Sao Paulo vs Bahia Ba Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 October 2025
🔊 São Paulo and Bahia gear up for an exciting clash in the 30th round of the championship, with both teams chasing their respective goals. São Paulo aim to get back on the winning track after a series of inconsistent results, fueled by their ambition to climb higher in the standings. Meanwhile, Bahia are in decent form and have solidified their position among the leaders. Both squads are nearly at full strength, promising an engaging spectacle with a focus on tactical battles. Considering the odds and the current form of the teams, a hard-fought match with the potential for an unexpected outcome is on the cards.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 31 May 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that match (with Bahia as the home side):
- possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between São Paulo and Bahia:
- 28 matches played;
- home victories: 13, away victories: 9, draws: 6;
- goals scored: 35 for São Paulo, 24 for Bahia;
- average goals in the first half: 0.71, in the second half: 1.39;
- average total goals per match: 2.11.
Head-to-head statistics Sao Paulo - Bahia Ba
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Mirasol hosting São Paulo. The match ended in a 3-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (São Paulo vs Mirasol):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 17 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 8.
⚪ São Paulo are navigating a challenging period, having suffered four defeats in their last five matches, securing just one victory. The team struggles with scoring, averaging only 0.5 goals per game over the past ten encounters. The "Tricolor" face difficulties both at home and away, with just 10 wins and 11 losses this season, placing them mid-table in 9th position. Their recent 2-1 loss to Bahia adds pressure ahead of their upcoming fixture.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Bahia Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Serie A, with Bahia hosting Internacional. The match concluded with a scoreline of 1-0.
Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Internacional):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
🔵 Bahia are displaying a more confident style of play, currently sitting fifth in the league thanks to three wins in their last five matches. The team boasts impressive attacking prowess, scoring in nearly every game with an average of 1.38 goals per match. In their most recent head-to-head encounter, they triumphed over São Paulo with a 2-1 victory, underscoring their ability to handle opponents even away from home. Given their current form, the visitors are well-positioned to aim for another positive result.
Match Results: Bahia
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 28;
- First-half wins for home team - 4; for away team - 1; draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 0.71;
- Today's home side averages 0.5 goals, while the visitors score 0.21.
First-Half Stats: São Paulo (home) vs Bahia (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- Wins: 7 (50%) vs 3 (21.43%);
- Losses: 2 (14.29%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- Draws: 5 (35.71%) vs 5 (35.71%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.29;
- Average goals conceded: 0.29 vs 0.79.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 3 vs 3;
- Losses: 4 vs 2;
- Draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.5) vs 1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.4).
- São Paulo have scored in the first half at home in 6 of their last 7 matches (Serie A).
- Bahia have conceded in the first half away in their last 6 matches (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 28;
- Home wins - 13, Away wins - 9, Draws - 6.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Bahia
- Matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- Victories: 10 vs 14;
- Win percentage: 34% vs 48%;
- Losses: 11 vs 8;
- Draws: 8 vs 7.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 4;
- Losses: 8 vs 5;
- Draws: 0 vs 1.
- Bahia cover a +1.5 spread away in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings (Serie A).
- Bahia cover a +1.5 spread in 6 consecutive matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's hosts average goals - 1.25, visitors - 0.86;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.11;
- Both teams scored: overall - 10 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Bahia
- Average total in the tournament: 2.21 vs 2.48;
- Average goals scored: 1.07 vs 1.38;
- Average first-half total: 0.55 vs 0.66;
- Average second-half total: 0.52 vs 0.72;
- São Paulo: average home total in the tournament - 1.29;
- Bahia: average away total in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 0.5 (home - 0.75) vs 1.2 (away - 0.8).
- São Paulo score less than 1.5 goals at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings.
- São Paulo score less than 1.5 goals at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.97; at home - 5.29;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.4; at home - 7.75.
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.41, away - 4.21;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; away - 3.6.
- Bahia take more than 3.5 corners away in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.36 (2.18 for the home side and 2.18 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home venue - 4.23 (2.23 for the home side and 2 for the visitors).
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.86; at home - 3.21;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.3; at home - 2.25.
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.24, away - 2.21;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; away - 3.
- Total under 6.5 yellow cards has occurred in 11 of São Paulo's last 12 matches (Serie A).
- Total under 6.5 yellow cards has occurred in São Paulo's last 10 of their last 11 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 28;
- Both teams scored overall - 10 times;
- At the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Bahia
- Total matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- Total matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): São Paulo - 12, Bahia - 15;
- São Paulo's BTTS at home - 6 (43%);
- Bahia's BTTS away - 8 (57%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: São Paulo - 1, Bahia - 5;
- São Paulo's BTTS at home - 1 (25%);
- Bahia's BTTS away - 4 (80%).
- Bahia both score and concede away in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Bahia both score and concede away in their last six consecutive matches (Serie A).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Based on the current form of both teams and historical head-to-head data at the São Paulo stadium, we anticipate a tight match with a low goal count. Trends indicate that these encounters typically see under 2.5 goals: 7 out of the last 8 matches have ended with such a result. The home side's struggles with converting chances further reinforce this trend. Their home performances rarely feature a high goal tally, averaging less than 1.5 goals per game. Considering these factors, along with the high likelihood that both teams will find the net at least once (since Bahia often concede), the most reasonable prediction remains under 2.5 total goals. An optimal scoreline appears to be 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Bahia
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