Santos Laguna vs Pachuca Prediction 27 September 2026
🔊 Santos Laguna are going through a difficult spell, sitting second from bottom with just two wins from nine matches. They are seven points adrift of the play-off places and have shown little consistency so far. Pachuca are closer to mid-table and still in contention for the next stage, sitting just two points outside the play-off places. The main contrast between the two sides is Santos's weak attack against the more balanced play of the visitors.
Pachuca hold a narrow lead in the head-to-head matchup.
📊 In official matches between Santos Laguna and Pachuca, the two sides have met 52 times. The hosts have won 15 of those, the visitors 17, with 20 ending in a draw. Pachuca have the edge in goals scored - 70 to Santos's 67. On average, the teams score 1.27 goals in the first half and 1.37 in the second, giving an average total of 2.63 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Santos Laguna - Pachuca
What’s Behind Santos Laguna’s Recent Struggles?
Santos Laguna are having serious problems in front of goal, averaging just 1 goal scored per game while conceding almost half as many again - 1.67 per match. Over their last ten matches they have won only three and lost six, pointing to a dip in form both in terms of results and overall play. In their last five matches they have managed two wins and three defeats, and even the positive results came with modest goal tallies. Their home matches are rarely high-scoring either: Total Goals - Under 3.5 has come in in all ten of their consecutive home matches.
Match Results: Santos Laguna
Pachuca are aiming for victory against Santos Laguna
Pachuca sit closer to the upper half of the table and are more organised both in attack and defence, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game alongside a comparatively solid defensive record of 1.3 conceded. The visitors' form looks steady - three draws, three wins and four defeats from their last ten matches point to an ability to avoid prolonged slumps even against a difficult fixture list. In their previous five games, Pachuca have gone unbeaten, picking up two wins and three draws.
Match Results: Pachuca
Prediction for the 1st half
Santos Laguna have ended 6 of their last 7 matches level at half-time, which points to frequent even opening periods. Their home scoring and conceding numbers are also quite low, which further increases the likelihood of a first-half draw. The bet on a first-half draw is priced at 2.38*.
Match Result Prediction
The trend shows that Santos Laguna have failed to win in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings with Pachuca in Liga MX. On top of that, Pachuca have won 3 and lost just 1 away this season, while Santos Laguna have only 1 home win against 2 defeats. All of this points towards Pachuca not to lose this match, priced at 1.37*.
Total Goals Prediction
Santos Laguna have gone under 3.5 total goals in 10 consecutive home matches, which is consistent with the corresponding trend. This season at home, Santos Laguna are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded per match, which also points to low scoring. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.51*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 0-1 (13.48%), 1-1 (11.04%) and 1-0 (10.38%). A narrow Pachuca win is considered the most probable outcome, though a draw and a narrow home win are also rated fairly highly. All three options have similar probabilities, suggesting a closely contested match is expected.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This looks like a match that will be light on goals - both sides are well short of high-scoring form, and Santos Laguna continue to show low attacking output both this season and at home according to a long-term trend of under 3.5 goals at their ground. The visitors have stronger motivation in terms of the table, given how close they are to the play-off places, but the statistics give little reason to expect open football or a high volume of chances at either end. Our prediction: Total Goals - Under 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Santos Laguna - Pachuca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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