left without a win twice. The Frenchman trails his upcoming opponent significantly in games won - just 46%, which is also reflected in his individual stats. On serve, Moutet wins around 79% of points, though his double fault rate remains within normal range (3%). His return game is also struggling: Corentin converts break points fewer than one in every two chances, and he lacks consistency when playing out sets.
Match Results: Corentin Moutet
Hubert Hurkacz Player Overview
Hubert Hurkacz is showing more confident form: he has six wins in his last ten matches and has not lost a single set to love in that period. At the recent Masters 1000 in Montreal, the Pole beat Marcos Giron and Alejandro Tabilo, losing only to Botic Van de Zandschulp in the round of 32. Statistically, he holds around 82% of points on his serve. He also has an excellent ace count (averaging more than 13 per match) and a high first-serve percentage (66%). His consistency is further reflected in strong starts to matches: Hurkacz has won the first set in seven consecutive matches and has taken more than half of all games played.
Match Results: Hubert Hurkacz
Key factors
- Corentin Moutet has won fewer than 12.5 games in five matches in a row.
- In his last ten matches, Moutet has just two wins and five bagel losses.
- Hubert Hurkacz is consistently winning his matches and holding serve with confidence.
- The Pole also has a powerful serve, averaging more than 13 aces per match.
Expected scenario
A significant advantage is expected on Hubert Hurkacz's side in this match: the Pole is capable of controlling the course of the encounter thanks to a strong serve and stable play on his service games. Corentin Moutet struggles to take many games even against opponents of a comparable level, and has been too passive on hard courts lately. He focuses primarily on reliability, trying to make as few errors as possible, but active play that produces winners is catastrophically lacking.
⭐ Editor's prediction
The difference in form between the first-round Cincinnati participants is clear: Corentin Moutet often manages a modest number of games won even against opponents of a similar level or lower ranking, and he has too many straight-set losses to expect a high-scoring match. Given Hubert Hurkacz's reliable serve and relatively consistent performances on fast courts, it is reasonable to assume that the Frenchman will again fall short both on his own serve and during rallies. In that scenario, the logical play is a confident Hurkacz win with a handicap (-2.5).
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