Gorzny vs Collignon Prediction 30 August 2026
🔊 Rafael Collignon arrives at the US Open on the back of a miserable run that stretches back to the clay swing - five consecutive defeats and counting. He opens against Sebastian Gorzny, who is making his debut at a New York Major. Like Collignon, the American is on a losing streak, though his runs to only two matches. That said, Gorzny had little to show for his efforts in the weeks prior, even at Challenger and Futures level. The question is whether Collignon can end his poor run against a lower-profile opponent who is struggling himself.
Head-to-Head
📊 Sebastien Gorzny and Raphaël Collignon have no previous meetings on record.
Sebastian Gorzny Player Overview
Four wins from his last ten matches reflects an inconsistent run of results for Gorny. All four victories came in second-tier events or ATP qualifying rounds - he has had no success in ATP main draws, and has played just one main-draw match in his entire career, at Winston-Salem last week, where he entered as a lucky loser after failing to qualify. He earned his wild card into the home Major through a collegiate play-off. On serve, Gorny holds around two-thirds of his service games - below the ATP Tour average. His double-fault rate is also high, averaging 6%, which frequently costs him momentum during matches.
Match Results: Sebastian Gorzny
Raphael Collignon Player Overview
Rafael Collignon arrives at the US Open having won four of his last ten matches. His summer started reasonably well - a quarter-final run at the Halle 500 on grass - before three consecutive defeats. He then turned things around to reach the final at the Gstaad ATP 250 on clay, but heads into this New York major on the back of another poor run, having failed to win a single match on hard courts during the North American swing. On serve, he holds around 80% of his service games. A product of European clay, Collignon is also effective on return, converting close to 40% of his break-point opportunities. Despite standing 191 cm tall, he is notably quick around the court, particularly on the baseline.
Match Results: Raphael Collignon
Key factors
- Both players average more than 23 and 30 games per match respectively.
- The Belgian is considerably more reliable on serve, and his height allows him to hit frequent aces.
- Gorzny will struggle to make an impact on his own serve, given his double-fault rate of 6%.
Expected scenario
This looks like a classic clash of styles. Raphaël Collignon will look to overpower the American with heavy forehand topspin, while Sebastian Gorzny will try to draw him into tactical exchanges, counter-punch off the backhand and disrupt the rhythm with frequent net approaches. On serve, the Belgian looks the stronger of the two - he makes excellent use of his 191 cm frame. The American is not far behind at 185 cm, but his delivery tends to be on the passive side. So while the rallies could be competitive, Collignon looks the more likely to dominate on serve.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both players tend to play fairly lengthy matches even when out of form. Neither is at his best right now, but both rarely go down without a fight. Despite the gap in class, their defensive styles suggest plenty of baseline exchanges: Collignon's game is rooted in a clay-court background, while Gorzny's modest serve means he tends to get drawn into rallies from the very first shot. Taken together, these factors point to a moderately extended contest, making Total Games - Over 30.5 worth backing.
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