Guadalajara vs Queretaro Prediction 26 September 2026
🔊 Guadalajara come into this match on a strong run - they have lost just once in their last ten games and sit second in the table. Querétaro are fifth and also in the upper half, with a genuine chance of reaching the play-offs. Both sides are in decent form: Guadalajara have been picking up points consistently, while Querétaro often find a way to compete even against stronger opponents. The table gives both teams real motivation - the hosts are looking to close the gap on the leaders, while the visitors are holding on to their place in the top eight.
What does the head-to-head record between Guadalajara and Querétaro tell us?
📊 Guadalajara and Querétaro have met 45 times in official matches. The hosts have won 15, the visitors 14, with 16 draws. On goals, Querétaro have the edge - 60 to Guadalajara's 54. On average, 1.13 goals are scored in the first half and 1.4 in the second, giving an average total of 2.53 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics Guadalajara - Queretaro
Guadalajara: Striking the Right Balance Between Attack and Defense
Guadalajara are going through a solid run - five wins and three draws from their last ten matches speak to their consistency over the course of the season. In their last five games specifically, they have taken three wins and two draws, which points to good form right now. The team rarely fall apart defensively, conceding 0.9 goals per game, while their attacking output is above the league average: nearly two goals scored per match means they are regularly in contention for a result. The fight for first place keeps them focused, though there is no excessive pressure at this stage - the season is still in its middle stretch.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas
Querétaro: a well-balanced side with modest scoring output
Querétaro are holding their place in the top five on the back of a balanced run - four wins and two draws alongside four defeats in their last ten matches points to a reasonable level of consistency. Over their last five games, the visitors have won twice, drawn twice and lost once, which supports the idea that they are capable of picking up points away from home. Their scoring numbers are modest: they average 1.2 goals per match and concede slightly more at 1.3. Their objective is to stay in the play-off places, but the pressure is no greater than you would expect at this stage of the season.
Match Results: Queretaro
Prediction for the 1st half
Guadalajara have scored in the first half in five consecutive matches, which supports the current trend. On top of that, in their last 10 home matches Guadalajara have averaged 2.67 goals per game, which further supports the likelihood of an early goal from the hosts. On that basis, Guadalajara Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals in the First Half at odds of 1.43* looks reasonable.
Total Goals Prediction
In 10 of the last 11 head-to-head matches played at Guadalajara's ground, Total Goals - Under 3.5 has come in, pointing to a consistently low-scoring pattern in these meetings. On top of that, both teams' seasonal averages also suggest limited goalscoring: Guadalajara average 1.89 goals per match, Querétaro 1.38. Taken together, these factors make a bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.55* reasonably well-founded.
Risky Bet
Guadalajara have been solid at home, averaging 2.25 goals per match, while Querétaro have conceded just 0.5 goals per away game this season, which creates some uncertainty around a big home win. That said, an aggressive bet on Guadalajara Handicap (-2) at 2.94* could be justified if Guadalajara deliver on their attacking potential at home. This bet is built around a high-risk scenario.
Reliable Bet
In 17 of Guadalajara's last 18 matches, Total Goals - Under 4.5 has come in, pointing to consistently low scoring on both sides. Their average goals per game this season also falls within that total. With these factors in mind, Total Goals - Under 4.5 at odds of 1.21* looks like a reliable bet.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1:0 (11.05%), 2:1 (10.47%) and 2:0 (10.41%). These results reflect expectations of relatively low scoring and an advantage for Guadalajara. The gap between the three probabilities is minimal, with no clear frontrunner among them.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both sides are in good form and remain among the leading group. Guadalajara look stronger in terms of average scoring and consistency, though their defence is not always reliable - they concede close to a goal a game despite a high attacking tempo. Querétaro pick up points regularly even away from home, but concede noticeably more than they score. Both teams' league positions demand an active approach: the hosts are chasing the leaders, while the visitors are defending their play-off place. The main trend is that Guadalajara have seen goals at both ends in 7 of their last 8 home meetings with these opponents (Liga MX). Editorial prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Guadalajara Chivas - Queretaro
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