Juarez vs Toluca Prediction 27 November 2025
💥 The quarter-final stage of the MX League playoffs kicks off, where the semi-finalists will be decided after two-legged ties. In the first clash of this round, Juárez take on Toluca. Their encounter promises to be thrilling. Who will gain the upper hand before the return leg? Read the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Juárez were the home side):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 0 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Juárez and Toluca:
- 15 matches played;
- home wins - 6, away wins - 5, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 20 for Juárez, 24 for Toluca;
- average goals in the first half - 1.2, in the second half - 1.73;
- average total goals per match - 2.93.
Head-to-head statistics Juarez - Toluca
Juarez Team Overview
The last official match was played in the Liga MX, with Juárez as the home team and Pachuca as the visitors. The match ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Juárez vs Pachuca):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Juarez have been displaying rather inconsistent form, with 2 wins and a draw in their last five matches highlighting the team's instability. Despite this, they maintain an average of about 1.58 goals per game and frequently engage in high-scoring encounters, with the total going over 2.5 goals in eight consecutive matches. However, their defense leaves much to be desired, as they concede an average of 1.68 goals per match. This could be a crucial factor against an opponent with Toluca's potent attack.
Match Results: Juarez
Toluca Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in Liga MX, with Toluca hosting Club América. The match ended with a scoreline of 2-0.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs Club América):
- Possession: 43% vs 57%;
- Corners: 4 vs 6;
- Fouls: 17 vs 5;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Toluca have claimed the top spot in the regular-season standings thanks to their remarkable unbeaten run in the last ten matches (7 wins and 3 draws). The team plays with aggression, successfully controlling possession and creating numerous scoring opportunities, averaging an impressive 2.53 goals per match while maintaining a solid defense, conceding just 0.9 goals on average. This confident play enables the "Diablos" to maintain their lead even against tough opponents like Juárez, whom they recently defeated 2-0.
Match Results: Toluca
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 5, draws - 4.
Statistics: Juarez vs Toluca
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 7 vs 11;
- win percentage: 37% vs 65%;
- losses: 7 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 7;
- losses: 4 vs 0;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Juarez won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 1.6;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.93;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Juarez vs Toluca
- average total in the tournament: 3.26 vs 3.59;
- average total goals scored: 1.58 vs 2.53;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.79 vs 1.29;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 1.24;
- Juarez: average total at home in the tournament - 1.8;
- Toluca: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.33) vs 2.7 (away - 2).
- Juarez have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Juarez: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.16; at home field - 4.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 3.67.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.12, away - 4.88;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 6.4.
- Under 10.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Toluca games (Liga MX).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.66 (2.33 for home team and 2.33 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.88 (2.63 for home team and 2.25 for away team).
Juarez: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.79; at home - 2.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.5.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.24, away - 2.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 2.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Juarez vs Toluca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Juarez at home - 7 (70%);
- number of BTTS matches for Toluca away - 3 (38%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Juarez at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for Toluca away - 2 (40%).
- Juarez have scored and conceded in last 8 games (Liga MX).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming clash between Juárez and Toluca, there is a strong likelihood that both teams will find the back of the net. Playing on home turf, Juárez will actively seek attacking opportunities, buoyed by the support of their fans. Meanwhile, Toluca possess enough offensive prowess to breach the hosts' defense. Considering the attacking mindset of both sides and their ability to create scoring chances, the most likely outcome is both teams to score. A possible scoreline could be 1-2.No comments
Betting Tips: Juarez - Toluca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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