Puebla vs Toluca Prediction 31 January 2026
💥 The clash between Puebla and Toluca promises to be a thrilling event in Liga MX. Puebla, currently sitting 14th in the standings, will be eager to improve their performance. Meanwhile, Toluca are confidently holding second place thanks to their balanced play and solid defense. How will their encounter unfold? Find out in the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Toluca):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Puebla and Toluca:
- 46 matches played;
- home victories - 10, away victories - 24, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 49 for Puebla, 75 for Toluca;
- average goals in the first half - 1.35, in the second half - 1.35;
- average total goals per match - 2.7.
Head-to-head statistics Puebla - Toluca
Puebla Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Liga MX tournament, with Cruz Azul as the home team and Puebla as the visitors. The game ended with a score of 1-0.
The match statistics are as follows (Puebla vs Cruz Azul):
- possession: 26% vs 74%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 10;
- fouls: 6 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 0 vs 10.
Puebla are in a tough spot. The team struggles with inconsistent form, having suffered two losses and secured just one win in their last five matches. Their overall performance highlights significant stability issues, with three consecutive defeats. The team's weaknesses are most evident in defense, where they concede an average of 2.25 goals per game. However, their attack also falls short, scoring only about 1.15 goals per match.
Match Results: Puebla
Toluca Team Overview
The last official match saw the current visitors compete in the Liga MX tournament (home team - Tigres, visitors - Toluca). The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs Tigres):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 26 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Toluca have been delivering impressive performances throughout the season, currently sitting second in the standings. Over their last ten matches, they have secured six wins, alongside two draws and two losses, showcasing stability both in attack, averaging 2.08 goals per game, and in defense, conceding an average of 0.96 goals. Their most recent match resulted in another victory, defeating their opponents 3-1, further highlighting the strength of their squad and tactical approach.
Match Results: Toluca
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 24, draws - 12.
- Puebla won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
- Puebla won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.07, the guests - 1.63;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.7;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Puebla vs Toluca
- average total in the tournament: 3.4 vs 3.04;
- average total goals scored: 1.15 vs 2.08;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.96;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 1.12;
- Puebla: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Toluca: average total away in the tournament - 1.46;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.5) vs 1.3 (away - 0.6).
- Puebla have scored under 1.5 goals in last 9 games against Toluca (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Puebla: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.05; at home field - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 5.25.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.19, away - 4.77;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 4.6.
- Over 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Puebla games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/197, 10.7%);
- Puebla at home most often finish matches: 0:2 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Toluca away most often play: 0:0 , 1:0 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.56% (odds 7.5)
0:1 - 10.51% (odds 7.5)
1:2 - 9.69% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In recent head-to-head and home/away matches, both teams tend to make defensive errors and push forward aggressively, especially when they need to come from behind. This increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Therefore, we anticipate a match with stretches of open play. A bet on over 2.5 goals seems reasonable in this context. A 1-2 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: Puebla - Toluca
in 7 of last 8 games against Toluca (Liga MX).in 19 of last 21 games.in 18 of last 20 games (Liga MX).
in 14 of last 15 away games against Puebla.in last 7 away games (Liga MX).in 9 of last 10 Puebla home games against Toluca.in 8 of last 9 Puebla home games against Toluca (Liga MX).in last 5 Puebla games (Liga MX).in last 7 Toluca away games (Liga MX).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
