Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
🔊 Toulouse have failed to beat Olympique Marseille in each of their last 24 Ligue 1 encounters. However, the visitors are on a run of their own this season: Toulouse remain unbeaten on the road and have scored at least twice in every away match so far. Olympique Marseille, meanwhile, are riding a three-game winning streak in the league, netting 11 goals in that span-even if their defense still looks vulnerable. Which streak will come to an end on Sunday?
Head-to-Head
📊 Olympique Marseille are unbeaten against Toulouse in Ligue 1 for 24 consecutive matches. However, Toulouse rarely leave the Vélodrome empty-handed: in each of their last three visits, they've found the net twice. In the spring of 2025, the hosts secured a 3-2 victory. Last season, both meetings at this ground ended in draws-once in the league and once in the Coupe de France. In March, Olympique Marseille picked up three points on the road in Toulouse.
Head-to-head statistics Marseille - Toulouse
Olympique Marseille: 11 goals in three wins, but late goals conceded
Olympique Marseille have climbed back into the top half of the table, largely thanks to their attacking prowess. After suffering four straight Ligue 1 defeats, Bruno Génésio’s side bounced back with wins over Troyes, Angers, and Le Havre, scoring at least twice in each outing. Marseille now sit eighth with 12 points, just three behind fourth-placed Monaco. “I like the way we find the back of the net,” the coach remarked after the Le Havre match.
However, their defense continues to lag behind their attack-a fact Génésio readily admits, citing the team’s tendency to concede too many goals. The most recent fixture was a case in point: Le Havre, still searching for their first Ligue 1 win, were trailing by four goals after 55 minutes but managed to score three times late on. Things look even bleaker in the Europa League, where Génésio’s men have lost three on the bounce, most recently falling to Sturm Graz.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Toulouse remain unbeaten on the road, while picking up just four points at home.
The last time Toulouse suffered a defeat in Ligue 1 was back on September 3, when they lost to Lille. Since then, Jens Berthel Askou’s side-he arrived in May from Scottish club Motherwell-have gone five matches unbeaten. Toulouse have also shown resilience away from home: against both Monaco and Lorient, they trailed by two goals at halftime but managed to salvage a draw on each occasion.
Things have been tougher for Toulouse at home, where they’ve picked up the same number of points from four matches. A recent example is the goalless draw with Troyes, currently sitting 17th in the table. In that match, Toulouse enjoyed 68% possession before halftime, but visiting goalkeeper Hillel Konaté made three crucial saves. Askou urged his players to increase the tempo and take more risks, but the number of shots dropped in the second half. As it stands, Toulouse are 11th in the table with ten points.
Match Results: Toulouse
Latest news
Olympique Marseille
❓ Igor Paixao took a knock to the shoulder against Le Havre, but the winger is expected to be fit for the Toulouse game. Defender Derek Cornelius, who has a serious thigh injury, was left out of the squad for the last match.
Toulouse
❓ Defender Rafik Messali injured his thigh against Troyes and will be out for several weeks. Forward Sion Oppong has returned to full training after a calf injury. Askou will decide closer to kick-off whether to start him.
Probable Lineups
📋 Olympique Marseille projected starting XI: De Lange - Weah, Egan-Riley, Aguerd, Emerson - Nnadi, Hojbjerg - Harit, Abdelli, Paixao - Gouiri.
📋 Toulouse projected starting XI: Restes - Sigur, McKenzie, Nicolaisen, Tape - Donnum, Jorgensen, Casseres, Vossa - Russell-Rowe, Tengstedt.
Total Goals Prediction
Toulouse have scored at least twice in six of their last seven Ligue 1 away fixtures. This season, they’ve found the net nine times in four road games, never failing to score at least two. Olympique Marseille, meanwhile, have kept just one clean sheet in their last ten matches. We’re backing the visitors to score twice again on Sunday. The pick: Toulouse over 1.5 team goals at 2.60*.
Corners Prediction
Olympique Marseille have seen fewer than 11 corners in each of their last nine matches. Over their previous ten official games, Marseille have taken 48 corners, while their opponents have managed 36. For Toulouse, the numbers are 43 corners for and 49 against over the same period. On the road, Toulouse rarely rack up corners-fewer than four in eight of their last nine away fixtures. We don’t expect this match to reach 11 corners. The bet: under 10.5 total corners at odds of 1.42*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
There have been more than two yellow cards in 21 of Olympique Marseille’s last 23 Ligue 1 matches. Toulouse play an even more physical brand of football: over their last 10 official games, their players have picked up 25 cards, while their opponents have received 15. In the same span, Olympique Marseille have collected 16 yellows, with their rivals accumulating 23. Toulouse’s clash with Troyes, for example, saw six bookings handed out. We’re expecting at least three cards in this encounter. Our pick: total yellow cards over 2.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers
📌 Editorial Prediction
There’s never a dull moment at the Vélodrome-Olympique Marseille’s last five Ligue 1 home games have all featured more than two goals. Toulouse follow a similar script, with three or more goals scored in eight of their last nine away league fixtures. Marseille have found the net in 12 consecutive home matches, while Toulouse have scored on the road in 10 of their last 11 outings. We expect Marseille’s impressive head-to-head streak to reach 25 matches, and Toulouse to score at least twice at the Vélodrome for the fourth straight time. The recommended bet is over 2.5 goals. Predicted scoreline: 3-2.
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Betting Tips: Olympique Marseille - Toulouse
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