Santos vs Bahia Ba Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2026
🔊 Santos and Bahia come into this match late in the season occupying neighbouring positions in mid-table. Both sides have been scoring regularly in recent rounds, which is supported by the trends and average goals statistics over their last ten matches. The game looks set to be an open one on both sides.
Bahia are chasing a rare victory over Santos
Bahia and Santos 25 April 2026 drew 2-2 in the Série A. Santos led 2-0 at half-time, but the hosts fought back. Bahia had more shots - 18 to 11 - though they were behind on expected goals: 1.37 to 2.14.
Across 26 official meetings, Santos have won 12, Bahia 6, with 8 draws. Santos's home advantage is particularly pronounced: 7 wins and just one defeat in 12 home matches.
Head-to-head statistics Santos - Bahia Ba
What’s driving Santos’ attacking form?
Santos 18 October 2026 beat Fluminense away 2-1 in their last Serie A match, despite trailing 1-0 at half-time. The visitors had 17 shots to 8 and created significantly more chances by xG - 2.59 to 0.87.
Santos have been in consistent attacking form, scoring more than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game over the last ten rounds. In the last five rounds they have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, which points to good form heading into the end of the season. They have also been regularly involved in high-scoring matches: Total Goals - Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score - Yes have both landed in six consecutive games.
Match Results: Santos
Bahia: attack delivers, but defensive lapses persist
Bahia's last Série A match ended in a 0-3 home defeat to Flamengo 18 October 2026. The score was level at half-time, but by the end of the match the visitors had registered 15 shots on target to Bahia's 3, with the goalkeeper making 11 saves for the hosts.
Bahia also sit among the solid mid-table sides in the league. In their last five matches they have won two and lost three; across their last ten matches they have won five and lost three, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their balanced attack allows them to maintain a high tempo against any opponent, but the defence is not particularly reliable, which leads to frequent goal exchanges even against sides of a similar level.
Match Results: Bahia
Total Goals Prediction
Santos have scored more than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches, which supports the current trend. The team also has a high average of 1.47 goals per home match, and 1.5 goals per match in their last 10 home games. Despite the consistency of the trend, Bahia concede 1.47 on average away from home, which leaves room for the bet to land. The sample size is sufficient and there are no obvious contradictions. The bet is Santos Team Total - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.86*
High-Risk Bet
Santos have a solid home record this season - six wins and five draws in 15 matches - and have not lost to Bahia in their last eight home meetings. Santos have also scored more than 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight matches, which could support a two-goal winning margin. That said, their season statistics do not guarantee big wins on a regular basis, which makes this bet risky but not without justification. The selection is Santos Handicap -1.5 at 3.39*.
Safer Bet
Santos have delivered more than 4.5 corners at home in 10 consecutive matches, which points to a high level of consistency in this area. There are no contradicting data points on this line, the trend is current and backed by a lengthy run. This makes Santos Team Corners - Over 4.5 a reliable selection at odds of 1.30*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines are: 1-1 (11.64%), 2-1 (9.68%), 1-0 (9.63%). A 1-1 draw stands out as the single most probable outcome, though the chances of Santos winning by a one-goal margin are also fairly high. All three options carry similar probabilities, which points to a fairly even contest.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both sides are having a season with plenty of motivation, which leads them to play boldly in attack when picking up points against direct rivals. Recent trends show Santos consistently scoring and conceding: the Both Teams to Score - Yes outcome has landed in six consecutive matches, and Total Goals - Over 2.5 has been recorded just as many times in a row, driven by the attacking play of both clubs in this Serie A season. That pattern directly increases the likelihood of goals being exchanged again. The editor's main prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Santos - Bahia
in last 10 home games against Bahia.in last 9 home games against Bahia (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 games against Bahia.in 12 of last 13 home games.in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
in 9 of last 10 games against Bahia.in 7 of last 8 games against Bahia (Serie A).in 13 of last 14 home games (Serie A).in last 8 home games.in 10 of last 11 home games against Bahia (Serie A).in last 9 games (Serie A).in last 8 games.in 9 of last 10 away games against Santos.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
