Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Atalanta and Fiorentina in the 13th round of Serie A? At the Gewiss Stadium, two of the biggest disappointments of the season's start will face off. Atalanta and Fiorentina, who finished third and sixth respectively in last season's Italian championship, now find themselves languishing in the bottom half of the table due to a prolonged slump. Both teams are desperate for points, making this match incredibly intense.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between Atalanta and Fiorentina includes 43 matches in recent years. The "Viola" hold a clear advantage with 22 victories compared to 10 for Atalanta, while 11 encounters have ended in a draw. Last season, the teams exchanged home wins: first, the "Queen of the Provincials" triumphed in a thrilling 3-2 encounter, and then Fiorentina responded with a more controlled yet effective 1-0 victory.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Atalanta Team Overview
🔵 It's hard for Atalanta fans to look at the league table without shedding a tear. A team that regularly competes for a Champions League spot finds themselves in 13th place after 12 rounds, with only 13 points to their name. The club's management couldn't tolerate such a start and dismissed Ivan Juric before the November break, appointing Raffaele Palladino as the new head coach, who has already overseen two matches.
⚫ It's too early to draw conclusions, but the first signs of progress are evident to the naked eye. Yes, last weekend the "Queen of the Provincials" fell to the reigning Italian champions away (1-3), but their chances were slim from the outset. However, just days later, they delivered a powerful performance in the Champions League, thrashing Eintracht in Frankfurt 3-0, scoring all three goals between the 60th and 65th minutes. Atalanta looked fresher, quicker, and more dangerous than their opponents, fully deserving this victory. Such a result should lift the team's spirits and boost their confidence ahead of the upcoming match against Fiorentina.
Match Results: Atalanta
Fiorentina Team Overview
🟣 Fiorentina could be described as an even more unfortunate version of Atalanta. Their season's start has been equally disastrous, leading to a change in their head coach, yet the differences are numerous and none favor the "Viola." Firstly, the team has yet to secure a single victory in Serie A. Secondly, Fiorentina are firmly stuck in the relegation zone, sitting at 19th place with just 6 points. Thirdly, the coaching change has not provided any noticeable boost. Previously, under Stefano Pioli, the "Viola" consistently picked up three points in the Conference League, but now their performance there has also declined.
⚪ A recent example is their home defeat to Greek side AEK Athens (0-1) last Thursday. Fiorentina failed to score in 90 minutes, but what's worse is that their performance didn't look superior to their opponent's, despite being considered clear favorites in the matchup. Paolo Vanoli doesn't have the luxury of time: the team is sinking deeper, and the pressure is mounting, so he needs to deliver results immediately.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Latest news
Atalanta
📣 Atalanta's head coach Raffaele Palladino described the emphatic 3-0 win over Eintracht as a "magical" evening: "It couldn't have been better - it was truly a magical night. I want to thank the club for their trust and, above all, the players - this victory belongs to a remarkable group of guys who deserved this satisfaction." Palladino highlighted that the team continues to grow and that this success should boost their confidence after a challenging start to the season: "There are always things to improve, but I see the team listening and following what we propose. We showed character, kept pressing, and we really needed this win - not just for the standings, but for the players' confidence as well."
🚫 Atalanta face only two personnel setbacks. Mitchel Bakker is out long-term as he recovers from an ACL injury and is expected to return only in March 2026. Giorgio Scalvini will be sidelined until early December due to a muscle injury.
Fiorentina
📣 Fiorentina's head coach Paolo Vanoli lamented his team's psychological instability following their narrow 1-0 defeat to AEK: "We need to work on our mindset because the players are feeling too much pressure. What frustrates me the most is that after every mistake, they lose confidence-even though there was plenty of time to get back into the game."
🚫 Fiorentina face slightly more personnel issues than Atalanta. Robin Gosens is expected to recover by early December from a thigh injury. Dodo won't be available until the end of December due to a similar injury. The participation of Tariq Lamptey and Christian Kouame is also in doubt; the former is still recovering from a knee injury, while the latter is dealing with an ACL injury.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
One of the main reasons Atalanta and Fiorentina are languishing lower in the standings is their inconsistent defensive performances. Both sides frequently make mistakes at the back. Atalanta have conceded 14 goals in the first 12 matches, while Fiorentina's situation is even worse, having let in 19 goals, with only Torino conceding more (21). The defenses of both teams are clearly far from ideal, so it's reasonable to expect goals in this encounter. Betting on both teams to score (yes) seems like the optimal choice.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Atalanta rank among the Serie A leaders in corners earned, averaging 5.8 per match. Only Inter boast better numbers, firmly holding the top spot with 7.4. Considering that the "Queen of the Provinces" will host the upcoming fixture and likely play from a position of strength, it makes sense to consider a bet on Atalanta over 4.5 corners.
Editorial Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Atalanta are the clear favorites in the upcoming clash, and our editorial team fully agrees with this assessment. Indeed, the Bergamo side have only secured two wins in Serie A, but context is key: the Ivan Juric era, which dragged the team down, has come to an end. His appointment seemed risky from the start, given his failures at Roma and Southampton, and now the "Queen of the Provincials" is gradually recovering. Moreover, Fiorentina currently appear extremely helpless: not a single win in the league, subpar football even at home-this speaks volumes on its own. If the "Queen of the Provincials" perform as they did against Eintracht in the Champions League (3-0), they will secure three points without unnecessary drama. Our main bet is on an Atalanta victory. We expect to see a 2-1 scoreline on the board.
.svg)
Betting Tips: Atalanta - Fiorentina
in last 6 away games (Serie A).in last 8 games (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 home games (Serie A).in last 5 home games.
in 7 of last 8 home games.in last 12 games (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 away games.in last 7 games.in last 6 away games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 games against Fiorentina (Serie A).in 18 of last 19 home games.in 16 of last 17 home games (Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
