Bahia Ba vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 May 2025

    🔊 In the upcoming 11th round of the Brazilian Championship, Bahia and São Paulo are set to clash with crucial points at stake. Both teams aim to solidify their positions at the top of the table, and their current form doesn't differ much. Bahia have been impressive at home, consistently finding the back of the net and remaining unbeaten in the league on their turf. São Paulo, on the other hand, have shown decent results on the road but often struggle both defensively and offensively. The odds slightly favor the home side, yet the match remains intriguing due to both teams' unpredictable performances and their ability to surprise opponents with tactical maneuvers.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between these teams took place on 06 November 2024 and ended in a 0-3 defeat. Here's a breakdown of the key stats from that encounter (Bahia were the home side):

    • possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corners: 10 vs 3;
    • fouls: 13 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 4.

    📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Bahia and São Paulo:

    • 27 matches played;
    • home wins - 8, away wins - 13, draws - 6;
    • goals scored - 22 for Bahia, 34 for São Paulo;
    • average goals in the first half - 0.74, in the second half - 1.33;
    • average total goals per match - 2.07.

    Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Sao Paulo

    30%
    9 Wins
    23%
    7 Draws
    47%
    14 Wins
    Total games
    30
    Avg. total goals
    2.17
    Both teams scored
    37%
    0.87
    Average total
    1.3
    2.23
    Yellow cards
    2.23
    Last matches
    03.05.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Bahia
    Bahia
    2.15
    2.19
    14
    10
    12
    12
    4
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    2.15
    2.19
    14
    10
    12
    12
    4
    3
    26.10.25
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1.13
    0.86
    5
    4
    10
    8
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.13
    0.86
    5
    4
    10
    8
    2
    4
    31.05.25
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    2.31
    1.84
    5
    3
    13
    11
    1
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    2.31
    1.84
    5
    3
    13
    11
    1
    2
    06.11.24
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1.31
    0.99
    10
    3
    13
    16
    3
    2
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    1.31
    0.99
    10
    3
    13
    16
    3
    2
    30.06.24
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Bahia
    Bahia
    -
    -
    4
    4
    11
    10
    4
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    11
    10
    4
    1
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    Bahia Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on as part of the Copa Libertadores, with Internacional hosting Bahia. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Internacional):

    • possession: 65% vs 35%;
    • corners: 4 vs 3;
    • fouls: 3 vs 19;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 5.

    After 10 rounds, Bahia sit in 7th place on the table with four wins, three draws, and three losses. The team excels at home, remaining unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 matches across all competitions and have yet to lose a league match this season. However, their attacking prowess leaves much to be desired, with only 9 goals scored in 10 games (less than one per match) and 10 conceded (an average of one per game), indicating inefficiencies both in attack and defense. Further evidence of their inconsistency is seen in their recent form across all competitions, with 5 wins and 5 losses in their last 10 matches.

    Match Results: Bahia

    Last matches
    18.10.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    0.51
    2.95
    4
    14
    12
    9
    4
    2
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0.51
    2.95
    4
    14
    12
    9
    4
    2
    L
    11.10.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    2.81
    1.66
    6
    2
    13
    16
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.81
    1.66
    6
    2
    13
    16
    1
    4
    W
    09.10.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Bahia
    Bahia
    2.63
    0.67
    7
    3
    9
    12
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.63
    0.67
    7
    3
    9
    12
    1
    2
    L
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    L
    14.09.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    2.86
    1.53
    7
    6
    18
    12
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.86
    1.53
    7
    6
    18
    12
    2
    1
    W
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    Sao Paulo Team Overview

    The visitors' most recent official match was on , as part of the Copa Libertadores, where São Paulo hosted Talleres. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (São Paulo vs Talleres):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 0 vs 5;
    • fouls: 8 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    São Paulo sit in 13th place, having secured just two wins, along with six draws and two losses. The team has scored 8 goals and conceded 9 in the league, indicating inefficiencies both in attack and defense. However, they've shown resilience on the road, suffering only one defeat in four away matches. Their recent form across the last 10 matches in all competitions is notably better, with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Additionally, São Paulo successfully navigated the group stage of the Copa Libertadores, finishing top of Group D and advancing directly to the Round of 16 in one of South America's most prestigious club tournaments.

    Match Results: Sao Paulo

    Last matches
    18.10.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    1.16
    1.13
    3
    4
    14
    15
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.16
    1.13
    3
    4
    14
    15
    2
    2
    W
    11.10.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1.9
    1.23
    6
    2
    13
    13
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.9
    1.23
    6
    2
    13
    13
    4
    3
    W
    08.10.26
    Serie A
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    2.71
    1
    8
    8
    12
    20
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.71
    1
    8
    8
    12
    20
    2
    1
    L
    02.10.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Santos
    Santos
    1.84
    0.64
    14
    1
    13
    10
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.84
    0.64
    14
    1
    13
    10
    1
    3
    L
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Internacional
    Internacional
    1.14
    0.51
    3
    3
    15
    13
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.14
    0.51
    3
    3
    15
    13
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 27;
    • Home wins - 8, Away wins - 13, Draws - 6.

    Statistics: Bahia vs São Paulo

    • Matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
    • Wins: 4 vs 2;
    • Win percentage: 40% vs 20%;
    • Losses: 3 vs 2;
    • Draws: 3 vs 6.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 5 vs 5;
    • Losses: 5 vs 2;
    • Draws: 0 vs 3.
    👉Prediction: Bahia Handicap (0) (odds: 1.48)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Today's home side averages - 0.81 goals, away side - 1.26 goals;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.07;
    • Both teams have scored: overall - 9 times; at the home ground - 4 times.

    Statistics: Bahia vs São Paulo

    • Average total in the tournament: 1.9 vs 1.7;
    • Average goals scored: 0.9 vs 0.8;
    • Average first-half total: 0.5 vs 0.5;
    • Average second-half total: 0.4 vs 0.3;
    • Bahia: average home total in the tournament - 1.2;
    • São Paulo: average away total in the tournament - 0.75;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 2) vs 1.2 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Bahia have scored less than 1.5 goals in the last 13 consecutive head-to-head matches.
    • Bahia have scored less than 1.5 goals in the last 11 consecutive head-to-head matches (Brazil Serie A).
    • Bahia have scored less than 1.5 goals at home in the last 6 consecutive head-to-head matches.
    • Bahia have scored less than 1.5 goals at home in the last 5 consecutive head-to-head matches (Brazil Serie A).
    • Bahia have scored less than 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 matches.
    • Bahia have scored less than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches (Brazil Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Bahia Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.5)

    Corners Prediction

    Bahia: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 5.1; at home - 4;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; at home - 4.

    São Paulo: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.4, away - 2.75;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; away - 3.
    Trends
    • Total over 8.5 corners has occurred in 6 of Bahia's last 7 matches.
    • Total over 8.5 corners has occurred in 8 of São Paulo's last 9 matches (Brazil Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (8,5) (odds: 1.44)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.38 (2.19 for home side and 2.19 for away side);
    • Average total yellow cards at home ground - 4.5 (2.36 for home side and 2.14 for away side).

    Bahia: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.4; at home - 2.6;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; at home - 2.

    São Paulo: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4, away - 4;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.8; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 27;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 9 times;
    • At home ground - 4 times.

    Statistics: Bahia vs São Paulo

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
    • Total matches where both teams scored this season (BTTS): 4 vs 5;
    • BTTS for Bahia at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS for São Paulo away - 2 (50%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Total BTTS matches: 3 vs 6;
    • BTTS for Bahia at home - 2 (50%);
    • BTTS for São Paulo away - 2 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.71)

    Editorial Prediction

    Bahia seem to be the favorites in this clash, thanks to their strong home form. Considering current trends-Bahia consistently find the back of the net on their own turf-we can expect at least one goal from the hosts in this matchup. On the other hand, São Paulo are struggling to convert chances, averaging less than a goal per game in the league. All this makes betting on a Bahia win with a handicap (0) a sensible strategy for this encounter.

    Bahia Handicap (0)
    Odds-208
    Published: 30/05/2025, 10:10

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    Betting Tips: Bahia - Sao Paulo

    Bahia have not lost:
    ec-bahia-bain 11 of last 12 home games.
    ec-bahia-bain last 7 home games (Serie A).
    Sao Paulo have not won:
    sao-paulo-sp-1in last 7 away games (Serie A).
    Bahia will not lose
    Everygame
    -526
    Bahia have not won:
    ec-bahia-basao-paulo-sp-1in 12 of last 13 games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-basao-paulo-sp-1in 8 of last 9 games against Sao Paulo.
    Sao Paulo have not lost:
    sao-paulo-sp-1in 16 of last 18 games.
    sao-paulo-sp-1in 7 of last 8 away games.
    Sao Paulo will not lose
    Everygame
    -118
    Bahia have scored under 1.5 goals:
    ec-bahia-basao-paulo-sp-1in last 13 games against Sao Paulo.
    ec-bahia-basao-paulo-sp-1in last 11 games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-basao-paulo-sp-1in last 6 home games against Sao Paulo.
    ec-bahia-basao-paulo-sp-1in last 5 home games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bain 13 of last 15 games.
    ec-bahia-bain 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
    Bahia Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -182
    Bahia have scored:
    ec-bahia-bain last 17 home games.
    ec-bahia-bain last 8 home games (Serie A).
    Bahia will score goal
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 14
    +1
    0
    10 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    1
    3
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    10
    14
    Conceded
    10
    2.9
    Average total per match
    2
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats