Juarez vs Toluca Prediction 12 August 2025
❓ The upcoming Liga MX clash features Juarez taking on Toluca. Juarez are struggling this season, languishing near the bottom of the table and fighting to retain their spot in the league. Their form has been inconsistent, with the team unable to secure victories in recent matches. Meanwhile, Toluca are showcasing impressive attacking prowess, consistently scoring more than two goals per game. How will this encounter unfold? Find out in our prediction!
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place in February, with Toluca claiming a 4-0 victory. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (with Juárez as the home side):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Juárez and Toluca:
- 14 matches played;
- home wins - 6, away wins - 4, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 20 for home team, 22 for away team;
- average first-half total - 1.21, second-half - 1.79;
- average total goals per match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Juarez - Toluca

Juarez Team Overview
The team's last official match was in the Leagues Cup against New York Red Bulls. The encounter ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Juárez vs New York Red Bulls):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
Juarez find themselves in a tough spot-"the Broncos" sit in 17th place in the league and are in desperate need of points to climb the standings. The team frequently struggles both offensively and defensively, averaging just 0.67 goals per match while conceding a similar number. In their last ten games, they've managed only two wins, alongside four losses and four draws.
Match Results: Juarez

Toluca Team Overview
The visitors' most recent official match was in the Leagues Cup against New York City. The game concluded with a 2-1 victory for Toluca.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs New York City):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Toluca are firmly holding onto the fourth spot in the standings, thanks to their formidable attacking lineup-the "Diablos Rojos" average over three goals per game this season. The team's form is impressive, with eight wins in their last ten matches speaking volumes. However, their defense can be a liability at times, conceding more than two goals per match.
Match Results: Toluca
Latest news
Juarez
For the hosts, Jonathan Gonzalez, Jesus Murillo, and Brian Romero are at risk of missing the upcoming match.
Toluca
The visitors have no injuries ahead of the upcoming match, and all players are expected to participate.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.21;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.36, while the visitors net 0.86.
First-Half Stats: Juarez (home) vs Toluca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (100%) vs 1 (100%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 3;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 6 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.3) vs 2.1 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 1).
- Toluca conceded in the 1st half in last 7 games.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- Home wins - 6, Away wins - 4, Draws - 4.
Statistics: Juárez vs Toluca
- Matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- Wins: 0 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 0% vs 67%;
- Losses: 1 vs 1;
- Draws: 2 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 8;
- Losses: 4 vs 1;
- Draws: 4 vs 1.
- Juárez cover the +1.5 spread in 15 of their last 16 matches.
- Juárez cover the +1.5 spread in 12 of their last 13 matches (Liga MX).
- Juárez cover the +1.5 spread at home in 6 of their last 7 matches (Liga MX).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average goals scored by home team - 1.43, away team - 1.57;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 8 times; at the home ground - 4 times.
- Juárez score under 1.5 goals at home in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches (Liga MX).
- Juárez score under 1.5 goals in 5 consecutive matches (Liga MX).
Corners Prediction
Juárez: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.33; at home - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.5; at home - 4.5.
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6, away - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4; away - 3.
- Total under 9.5 corners hit in 7 of Juárez's last 8 matches (Liga MX).
- Total under 9.5 corners hit in 9 of Toluca's last 10 matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.42 (2.21 for the home team and 2.21 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.43 (2.43 for the home team and 2 for the visitors).
Juárez: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.33; at home - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; at home - 2.
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.33, away - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.2; away - 3.33.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- Both teams scored overall - 8 times;
- At the home ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Juárez vs Toluca
- Total matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- Total matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): Juárez - 2, Toluca - 3;
- BTTS for Juárez at home - 1 (100%);
- BTTS for Toluca away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Matches with BTTS: Juárez - 7, Toluca - 7;
- BTTS for Juárez at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS for Toluca away - 2 (67%).
- Juárez score and concede in 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Toluca score and concede in their last 7 matches consecutively.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering Toluca's potent attack and their scoring prowess against teams like Juarez, we can anticipate an open match with plenty of chances at the hosts' end. Despite Juarez's efforts to improve their home form, containing Toluca's swift counterattacks will be challenging. With the over 2.5 goals hitting in many of Toluca's recent fixtures, this bet appears to be the most reasonable option for this encounter.