Van De Zandschulp vs De Minaur Prediction 3 September 2026
🔊 Alex de Minaur has been badly affected by the rain in New York: if he wins his second-round US Open match against Botic van de Zandschulp, he will have played three matches in three days due to the schedule disruptions. He also has ranking points to defend from last year's quarter-final run. That said, van de Zandschulp is a fairly comfortable opponent for de Minaur - the Dutchman has never beaten the world No. 7. The US Open is also something of a happy hunting ground for de Minaur, who has reached the quarter-finals there three times. We'll see whether he can take another step towards his minimum target at this tournament.
Head-to-Head
📊 Alex de Minaur has won all four meetings against Botic van de Zandschulp. Notably, 2 of their 3 best-of-three matches went to a deciding set. Their only five-set encounter, at the 2025 Australian Open, ended in a straight-sets win for the Australian.
Head-to-head statistics Van De Zandschulp - De Minaur
Botic Van De Zandschulp Player Overview
Botic van de Zandschulp made a strong start to the summer hard-court swing, reaching the last 16 at the Montreal Masters and knocking out Daniil Medvedev along the way. His results dipped after that, though he did reach the quarter-finals in Winston-Salem ahead of the US Open, beating another top player in Luciano Darderi. In the first round of the Major, Botic had little trouble dispatching Jan Choinski 6-3, 6-1, 7-6. At 191 cm, the Dutchman generates considerable pace on his serve and holds in 80% of service games. His average games-won and sets-won percentages stand at 51% and 53% respectively. On the downside, he tends to lose focus on slow-paced balls, particularly against mobile players such as De Minaur.
Match Results: Botic Van De Zandschulp
Alex De Minaur Player Overview
Alex de Minaur had a poor summer hard-court swing by top-10 standards, going 5-3. His longest winning run in that period was just two matches, which he managed in Washington and Cincinnati. He opened his US Open campaign without much trouble against Andrea Guirrieri, winning 6-2, 6-2, 6-4. De Minaur's slight build means his serve is not a weapon - he holds just 66% of his service games. That said, his overall game and sets won percentages (58% and 66% respectively) do not suffer as a result. He is also highly effective in extended rallies. His exceptional return skills allow him to handle even the heaviest serves, and he tends to wear opponents down from there, aided by footwork that is arguably among the best on tour.
Match Results: Alex De Minaur
Key factors
- Botic van de Zandschulp regularly goes over 16.5 games in best-of-five matches.
- That total has gone over in 6 of his last 7 matches.
- Alex de Minaur had an unimpressive hard-court run in the build-up to the US Open.
Expected scenario
Alex de Minaur is considered the favourite, but Botic van de Zandschulp is capable of making it competitive given his notable wins this summer. The Australian, by contrast, had a very poor run by his standards through the North American summer swing. The key factor will be van de Zandschulp's consistency when attacking: if his aggressive cross-court balls land close to the baseline, he may be able to break through the Australian's exceptional defensive game. That said, as the match develops de Minaur will likely take full control of the court depth, and if his opponent cannot consistently finish points in two or three shots, the Australian may simply wear him down physically.
Total Games Prediction
In most of his recent five-set matches, Botic van de Zandschulp has consistently reached 16.5 games regardless of the opposition. In addition, in 2 of their 3 three-set meetings, the Dutchman managed to take a set despite losing the match. The chances of that happening again are reasonable, given de Minaur's relatively modest form this summer.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Botic van de Zandschulp's form this summer has allowed him to remain consistently competitive even against favourites. His high scoring rate means he regularly picks up a significant number of games regardless of the final result. Early in the match, van de Zandschulp will look to seize the initiative with a powerful first serve and flat, penetrating groundstrokes from the baseline.
The Dutchman will try to keep rallies short and avoid being drawn into the long, grinding exchanges that Alex de Minaur tends to impose. His level will likely drop towards the middle of the match, but by that point he may well have already made life uncomfortable for the Australian. The current odds make it reasonable to lower expectations for the underdog and back Van de Zandschulp Player Total Games - Over 14.5.
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Betting Tips: Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alex De Minaur
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