Heidenheim vs Dortmund Prediction 1 February 2025

🔊 Will the hosts be able to take advantage of the "bees'" crisis? In the 20th round of the Bundesliga, Heidenheim will host Borussia Dortmund. The visitors are facing uncertainty as they await the start of work with a new coach. The "1846ers" will try to fine-tune their counter-attacking football, turning the tactical confusion in the opponents' camp to their advantage. However, Dortmund is incomparably higher in class, which allows us to predict at least a quality attack. The clash at the "Voith-Arena" may delight fans of "over" football.

📊 HEAD-TO-HEAD

In the first round, the teams met at "Signal Iduna Park" - Borussia secured a convincing victory with a score of 4:2. It is worth noting that on average, the "bees" score 2.5 goals per game against Heidenheim.

🔵 HEIDENHEIM

Heidenheim continues to be in a dreadful state: 16th place in the table and only one win in the last five games. And that came against Union, who had forgotten about attacking (2:0). Against teams with a more attacking philosophy, the "1846ers" repeatedly encounter problems. It's not even about the giants - they recently lost to Augsburg (1:2). We assume that building a quality defense against Dortmund will be very difficult - especially considering the unpredictability of the opponent due to the change of head coach. In terms of effectiveness on their half, things are quite bad: Heidenheim has conceded 8.3 more goals than expected according to advanced xG statistics. The goal difference is disappointing (24:40). We see no prerequisites for this balance to improve - even with an optimal lineup, the hosts' chances are minimal.

🟡 BORUSSIA DORTMUND

The team lost 3 out of their last 5 matches, which led to parting ways with head coach Nuri Sahin. The emotional shake-up for the "bees" turned out to be quite positive: a draw with Werder (2:2) and a victory over Shakhtar in the UCL (3:1). The quality on the opponent's half remains unchanged - solely due to the individual skills of Dortmund's players, they can approach their average scoring statistics (1.79). Under Kovac's leadership, Borussia is unlikely to stop playing as the main force - the team possesses the ball 59.5% of the time. This naturally turns into goal-scoring situations - averaging 3.11. Guirassy and company are capable of extending Heidenheim's series of unsuccessful matches. Moreover, they need to return to the European competition zone - the crisis has pushed the visitors to 11th place.

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

Until recently, Dortmund had dreadful results in terms of defensive actions, resulting in an average total of 3.53 goals in matches involving the "bees." We cannot assume that a change of coach will suddenly solve all problems on their half. But the attack should remain unchanged - with an xG/90 of 1.41, one can expect at least 2+ goals. Adding to this Heidenheim's conceded statistics (2.11 per game), the likelihood of an "over" match from the "bees" can be considered very high. Our editorial team suggests trusting in the crisis-ridden giant by betting on Borussia Dortmund total over 1.5 goals.

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

Since Dortmund is accustomed to having more possession, there should be more moments from them, including against Heidenheim. For the hosts, playing second fiddle is routine (43.6%), resulting in us expecting the most set-pieces from the "bees." Brandt and company create many situations that can turn into corners. Consequently - third result in the Bundesliga for this component (5.37). The "1846ers" cannot boast such figures, but it's noteworthy that 5.42 corners are played out at the outsider's goal. In this situation, it suggests a bet on Borussia Dortmund total corners over 4.5.

📝 EDITORIAL PREDICTION

The favorite in this matchup is obvious - it's the visitors. Despite missing two important defensive players, Schlotterbeck and Süle, Dortmund can surprise with unexpectedly quality actions near their own goal. Especially since Heidenheim is very unstable in terms of attack, leaving the field without scoring even against teams from the lower part of the table. In the upcoming match, we can expect not only quality but also emotional football from Dortmund. Everyone is eager to prove themselves before the new head coach. Therefore, the intention to score will accompany the favorite for all 90 minutes. We believe this encounter will end with a score of 0:3. As a bet, Borussia Dortmund win looks very promising.