Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Can Toulouse break their winless streak and secure a spot in the French Cup semifinals? The Violets are set to visit Marseille on Wednesday for a cup quarterfinal clash. Bookmakers are skeptical about the visitors' chances to challenge the Southerners, offering relatively low odds on the hosts. Let's delve deeper into this matchup and make a prediction on its outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Toulouse have been a favorable opponent for Marseille, with the "southerners" remaining unbeaten in regular time against them for the past 15 years. In their last three head-to-head encounters, the "Violets" have suffered two defeats and managed just one draw.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    49%
    19 Wins
    41%
    16 Draws
    10%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Total Goals Avg
    2.69
    Both teams scored
    62%
    1.77
    Total average
    0.92
    1.67
    Yellow cards
    1.95
    Last matches
    07.03.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.03
    0.85
    4
    2
    15
    14
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.03
    0.85
    4
    2
    15
    14
    2
    3
    04.03.26
    Coupe
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1.38
    1.58
    6
    6
    9
    11
    2
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    3
    4
    1.38
    1.58
    6
    6
    9
    11
    2
    1
    29.11.25
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1.33
    0.55
    9
    1
    7
    10
    2
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.33
    0.55
    9
    1
    7
    10
    2
    1
    06.04.25
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1.13
    1.31
    5
    1
    11
    15
    2
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.13
    1.31
    5
    1
    11
    15
    2
    3
    31.08.24
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    -
    -
    2
    3
    10
    11
    4
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    3
    10
    11
    4
    2
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    Olympique Marseille Team Overview

    ⚪ Marseille's journey through this season's Coupe de France bracket has been remarkably smooth, securing three victories with an aggregate score of 18-0. In the Round of 16, the white and blue left Rennes with no chance, winning 3-0 by scoring an early goal and then sealing the deal in the second half. Not conceding a single goal is a strong statement, not just for their semifinal aspirations but for their entire tournament campaign.

    🔵 In the league, Marseille recently went through a rough patch that led to a change in head coach. Habib Beye is now at the helm, and under his leadership, the southern side secured a crucial victory over Lyon (3-2) in their last match. This win brought them closer to the top three, reigniting their battle for Ligue 1's podium spots.

    Match Results: Olympique Marseille

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Havre
    Havre
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Nice
    Nice
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    D
    18.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    L
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🟣 Toulouse have navigated the rounds of the Coupe de France with less conviction than their opponents, with each match turning into a nail-biter, despite facing teams that are far from elite. Here's who the Violets defeated on their path to the quarter-finals: Lyon Duchère (2-1), Angers (2-1), and Amiens (1-0). These results can't be attributed to caution; rather, they reflect a lack of attacking prowess even against such opponents.

    🔴 In Ligue 1, Toulouse are experiencing a significant slump that has seen them slip to mid-table. Over the last four rounds, Carles Martinez's men have managed just a single point, drawing with Paris FC (1-1). The other three matches resulted in losses to Angers (0-1), Le Havre (1-2), and Rennes (0-1). Such unconvincing performances are what Toulouse are dealing with right now!

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
    17.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Olympique Marseille

    ❌ Marseille face minimal setbacks ahead of this match. The main absence is midfielder Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, who will miss out due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Additionally, Algerian forward Amine Gouiri is sidelined with an injury, and there's no clear timeline for his recovery at the moment.

    Toulouse

    ❌ Toulouse face no suspensions, but they are dealing with a slew of injuries that will keep key players out of their clash against Marseille. Who will definitely be missing from the pitch? Ilyas Azizi has been sidelined for a while with a knee injury, Abu Francis is out with a leg fracture, Rasmus Nicolaisen suffered a painful knock two rounds ago in Ligue 1, and Rafik Messali has been absent from main group training for two weeks due to an ankle issue.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Jérémie Pignard. Over his last 100 games, he averages 4.37 yellow cards per match, with 23 fouls. In the last 10 matches, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Marseille average 2.6 per game, while Toulouse average 2. Both teams have been frequently cautioned this season, so we suggest a bet on total yellow cards over 3.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Marseille's individual goal average over their last ten games stands at 1.8 per match, whereas Toulouse's is significantly lower at 1.1. The goal-scoring tendency in matches involving these teams is as follows: the hosts average 4 goals, while the visitors average 2.1. Considering these statistics, we recommend betting on total match goals over 2.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In their last 10 matches across all competitions, Marseille have averaged 4.4 corners per game, while Toulouse have averaged 5.5. Both teams frequently earn set pieces from the corner, so we suggest placing a bet on total corners over 8.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Marseille's recent victory over Lyon has undoubtedly boosted the confidence of Habib Beye's squad. Given Toulouse's struggles in the league, the bookmakers' stance on favoring Marseille seems justified. We believe the "White and Blues" will secure a convincing win at home, and we're backing a Marseille victory. Our predicted scoreline is 3-0!

    Our choice
    Olympique Marseille Win at odds of -167*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 March 2026, 09:46)

    Betting Tips: Olympique Marseille - Toulouse

    Toulouse have lost the 2nd half
    olympique-marseille-1toulouse-fcin 6 of last 7 away games against Olympique Marseille.
    2nd Half Olympique Marseille Win
    Everygame
    +120
    Olympique Marseille have not lost
    olympique-marseille-1toulouse-fcin last 17 games against Toulouse.
    olympique-marseille-1toulouse-fcin last 13 home games against Toulouse.
    Olympique Marseille will not lose
    Everygame
    -435
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    olympique-marseille-1in last 14 Olympique Marseille games.
    olympique-marseille-1in 9 of last 10 Olympique Marseille home games.
    in last 9 Jeremie Pignard games.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Olympique Marseille have scored
    olympique-marseille-1toulouse-fcin 12 of last 13 games against Toulouse.
    Olympique Marseille will score goal
    Everygame
    -556
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 12
    0
    -7
    15 - Scored
    22 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draw
    1
    4
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    15
    12
    Conceded
    22
    2.4
    Match goals average
    3.7
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    7
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats