Sunderland vs Burnley Prediction 2 February 2026
🔊 The final match of the 24th round of the English Premier League takes place at the Stadium of Light in Sunderland, where two Championship graduates face off. The home team has been a sensation, securing a mid-table position, while Burnley, as predicted at the start of the season, are battling for survival. Bookmakers had no doubts when choosing the favorites, awarding this status to the hosts. Let's assess the teams' chances of victory.
Head-to-Head
📊 Last season, when these teams faced off in the Championship, both encounters were notably low-scoring. At home, Sunderland secured a 1-0 victory and seemed set to claim three points on the road, but Wilson Isidor's failure to convert two penalties resulted in a goalless draw. In the second round of the current Premier League campaign, Burnley came out on top with a 2-0 win, marking their first victory over the Black Cats since 2022.
Head-to-head statistics Sunderland - Burnley
Sunderland Team Overview
Sunderland have fallen out of contention as a top-tier contender. After a strong start to the season, the team has slowed down, managing just one win in their last seven matches, alongside two defeats. These setbacks were particularly painful, as the Black Cats conceded three goals each to Brentford (0-3) and West Ham (1-3).
However, both losses for Regis Le Bris' side came on the road, while their unbeaten streak at home has been intact since the start of the season, now spanning 13 matches in total. In terms of home performance, Sunderland rank in the top six, boasting an impressive goal difference of 18:9. The Stadium of Light is a challenging venue for all-be it underdogs, mid-table teams, or Premier League giants.
Match Results: Sunderland
Burnley Team Overview
What can be said about Burnley? Plenty of positive things, as the team has gathered momentum, steadily picking up points despite a challenging schedule. In matches against Manchester United (2-2), Liverpool (1-1), and Tottenham (2-2), a bit of luck was certainly involved. However, for an underdog, a little fortune is often necessary.
On the downside, there are some concerning aspects. The Clarets have not secured a Premier League win since October, and they trail the crucial 17th spot by a significant 10 points. It's hard to imagine Scott Parker's side truly getting into the fight to retain their top-flight status. Draws alone won't suffice-they need to start winning.
Match Results: Burnley
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Sunderland
🎙 "They were better than us, executing quality play from the very start. We were not at our best. They deserved their first-half goals. In our defense, we managed to show something in the second half, scored, and could have scored more, but overall, the opponent was simply superior," admitted Régis Le Bris after the defeat to West Ham.
📝 Sunderland are actively working in the transfer market, sending players out on loans but not making any high-profile signings themselves. Recently, the Black Cats completed a modest transfer of Melker Ellborg from Malmö. The acquisition of the 22-year-old goalkeeper cost the club around £3 million. This is a purchase with an eye on the future. "The club is having a great season, and I am incredibly excited to be part of this journey. I know Sunderland's history, and being part of something with such rich traditions means a lot to me. I look forward to meeting everyone at the Stadium of Light on Monday and hope to play in front of the fans soon," said the Swedish newcomer.
❌ Sunderland have two key players in the treatment room: Bertrand Traoré (knee) and Granit Xhaka (ankle). The absence of the captain, who anchored the midfield, is particularly painful. Moreover, he is the Black Cats' top assist provider this season.
Burnley
🎙 Scott Parker after the match against Tottenham: "We did enough to win. I'm a bit disappointed, as always, when you concede in the dying seconds. But overall, I'm pleased with the team's performance. We showed true team spirit."
📝 Burnley are not looking to make big moves in the winter transfer window. So far, their only reinforcement is James Ward-Prowse, who has joined the Clarets on loan. The midfielder has been benched for too long at West Ham, and he's just one goal away from tying David Beckham's Premier League record of 18 free-kick goals. "He's a massive threat: free kicks, crosses from the flanks, corners - we've seen it for years. His skill, speed with the ball, and world-class ability to score from set pieces are remarkable. I hope he can break that record with us," said Scott Parker.
❌ Zian Flemming and Joe Worrall have recovered from injuries and will be ready for the game against Sunderland. However, five players remain sidelined for the visitors: Zeki Amdouni, Josh Cullen, Mike Tresor, Connor Roberts, and Jordan Beyer.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Paul Tierney averages 4.1 cautions over his last 10 Premier League matches, and it's unlikely he'll hold back on the cards in the upcoming game. Sunderland average 2.27 yellow cards per home game, while Burnley pick up 1.91 on the road. Moreover, the total has exceeded 2.5 yellow cards in Sunderland's last five consecutive matches. We suggest betting on this trend to continue.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Burnley have found the net in 9 of their last 10 away Premier League games, capitalizing on their limited chances. This trend suggests a goal for the Clarets, but considering their head-to-head history with Sunderland often ends without both teams scoring, we lean towards the belief that Scott Parker's side will see their scoring streak halted. A solid betting option is both teams to score (no).
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both teams rank among the bottom three in the Premier League for average corners, with each managing fewer than four per game. Therefore, under 9.5 corners should hit comfortably. This has been the case in their last five head-to-head meetings, as well as in 7 of Sunderland's last 8 home games in the Premier League.
Editors' Prediction
Sunderland lack the consistency needed to challenge for more than a mid-table finish, particularly struggling on the road. However, Regis Le Bris's side perform well at home, while Scott Parker's team has often relied on luck to scrape points, a streak that can't last forever. We believe the hosts, even without Granit Xhaka, have every chance to defeat Burnley and avenge their first-round loss. We're expecting a reverse scoreline of 2-0 and backing a Sunderland victory.
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Betting Tips: Sunderland - Burnley
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