Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Marseille avenge their Coupe de France defeat to Toulouse? This Saturday, these rivals will face off in the 25th round of Ligue 1. Just recently, they clashed in a cup match where Olympique were knocked out of the tournament. How will the upcoming game unfold? Read our analytical piece for a prediction on the Toulouse vs. Marseille outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 When Toulouse and Marseille face each other, their matches are always high-scoring affairs, as recent head-to-head encounters demonstrate. In their last five clashes, there have been four or more goals scored, with both teams consistently finding the back of the net.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    10%
    4 Wins
    41%
    16 Draws
    49%
    19 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Total Goals Avg
    2.69
    Both teams scored
    62%
    0.92
    Total average
    1.77
    1.95
    Yellow cards
    1.67
    Last matches
    07.03.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.03
    0.85
    4
    2
    15
    14
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.03
    0.85
    4
    2
    15
    14
    2
    3
    04.03.26
    Coupe
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1.38
    1.58
    6
    6
    9
    11
    2
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    3
    4
    1.38
    1.58
    6
    6
    9
    11
    2
    1
    29.11.25
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1.33
    0.55
    9
    1
    7
    10
    2
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.33
    0.55
    9
    1
    7
    10
    2
    1
    06.04.25
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1.13
    1.31
    5
    1
    11
    15
    2
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.13
    1.31
    5
    1
    11
    15
    2
    3
    31.08.24
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    -
    -
    2
    3
    10
    11
    4
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    3
    10
    11
    4
    2
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🟣 Toulouse have been experiencing a rollercoaster of a season. Just a month ago, they were contenders for a European spot, but now they're sliding down the rankings, sitting at 11th place. The only bright spot for Carles Martinez's squad in the past month has been their sensational away victory against Marseille in the French Cup quarterfinals, decided by a penalty shootout.

    🔴 The cup clash was intense: Toulouse managed to come from behind twice during the match (2-2) and ultimately triumphed in a dramatic penalty shootout. However, their Ligue 1 form has been dismal under Carles Martinez's guidance, with only one point and two goals scored across their last four fixtures. With such performances, challenging Marseille in the league will be a daunting task.

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
    17.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    L
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    Olympique Marseille Team Overview

    ⚪ Marseille recently changed their head coach, but it didn't significantly help them in the Coupe de France. They suffered a disappointing home defeat despite having 62% possession. To be fair, Habib Beye's side managed only three shots on target, while Toulouse had six. Now, Olympique have just one competition left to focus on - Ligue 1, and they need to give it their all in the league.

    🔵 In their latest match, Marseille secured a crucial victory against their fierce rivals, Lyon (3-2), snapping a three-game winless streak. In that encounter, Marseille came from behind twice, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scoring the decisive goal in the dying moments. This win brought Habib Beye's team within two points of the top three.

    Match Results: Olympique Marseille

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Havre
    Havre
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Nice
    Nice
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    D
    18.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Toulouse

    📄 Toulouse midfielder Pape Diop has faced racial abuse from a Marseille fan on social media following their French Cup victory. A person with a Marseille emblem in their profile sent the player a message accompanied by a monkey emoji: "Dirty n****r. Your mother is a whore. Hope you die in your sleep." The 22-year-old Senegalese player scored the decisive penalty for his team, while Ethan Nwaneri missed his subsequent attempt. Toulouse have expressed their support for Diop on their official website and condemned this act of racism.

    ❌ Toulouse might be without Brazilian forward Emerson and English defender Charlie Cresswell for their upcoming match. Both players participated in the recent cup tie but picked up minor injuries and are currently sidelined.

    Olympique Marseille

    🎙 Marseille's coach spoke out following their defeat to Toulouse in the Coupe de France. "Conceding twice from set pieces is unacceptable-we need to improve in this area. I don't blame the players taking penalties; they deserve praise," stated Habib Beye.

    ❌ Marseille face uncertainty over the availability of two key players for their upcoming match. Dutch midfielder Quinten Timber missed the cup clash due to a shoulder injury, and it's unclear if he's fully recovered. Additionally, Algerian forward Amine Gouiri is sidelined with an injury, having missed the last two matches for his team.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Bastien Dechepy. Over the course of 100 games, he averages 3.73 yellow cards per match, with 26 fouls. In 24 matches in the French league, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Toulouse averages 2.3 per game, while Marseille averages 2.4. Given that opponents frequently receive yellows this season, we suggest betting on a total of over 3.5 yellow cards.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    Toulouse's average individual total in Ligue 1 is 1.4 goals per match, whereas Marseille's is significantly higher at 2.1. The goal-scoring ability in matches involving these teams is high: the hosts average 2.5, while the visitors average 3.5. Considering this data and their head-to-head results, we recommend considering a bet on a match total of over 2.5 goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In 24 matches in the French league, Toulouse averages 4.9 corners per game, with Marseille showing identical stats at 4.9. Both teams earn a decent number of set-pieces from the corner and have slightly above-average league statistics, so we propose betting on a total of over 8.5 corners.

    Editor's Prediction

    The stakes couldn't be higher for this upcoming clash: Toulouse are eager to cement their cup success, while Marseille aim to prove their loss was merely a fluke. Both teams will undoubtedly be pushing for victory-this won't be a goalless affair by any means. Considering the high-scoring nature of their head-to-head encounters, we suggest betting on a total over 2.5 goals. The expected scoreline is a win for the visitors (2-3), which could serve as a well-deserved revenge.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -118*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (6 March 2026, 13:22)

    Betting Tips: Toulouse - Olympique Marseille

    Toulouse have lost
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in 5 of last 6 home games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Marseille Win
    Bovada
    +118
    Toulouse have not won
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in last 23 games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in last 18 games against Olympique Marseille.
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in last 16 home games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Marseille will not lose
    Everygame
    -303
    Toulouse have conceded
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in 13 of last 14 games against Olympique Marseille.
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in 12 of last 13 games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in 10 of last 11 home games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Marseille will score goal
    Everygame
    -556
    Toulouse conceded in the 2nd half
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in 13 of last 14 games against Olympique Marseille.
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in 12 of last 13 games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in 10 of last 11 home games against Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcolympique-marseille-1in last 6 home games against Olympique Marseille.
    2nd half, Olympique Marseille will score goal
    -169
    View more facts

    Toulouse - Marseille Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    341861053-4060
    5.
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    341851163-4559
    6.
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    34178959-5059
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 22
    -7
    0
    12 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draw
    1
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    12
    22
    Conceded
    12
    3.7
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats