Atalanta vs Milan Prediction

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The main thing

    📢 Will the clash between Atalanta and Milan be the highlight of Serie A's ninth round, living up to expectations? The showdown is set for the Gewiss Stadium, where the hosts aim to maintain their unbeaten status in the league, despite a string of draws. Meanwhile, Milan are firmly positioned among the frontrunners, consistently securing victories and making very few slip-ups. All of this adds intrigue to the upcoming encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head history between Atalanta and Milan over recent years includes 37 matches, marked by perfect balance: each side has claimed 14 victories with 9 draws. Last season, the advantage tilted towards the Bergamo club. Atalanta won both encounters, first securing a 2-1 victory at home, followed by a 1-0 win away, maintaining complete control of the game in both matches.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    38%
    15 Wins
    26%
    10 Draws
    36%
    14 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Total Goals Avg
    2.49
    Both teams scored
    51%
    1.21
    Total average
    1.28
    2.33
    Yellow cards
    2.23
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    28.10.25
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Milan
    Milan
    1.78
    0.44
    9
    4
    9
    8
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.78
    0.44
    9
    4
    9
    8
    1
    3
    20.04.25
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    0.5
    2.08
    7
    5
    8
    7
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.5
    2.08
    7
    5
    8
    7
    0
    1
    06.12.24
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Milan
    Milan
    2.13
    0.75
    7
    0
    14
    13
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.13
    0.75
    7
    0
    14
    13
    2
    0
    25.02.24
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    -
    -
    5
    3
    7
    12
    1
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    7
    12
    1
    4
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    Atalanta Team Overview

    🔵 At the start of the season, several top Serie A clubs are underperforming, and Atalanta are among them. Although the team have yet to suffer a defeat in the league after eight rounds, an unusually high number of draws is preventing them from breaking into the top six. Heading into the clash with AC Milan, the "queen of the provinces" are on a run of four consecutive draws across all competitions, despite facing relatively modest opposition.

    ⚫ In their last outing, the Bergamo side drew with Cremonese (1-1). Yes, it was an away game, but they were up against a newly-promoted side. Moreover, the match was evenly contested across many statistical categories, and Atalanta even had to come from behind after Jamie Vardy scored in the 78th minute. Given these inconsistent results, questions are increasingly being raised about how secure Ivan Juric's position is as head coach.

    Match Results: Atalanta

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    D
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Bologna
    Bologna
    0.93
    0.77
    2
    5
    17
    6
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.93
    0.77
    2
    5
    17
    6
    1
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    W
    02.05.26
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Genoa
    Genoa
    1.69
    0.55
    6
    2
    14
    10
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.69
    0.55
    6
    2
    14
    10
    2
    1
    D
    27.04.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    L
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    Milan Team Overview

    🔴 Every team has its weaknesses, and for AC Milan, surprisingly, it's been their matches against newly promoted sides. The Rossoneri kicked off the new Serie A campaign in strong fashion: 5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, and 17 points from eight rounds, placing them third in the standings. However, two of their three slip-ups came against teams returning from Serie B - Cremonese (1-2) and Pisa (2-2). With a more composed performance in these fixtures, Milan could have confidently topped the league table.

    ⚫ In the last round, they faced Pisa. Playing at the San Siro made them clear favorites, but the match turned out to be far more complex. The Rossoneri started aggressively, scoring in the 7th minute and maintaining pressure, yet failed to capitalize on their dominance and secure the result. Surprisingly, they allowed their opponents to score twice. It was only a spectacular long-range strike from young defender Zakari Ateka that rescued Milan from a painful defeat and secured a draw.

    Match Results: Milan

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    1.76
    2.64
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.76
    2.64
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Genoa
    Genoa
    Milan
    Milan
    1.66
    1.72
    4
    4
    8
    19
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.66
    1.72
    4
    4
    8
    19
    2
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    L
    03.05.26
    Serie A
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Milan
    Milan
    1
    2.2
    0.37
    2
    3
    16
    16
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.2
    0.37
    2
    3
    16
    16
    4
    2
    L
    26.04.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    0.56
    0.49
    1
    3
    12
    8
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.56
    0.49
    1
    3
    12
    8
    2
    3
    D
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    Latest news

    Atalanta

    📣 After the 1-1 draw with Cremonese, head coach Ivan Jurić had a stern reaction to the missed victory: "In the second half, we controlled everything, created numerous dangerous chances, yet still let the win slip away." He also publicly criticized his goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi, who recently gave a high-profile interview: "Carnesecchi? He should talk less and save more."

    🚫 Atalanta are dealing with a challenging situation in their defensive line. Center-back Giorgio Scalvini is recovering from a muscle injury and is expected to return by mid-November. Meanwhile, Mitchel Bakker faces a longer rehabilitation after suffering a serious cruciate ligament injury; his return is projected for early March 2026.

    Milan

    📣 Following the 2-2 draw with Pisa, head coach Massimiliano Allegri admitted that his team let the win slip away, even though they managed to equalize late: "We're glad we were able to level it at the end, but we lost two points due to our own mistakes... Sometimes it feels like results in these matches are a complete failure, but come May, that single point could be crucial." Allegri also linked the situation to the development phase of the revamped squad: "This is a growth journey; we have many newcomers who need these lessons."

    🚫 Milan are dealing with a significant number of injuries. Pervis Estupiñán is recovering from a thigh injury and may return to action in early November. Midfielder Adrien Rabiot is targeting a late November comeback following a calf injury. New signing Ardon Jashari is also sidelined and is expected to be fit by early November. Ruben Loftus-Cheek's participation remains doubtful due to muscle discomfort. Christian Pulisic is undergoing rehabilitation for a hamstring injury and could also be back in early November.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Atalanta are known for their vibrant and open style of play, turning almost every match into a spectacle. They not only attack aggressively but also frequently make defensive errors-scoring and conceding in 6 of their last 7 home Serie A matches. AC Milan boast a powerful attacking lineup and regularly create chances, but they too are not immune to defensive lapses. Hence, our bet is on both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Atalanta rank among the Serie A leaders in corners earned, averaging 6.3 per match-surpassed only by Napoli (6.4) and Inter (7.6). Despite their high table position and numerous victories, AC Milan approach the corner flag significantly less often (4.1). Given the home advantage and Atalanta's aggressive attacking style, it is reasonable to expect the hosts to keep the pressure on their opponent's penalty area. Thus, our bet is on Atalanta to win the corner count.

    Editor's Prediction

    According to the bookmakers, there's no clear favorite in the upcoming match, but we beg to differ. Yes, Atalanta remain unbeaten, but their performance raises questions; the team clearly lacks consistency. In some matches, they dominate entirely but squander their chances (0-0 against Lazio and Slavia), while in others, they appear no stronger than their opponents, as was evident against Cremonese last round (1-1). Milan, on the other hand, display a much more cohesive style of play. Sure, the draw with Pisa (2-2) might seem like a setback, but it appears more a consequence of underestimating the opponent after a series of impressive victories. Now, the team must come out fully focused. Therefore, our main bet is Milan will not lose. We anticipate seeing a 1-2 scoreline on the board.

    Our choice
    Milan will not lose at odds of -208*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 October 2025, 20:58)

    Betting Tips: Atalanta - Milan

    Atalanta have drawn in the 1st half
    atalanta-bergamascaac-milan-2in last 5 games against Milan.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +122
    Atalanta have drawn
    atalanta-bergamascain last 4 games (Serie A).
    Draw
    MyBookie
    +224
    Atalanta have not lost
    atalanta-bergamascain 14 of last 15 games (Serie A).
    atalanta-bergamascain 9 of last 10 home games.
    atalanta-bergamascain last 7 games.
    Atalanta will not lose
    MyBookie
    -244
    Milan have not lost
    ac-milan-2in last 8 games.
    ac-milan-2in last 7 games (Serie A).
    ac-milan-2in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).
    Milan will not lose
    Everygame
    -204
    View more facts

    Atalanta - Milan Table position

    Serie A 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Como 1907
    Como 1907
    382011765-2971
    5.
    Milan
    Milan
    382010853-3570
    6.
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    381912761-3469
    7.
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    381514951-3659
    8.
    Bologna
    Bologna
    381681449-4656

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 10
    +2
    -6
    9 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    1
    4
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    9
    10
    Conceded
    15
    2.2
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    78'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats