Berrettini vs Wawrinka Prediction 31 August 2026
🔊 For Stan Wawrinka, the match against Matteo Berrettini at the US Open marks the beginning of his final Grand Slam appearance. Wawrinka is set to retire after the 2026 season and received a wild card for the tournament where, ten years ago, he beat Novak Djokovic in the final to claim his third Grand Slam title. At 41, he has played every major this season, and now returns to the scene of one of his greatest triumphs for the closing chapter of a remarkable career.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head record stands at 1-1, though Wawrinka's win came in an exhibition. In their only official meeting, Berrettini beat him at Wimbledon 2026 - 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, 7-6.
Head-to-head statistics Berrettini - Wawrinka
Matteo Berrettini Player Overview
Berrettini is currently ranked 43rd in the ATP rankings. In August, he lost to Mariano Navone (3-6, 7-6, 3-6), beat Tituan Droguet (3-6, 6-1, 6-4), and lost to Jiří Lehečka (4-6, 7-6, 3-6). All three matches went to a deciding set.
His serve remains his biggest weapon and helps him stay competitive even when the rest of his game is inconsistent. On return, though, he struggles to sustain pressure, which is why he failed to win a single match in August without dropping a set.
Match Results: Matteo Berrettini
Stan Wawrinka Player Overview
Wawrinka is currently ranked 127th in the ATP rankings. Over the past 52 weeks on hard courts, he has won 19 of 33 matches, held serve in 86% of his service games, and won 11 of 16 tie-breaks. Even at 41, he can stay competitive for long stretches when his first serve is landing.
Wawrinka is treating his farewell Grand Slam season with anything but indifference. At the Australian Open he beat Laslo Djere, then spent 4 hours 33 minutes beating Arthur Fils in five sets - becoming the oldest player to reach the third round of a Grand Slam since 1978. At Wimbledon he pushed Berrettini for more than four hours before losing after four tie-breaks. Those matches show he can still go the distance.
Match Results: Stan Wawrinka
Key factors
- Their only previous meeting contained four tie-breaks.
- Each of Berrettini's three matches in August went to a deciding set.
- Wawrinka held serve in 86% of his service games on hard courts over the past 52 weeks.
- In Australia, the Swiss won a five-set match lasting 4 hours 33 minutes.
- Wawrinka is playing in the final Grand Slam of his career.
Expected scenario
Both players will look to build on their first serve. Berrettini can be more aggressive off the second ball, though Wawrinka has shown recently that he can maintain his level deep into sets, all the way to a tie-break. A single early break is unlikely to settle the match.
The Italian is better equipped for a long physical contest, but in August he has consistently dropped a set along the way. Wawrinka will struggle to sustain his pace throughout, yet his serve and experience give him enough to take at least one tight set.
Match Result Prediction
Berrettini is younger, ranked higher, and won their only previous meeting. He remains the favourite, but the short odds on the outright don't account for the risk of a prolonged contest. Wawrinka winning the match looks less likely than him taking a set.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Two months ago these two spent over four hours on court, with all four sets decided by a tie-break. The surface has changed since then, but the fundamental dynamic remains: both players rely heavily on their serve, and Berrettini has dropped at least one set in every match he has played this August.
The Italian should control proceedings more often than not, but Wawrinka has repeatedly gone the distance in his farewell season. His ability to hold serve and compete in tight finishes makes four sets the more likely outcome.
Our pick: Total Sets - Over 3.5
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Betting Tips: Matteo Berrettini - Stan Wawrinka
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