Toluca vs Puebla Prediction 14 September 2025
🔥 In the upcoming Liga MX match, Toluca are set to face Puebla. Toluca have been in solid form recently, sitting fifth in the standings with 4 wins out of their last 7 matches. Their attacking line averages over two goals per game, though their defense can be inconsistent. Meanwhile, Puebla are second to last, struggling with five losses in their last seven encounters. How will their head-to-head clash unfold? Find out in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between these teams took place in March and ended with a 0-3 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Puebla were the home side):
- possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Toluca and Puebla:
- 45 matches played;
- home team victories - 23, away team wins - 10, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 72 for Toluca, 48 for Puebla;
- average goals in the first half - 1.36, in the second half - 1.31;
- average total goals per match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Puebla
Toluca Team Overview
The most recent official match took place within the Liga MX tournament (San Luis as the home team, Toluca as the visitors). The match concluded with a 1-3 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Toluca vs San Luis):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 16 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Toluca are currently positioned fifth and exhibit strong form at home. In their recent run of fixtures, the team secured two consecutive victories following a draw and two losses, indicating some inconsistency. Over their last ten matches, they have claimed victory six times, translating to a 60% win rate. Toluca are known for their offensive prowess, averaging 2.29 goals per game, although their defense concedes an average of 1.43 goals per match.
Match Results: Toluca
Puebla Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX tournament, with Puebla hosting Monterrey. The match concluded with a 2-4 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Puebla vs Monterrey):
- possession percentage: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 7;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 8.
Puebla are going through a challenging period, sitting second to last in the league with issues both defensively and offensively. In their last five matches, they've suffered four defeats and managed just one draw, highlighting their current struggles-only one win in their last seven games. Over their last ten outings, they've secured just three victories. Additionally, their attack has found the back of the net only once in their last seven away attempts.
Match Results: Puebla
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 45;
- Home wins - 23, Away wins - 10, Draws - 12.
Statistics: Toluca vs Puebla
- Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Wins: 4 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 57% vs 14%;
- Losses: 2 vs 5;
- Draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 3;
- Losses: 3 vs 6;
- Draws: 1 vs 1.
- Puebla cover a +2.5 spread away in 12 of the last 13 head-to-head meetings.
- Puebla cover a +2.5 spread away in 17 of the last 18 matches.
- Puebla cover a +2.5 spread in 15 of the last 16 matches.
- Puebla cover a +2.5 spread away in 13 of the last 14 matches (Liga MX).
- Puebla cover a +2.5 spread in 11 of the last 12 matches (Liga MX).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home side average goals - 1.6, visitors - 1.07;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.67;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 25 times; at the home ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Toluca vs Puebla
- Average tournament total: 3.71 vs 3.43;
- Average goals scored: 2.29 vs 0.86;
- Average first-half total: 1 vs 0.29;
- Average second-half total: 1.29 vs 0.57;
- Toluca: average home total in the tournament - 2.33;
- Puebla: average away total in the tournament - 0.33;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.67) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Total under 3.5 goals hit in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches (Liga MX).
- Total under 3.5 goals hit in 7 of the last 8 away matches for Puebla (Liga MX).
Corner Prediction
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.29; at home - 6.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5; at home - 5.5.
Puebla: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.43, away - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.4; away - 4.14.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.6 (1.8 for the home side and 1.8 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.9 (1.95 for the home side and 1.95 for the visitors).
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3.29; at home - 3.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.1; at home - 3.
Puebla: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.57, away - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; away - 3.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 45;
- Both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- At the home ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Toluca vs Puebla
- Total matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Total matches in the season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 5 vs 3;
- Toluca's BTTS at home - 3 (100%);
- Puebla's BTTS away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- Toluca's BTTS at home - 5 (83%);
- Puebla's BTTS away - 3 (43%).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering the teams' current form and their historical head-to-head data, a low-scoring encounter between Toluca and Puebla seems likely - the under 3.5 total goals has occurred in most of their previous meetings (7 out of 8). Although Toluca often finds the net at home and may showcase their strength once again, it's hard to envision a high-scoring performance from the visitors due to their ongoing struggles with converting chances away from home (6 scoreless games in their last seven road matches). Therefore, we recommend betting on fewer than three goals being scored in this game.
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Betting Tips: Toluca - Puebla
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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