Chapecoense vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 Chapecoense come into this match on a poor run of form, sitting bottom of the table and looking inconsistent. Fluminense are placed considerably higher, but neither side has a strong incentive to push for results at this stage of the season. The key contrast is that the hosts have clear defensive problems, while the visitors have struggled to score away from home. That difference shapes the interest in this fixture and has a bearing on how the match might unfold.
Chapecoense vs Fluminense: Where to Find the Goals
Fluminense beat Chapecoense 2-1 in their Serie A match on 26 April 2026. The hosts had 30 shots to eight and put 12 on target, but won by just a single goal.
Across 15 official meetings, Chapecoense have won six and Fluminense five, with four draws. The goal record is almost level - 23:22 in Chapecoense's favour - and both teams scored in 11 of those matches.
Head-to-head statistics Chapecoense - Fluminense
What’s behind Chapecoense’s position in the table
Chapecoense lost 0-1 away to Botafogo in their last Série A match 17 October 2026. They failed to register a single shot on target from nine attempts, while their opponents hit the target 11 times.
Chapecoense are bottom of the table and have taken just one draw from their last five matches, losing the other four. Over their last ten games they have won only twice, conceding at an average of 2.1 goals per match. Their attacking output is equally modest - just 1.1 goals per game over the longer run, which points to limited threat going forward even at home. One notable pattern, though, is that their home matches tend to produce goals: Total Goals - Over 2.5 has landed in 7 of their last 8 home fixtures.
Match Results: Chapecoense
Fluminense have managed just one win in their last five matches.
Fluminense's away match against Palmeiras in the Copa Libertadores 22 October 2026 ended 0-1. In that game, Fluminense managed only four shots compared to 12 for their opponents, but had two on target - one more than Palmeiras.
Fluminense are closer to the top of the table, though their current form raises questions: four defeats in their last five matches, with just one win, points to a dip in results right now. Over their last ten matches the side have won four times and recorded no draws, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game - a relatively solid defensive record even during a poor run. Away from home, the team rarely produce high-scoring performances, and recent trends confirm they struggle to find the net on the road.
Match Results: Fluminense
Corners Prediction
Chapecoense - Team Total Corners Over 3.5 at home in 7 of their last 8 matches, which points to consistency in this area. The odds on this outcome are 1.36*. Alternative corners markets are either less well-supported or offer lower value in the line, so this option is the most justified.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings in Série A, both Chapecoense and Fluminense have scored. There are also season-level indicators pointing towards goals from both sides: Chapecoense average 1.36 goals per home match, while Fluminense concede an average of 1.53 away and score an average of 1.33. No conflicting factors have been identified for this scenario. Both Teams to Score - Yes is priced at 1.71*.
High-Risk Bet
In 7 of their last 8 home matches, Chapecoense have seen Total Goals - Over 2.5 land, which points to high scoring at their ground. However, both teams' average figures for the season are slightly lower, and there is a certain risk in choosing the 3-goal line. That said, a bet on Total Goals - Over 3 at 2.43* is justified if you want to take on the higher risk.
Safer Bet
In 6 of their last 7 matches, Chapecoense have seen Total Goals - Under 4.5 land, and the average scoring figures for both teams this season also fall within that range. The bet on Total Goals - Under 4.5 is priced at 1.12* and looks as reliable as it gets for this fixture.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11.61%), 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The 1-1 draw has the highest individual probability, though a narrow Fluminense win is also among the most likely outcomes. All three scenarios are fairly close in probability, which points to a potentially tight contest.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The overall picture is shaped by Chapecoense's home record - high-scoring matches are common here, driven by the hosts' weak defence and open play in front of their own supporters. Even with Fluminense in poor form, their attacking quality should be enough to produce at least one or two goals against the most porous defence in the league, and the visitors' inconsistency could lead to chances at both ends. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Chapecoense - Fluminense
in 8 of last 9 away games (Serie A).
in last 7 games against Fluminense (Serie A).in 27 of last 29 games (Serie A).in 12 of last 13 home games (Serie A).in last 7 games against Fluminense (Serie A).in 23 of last 24 games (Serie A).in 9 of last 10 games.in 12 of last 13 games.in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 away games.in last 10 Chapecoense games against Fluminense (Serie A).in 15 of last 17 Chapecoense home games.in 6 of last 7 Chapecoense games (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 Fluminense away games (Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
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