Dortmund vs Heidenheim Prediction 1 February 2026
🔊 The final match of the 20th round will take place at Signal Iduna Park, where Borussia Dortmund host Heidenheim. Dortmund remain unbeaten at home in this Bundesliga season, although they have suffered defeats at their arena in other competitions. Nico Kovac's side continues to be a tough opponent for Frank Schmidt's Heidenheim, who are struggling to escape the relegation zone but have yet to succeed. Borussia are the clear favorites for this encounter, so let's dive straight into the prediction for Sunday's match.
Head-to-Head
📊 Goals from Serhou Guirassy and Maximilian Bayer secured Borussia's victory in Heidenheim during the third round match (2-0). Dortmund remain unbeaten against Frank Schmidt's side in the Bundesliga: with home and away wins last season, as well as two draws in the 2023/24 season.
Head-to-head statistics Dortmund - Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
🟡 Dortmund, sitting in second place, have narrowed the gap to Bayern to eight points following a commanding 3-0 victory in Berlin during matchday 19. Emre Can (penalty), Nico Schlotterbeck, and Maximilian Bayer found the net against Union. This result means Kovac's side remain unbeaten in the Bundesliga for 12 matches since their only league defeat (1-2 to Bayern).
⚫ Borussia have won their last three Bundesliga games and remain undefeated at home this season, securing seven wins and two draws while conceding just six goals. No team has conceded fewer goals on their home turf.
🏆 On Wednesday, the Black and Yellows fell to Milan's Inter at home (0-2) in the final group stage match of the Champions League. The German club finished in 17th place overall and will face Atalanta from Bergamo in the playoff round for a spot in the Round of 16.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Heidenheim Team Overview
🔴 In the second half against Leipzig, one of the top-four contenders, Heidenheim suffered a crushing 3-0 defeat. After a goalless first half, Frank Schmidt's side conceded three unanswered goals in just eight minutes-from the 62nd to the 70th minute.
🔵 The Red-Blue-Whites have gone six matches without a win (2 draws, 4 losses), leaving them at the bottom of the table. Furthermore, Heidenheim holds the league's worst goal difference at -25.
⚪ The club trails Mainz, who are in the playoff zone, by two points and are five points behind 15th place, currently held by Werder Bremen, which ensures safety from relegation. Heidenheim also struggles on the road, having earned only four points from nine away matches-only Hamburg has fewer, with three points. In the upcoming game, Heidenheim will be pinning their hopes on Diantha Ramaj, the goalkeeper on loan from Borussia Dortmund.
Match Results: Heidenheim
Latest news
Borussia Dortmund
🎙️ Niko Kovac on the match against Heidenheim: "We need to take this game seriously. Every fixture in the Bundesliga is challenging. When you give 100% in terms of speed, physicality, and intensity, your skill shines through. Teams at the bottom of the table tend to fight until the end. On paper, these matches always seem easy, but winning requires a lot of energy and endurance."
💊 Niklas Sule has returned to team training after dealing with back issues. There's also good news regarding Marcel Sabitzer, who recently experienced discomfort in his calf muscle: the midfielder is back on the field training, albeit individually for now.
Heidenheim
🎙️ Frank Schmidt on the match against Dortmund: "We're not Inter Milan, so this will be a completely different game. Borussia typically line up in a 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-3 formation and have been outstanding at home. This season, they haven't lost a single Bundesliga match on their own turf. We're sitting at the lower end of the table and understand that we're in for a very tough encounter."
❌ Mikkel Kaufmann missed the match against Leipzig due to illness, and his participation in Sunday's game is doubtful. Nick Rothweiler is also out with illness, while Adam Kolle and Leonidas Stergiou are dealing with muscle issues. Budu Zivzivadze and Christian Conte are not yet ready to play. Benedikt Gimber will miss the match due to yellow card accumulation. Leart Paqarada has been sidelined for an extended period.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Matthias Jollenbeck has been appointed as the main referee for this match. Over his last 10 games, he averages 3.2 yellow cards per match. On average, the home team receives 1.8 cards, while the visitors get 1.7. The over 3.5 yellow cards bet has hit in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters, making it a solid choice for this game.
⚽ Goal Prediction
After 19 rounds, the "Bees" boast the second-best defense in the league with just 17 goals conceded, facing off against the weakest attack in the championship: Heidenheim have scored only 17 goals in 19 matches. Moreover, the "Red-Blue-Whites" have conceded the most goals, with 42 against them. We opt for Borussia's individual total over 1.5 goals - a bet that has come through in five consecutive home matches at Signal Iduna Park in the Bundesliga.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Dortmund average 4.9 corners per game over 19 rounds, while Heidenheim average 4.7. Our prediction is under 10.5 corners, which has been successful in eight consecutive Borussia matches and in five head-to-head meetings between these teams.
Editorial Prediction
On paper, the odds for Sunday's match are clear, but Borussia are known for creating problems for themselves out of nowhere, as seen in their recent home game against St. Pauli (3-2). Nonetheless, the hosts should bounce back from their Champions League defeat, continuing their chase of Bayern and, crucially, holding onto second place amidst a tightly packed table.
For Heidenheim, every match this year has been a tough challenge, and they are unlikely to seek points in Dortmund. Their main battles will take place at their home ground, Voith-Arena. Considering the numerous injuries in Schmidt's squad, we predict a Borussia win with a -1.5 handicap. The victory might come through sheer class - a 2-0 result.
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Betting Tips: Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim
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