Benin vs Mauritania Prediction 29 September 2026
🔊 Benin and Mauritania go into this head-to-head fixture at the midpoint of AFCON qualifying with both sides still in contention near the top of the group. Neither team has made a poor start to the campaign: Benin sit third with one point, while Mauritania lead the group with three. The main difference between the two sides lies in attacking efficiency and defensive reliability over their last ten matches, which may shape the nature of this game.
Head-to-Head
📊 These two sides have never met before. The absence of any head-to-head history makes this a difficult match to predict. However, both teams' form in the current season may offer some guidance. Benin's main advantage is playing at home, which could make things slightly harder for Mauritania.
Head-to-head statistics Benin - Mauritania
Benin Team Overview
Benin have maintained their position in the upper part of the table thanks to a solid defensive record in their home qualification matches. In seven of their eight such games, the total has gone under 2.5 goals, which underlines the team's cautious approach at home. Over their last ten matches, they have averaged just 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, reflecting limited attacking output and occasional difficulty holding results.
In their last five matches, Benin have won one, drawn one and lost three, showing inconsistent form over that short run.
Match Results: Benin
Mauritania Team Overview
Mauritania made a winning start and lead the group after the first round, continuing their push for the top in line with their seasonal objectives. Over their last ten matches, the team have shown very low scoring output: they average just 0.7 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game, which points to a pragmatic style built around defensive solidity.
In their previous five matches, Mauritania recorded one win, two draws and two defeats - a run that reflects modest attacking output even against comparable opposition.
Match Results: Mauritania
Match Result Prediction
Benin have gone unbeaten at home in 7 of their last 8 matches, which highlights their solidity on their own ground. This season's statistics also show that Benin have yet to lose at home (0 defeats). Mauritania have not won away from home this season and have not scored a single goal on the road. On that basis, the bet on Benin not to lose looks reliable at odds of 1.41*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 7 of their last 8 home matches, Benin have seen Total Goals - Under 2.5 land, pointing to a tendency for low-scoring games on their ground. Over their last 10 home matches, Benin average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, which also suggests goals will be at a premium. Mauritania have averaged just 0.25 goals per game in their last 10 away matches, further reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring result. The pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.51*.
Corners Prediction
In 12 of Benin's last 14 matches, the total corners has been under 8.5, pointing to a consistently low corner count across their games. This trend holds in both home and away fixtures. We're backing Total Corners - Under 8.5 at 1.86*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely correct scores are: 0-0 (16.25%), 1-0 (15.39%) and 0-1 (15.39%). The probabilities are fairly close to one another, with the goalless draw coming out on top. This points to an expectation of a cautious, low-scoring match.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
An analysis of both teams' form, combined with a clear low-scoring trend in Benin's home matches, points to a likely tight game with few dangerous chances at either end. Average scoring rates do not exceed one goal per match for either side; both teams tend to prioritise disciplined defending to protect their positions in the upper part of the table at this middle stage of the qualifying campaign. Given that Under 2.5 has consistently landed in Benin's home matches in this tournament, the editorial's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 1-0.
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Betting Tips: Benin - Mauritania
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