Toluca vs Juarez Prediction 8 March 2026
✨ Toluca and Juarez are gearing up for another showdown, with both teams eager to solidify their standings. Toluca have been in impressive form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches and displaying solid defensive play. Juarez, despite their inconsistent form, have shown an ability to score on the road. Read the prediction for their clash below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (home team - Toluca):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 0.
📊Statistical preview of the official matches between Toluca and Juárez:
- 17 matches played;
- home wins - 6, away wins - 6, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 26 for Toluca, 21 for Juárez;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.12, second half - 1.65;
- average total goals per match - 2.76.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Juarez
Toluca Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Liga MX, featuring UNAM Pumas as the home side and Toluca as the visitors. The game concluded with a 3-2 victory for the visitors.
Here are the match stats (Toluca vs UNAM Pumas):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 14 vs 2;
- fouls: 2 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 8 vs 7.
Toluca are in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches and currently sitting second in the league standings. The team boasts a solid defense and impressive scoring ability, averaging two goals per game while conceding just 0.88. In their last ten outings, Toluca have secured victory seven times, showcasing their consistency on the pitch. This enables them to dominate play and control the tempo of the match.
Match Results: Toluca
Juarez Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, where they faced Club América. The game concluded with a 1-2 scoreline in favor of América.
Here are the match statistics (Juárez vs América):
- Possession: 33% vs 67%;
- Corners: 3 vs 1;
- Fouls: 14 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 5;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Juarez currently sit 12th in the standings, displaying inconsistent performances with just three wins in their last ten matches and five losses indicating struggles with form. However, the team has shown an ability to find scoring opportunities even on the road, averaging 1.52 goals per game. Defense remains a weak spot, as frequent errors lead to a higher number of goals conceded.
Match Results: Juarez
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 6, draws - 5.
- Juarez won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games against Toluca.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.53, the guests - 1.24;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.76;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Toluca vs Juarez
- average total in the tournament: 2.88 vs 3.17;
- average total goals scored: 2 vs 1.52;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.94 vs 0.79;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.06 vs 0.72;
- Toluca: average total at home in the tournament - 2.44;
- Juarez: average total away in the tournament - 1.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.8) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Toluca games (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.63; at home field - 5.31;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; at home field - 5.2.
Juarez: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4, away - 3.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 3.4.
- Juarez have taken over 2.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games against Toluca (Liga MX).
- Juarez have taken over 2.5 corners in last 6 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
- Juarez have scored and conceded in 14 of last 16 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (26/249, 10.4%);
- Toluca at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (4/16, 25%);
- Juarez away most often play: 1:2 (4/14, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 11.08% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 10.92% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 10.23% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Toluca often adopt a pragmatic approach at home, especially against teams capable of posing defensive challenges, focusing on ball control and solid defense. Juarez tend to play cautiously in away matches, aiming to minimize risks and prioritize defense, leading to a slow pace and few dangerous opportunities. Encounters between these teams rarely feature a goal fest, as both sides are adept at closing down spaces and don't always exhibit high conversion rates. Given their mutual caution and the standings that underscore the high cost of errors, betting on under 3.5 goals seems the most likely scenario.
No comments
Betting Tips: Toluca - Juarez
in 9 of last 10 games against Juarez (Liga MX).in 21 of last 22 home games (Liga MX).in last 18 home games.in last 10 games (Liga MX).
in 9 of last 10 games against Juarez (Liga MX).in 21 of last 22 home games (Liga MX).in 12 of last 13 home games.in 17 of last 18 games (Liga MX).in 16 of last 17 away games.in 13 of last 14 away games (Liga MX).in 12 of last 14 games against Toluca (Liga MX).in 6 of last 7 Toluca games (Liga MX).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
