Milan vs Atalanta Prediction

    🎈Can we expect an action-packed match when AC Milan take on Atalanta in the 33rd round of Serie A? Milan are currently sitting in 9th place on the table, eager to climb higher, especially after a series of inconsistent performances in recent games. Meanwhile, Atalanta are confidently holding onto 3rd place, with their sights set on securing a spot in the Champions League. Both teams are known for their attacking style: the hosts consistently find the net at home, while the visitors are dynamic on the road. The intrigue of this matchup is heightened by the recent head-to-head victory of the "Queen of the Provincial" with a 2-1 scoreline, adding extra interest to this upcoming clash.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“ŠStatistical preview of official encounters between Milan and Atalanta:

    • 36 matches played;
    • home wins - 14, away wins - 13, draws - 9;
    • goals scored - 47 for the hosts, 42 for the visitors;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.14, in the second half - 1.33;
    • average total goals per match - 2.47.

    The last game took place on 06 December 2024 at Atalanta's ground, ending in a 2-1 scoreline.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    36%
    14 Wins
    26%
    10 Draws
    38%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Total Goals Avg
    2.49
    Both teams scored
    51%
    1.28
    Total average
    1.21
    2.23
    Yellow cards
    2.33
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    28.10.25
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Milan
    Milan
    1.78
    0.44
    9
    4
    9
    8
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.78
    0.44
    9
    4
    9
    8
    1
    3
    20.04.25
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    0.5
    2.08
    7
    5
    8
    7
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.5
    2.08
    7
    5
    8
    7
    0
    1
    06.12.24
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Milan
    Milan
    2.13
    0.75
    7
    0
    14
    13
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.13
    0.75
    7
    0
    14
    13
    2
    0
    25.02.24
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    -
    -
    5
    3
    7
    12
    1
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    7
    12
    1
    4
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    Milan Team Overview

    🎁AC Milan are showing mixed results in the current Serie A season. The team often relies on attacking football with a focus on ball control and creating numerous chances in front of the opponent's goal. In their last ten matches, the Rossoneri have secured three wins, suffered four losses, and drawn three times. This is reflected in their average goals scored - 1.7 per game, with a nearly equivalent number of goals conceded (1.5). At home, they remain unbeaten in 16 of their last 17 matches, underscoring the strength of their home ground.

    On April 11, Milan claimed a commanding 4-0 away victory over Udinese, breaking a three-match winless streak. Goals came from Rafael LeΓ£o, Strahinja PavloviΔ‡, Theo HernΓ‘ndez, and Tijjani Reijnders. However, the match was marred by a serious injury to goalkeeper Mike Maignan, who was stretchered off following a collision with teammate Alex Jimenez. The goalkeeper was hospitalized with a suspected head injury, but latest reports indicate his condition is stable. 

    Yet, Milan's roster issues don't end there. The club faces several other absences, though some players are nearing a return to action. Emerson Royal, who suffered a thigh injury, has resumed training and could be back in the lineup soon. Kyle Walker (elbow injury) and Ruben Loftus-Cheek remain sidelined until early May. All three are key figures, and their absence impacts the team's flexibility in defense and midfield.

    Match Results: Milan

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    1.76
    2.64
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.76
    2.64
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Genoa
    Genoa
    Milan
    Milan
    1.66
    1.72
    4
    4
    8
    19
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.66
    1.72
    4
    4
    8
    19
    2
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    L
    03.05.26
    Serie A
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Milan
    Milan
    1
    2.2
    0.37
    2
    3
    16
    16
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.2
    0.37
    2
    3
    16
    16
    4
    2
    L
    26.04.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    0.56
    0.49
    1
    3
    12
    8
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.56
    0.49
    1
    3
    12
    8
    2
    3
    D
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    Atalanta Team Overview

    πŸŽ‰Atalanta continue to impress with their performances on the road, consistently securing positive results away from home thanks to a potent attacking line and solid defense. Over their last ten games, they've secured three wins, suffered five losses, and drawn twice. They boast an average of 1.3 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.9 goals per game. The "Queen of the Provincials" have held their own against opponents on the road in most matches this season.

    On April 13, for instance, Atalanta defeated a formidable opponent like Bologna at home with a 2-0 scoreline, snapping a streak of three consecutive scoreless defeats. The goals for the Bergamo side were netted by Mateo Retegui and Mario PaΕ‘aliΔ‡. Head coach Gian Piero Gasperini emphasized the importance of this victory in their quest for a Champions League spot and highlighted the team's mature performance, especially following the early goal in the match. 

    It's worth noting that Atalanta are facing significant squad issues. Four players - Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Giorgio Scalvini, and Marco Palestra - are sidelined until the end of April due to various injuries (thigh, hamstring, shoulder). Sead KolaΕ‘inac is the most serious loss, out with an ACL injury until the end of August. Additionally, Stefan Posch's participation is doubtful due to a hamstring injury. These absences affect several positions, complicating the coaching staff's task in forming the starting lineup.

    Match Results: Atalanta

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    D
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Bologna
    Bologna
    0.93
    0.77
    2
    5
    17
    6
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.93
    0.77
    2
    5
    17
    6
    1
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1.88
    1.09
    2
    2
    8
    17
    4
    3
    W
    02.05.26
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Genoa
    Genoa
    1.69
    0.55
    6
    2
    14
    10
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.69
    0.55
    6
    2
    14
    10
    2
    1
    D
    27.04.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 36;
    • home team wins - 14, away team wins - 13, draws - 9.

    Statistics: Milan vs Atalanta

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
    • number of wins: 14 vs 18;
    • win percentage: 44% vs 56%;
    • number of losses: 9 vs 7;
    • number of draws: 9 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 3 vs 3;
    • number of losses: 4 vs 5;
    • number of draws: 3 vs 2.
    👉Prediction: Atalanta Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.21)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 1.17;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.47;
    • both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 6.

    Statistics: Milan vs Atalanta

    • average total in the tournament: 2.75 vs 2.97;
    • average total goals scored: 1.59 vs 2.03;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.72 vs 1.03;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.88 vs 1;
    • Milan: average total at home in the tournament -  1.56;
    • Atalanta: average total away in the tournament - 2.13;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.4) vs 1.3 (away - 2.5).
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Milan games.
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Atalanta away games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2.5)(odds: 1.72)

    Prediction on corners

    Milan: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6; at home field - 6.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 3.6.

    Atalanta: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.66, away - 4.19;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 3.75.
    Trends
    • Milan have taken under 5.5 corners in 12 of last 13 games against Atalanta (Serie A).
    • Milan have taken under 5.5 corners in their last 6 home games against Atalanta (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Milan Total Under (5.5)(odds: 1.39)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.5 (2.25 for home team and 2.25 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.89 (1.78 for home team and 2.11 for away team).

    Milan: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.59; at home - 1.69;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 3.2.

    Atalanta: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5, away - 1.94;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 2.
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Atalanta away games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (3.5)(odds: 1.93)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 36;
    • both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 6 times.

    Statistics: Milan vs Atalanta

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 15;
    • number of BTTS matches for Milan at home - 8 (50%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Atalanta away - 5 (31%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 2;
    • BTTS matches for Milan at home - 5 (100%);
    • BTTS matches for Atalanta away - 1 (25%).
    Trends
    • Milan have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games.
    • Milan have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 home games.
    • Milan have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.51)

    Editorial Prediction

    The clash between Milan and Atalanta promises to be a thrilling, attacking spectacle, given the competitive motivations of both sides. Milan are pushing for European qualification and have been bold in attack, with over 2.5 goals scored in eight of their last nine matches. Atalanta, under pressure to maintain their top-four status, often engage in high-scoring affairs on the road, with at least three goals in six of their last seven away games. Considering these trends, betting on over 2.5 goals seems like a well-founded prediction.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -154*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (18 April 2025, 19:24)

    Betting Tips: Milan - Atalanta

    Atalanta have not lost
    atalanta-bergamascain 15 of last 17 away games.
    atalanta-bergamascain 12 of last 13 away games (Serie A).
    Atalanta will not lose
    Everygame
    -204
    Milan have not lost
    ac-milan-2in 16 of last 17 home games.
    ac-milan-2in 10 of last 11 home games (Serie A).
    Milan will not lose
    Everygame
    -208
    Milan have scored
    ac-milan-2atalanta-bergamascain last 9 games against Atalanta.
    ac-milan-2atalanta-bergamascain last 8 games against Atalanta (Serie A).
    ac-milan-2in 17 of last 18 games.
    ac-milan-2in last 12 games (Serie A).
    ac-milan-2in last 8 home games (Serie A).
    Milan will score goal
    MyBookie
    -455
    Milan have conceded
    ac-milan-2in 9 of last 10 games.
    ac-milan-2in 8 of last 9 home games.
    ac-milan-2in 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).
    Atalanta have scored
    atalanta-bergamascain 15 of last 17 away games.
    Atalanta will score goal
    MyBookie
    -417
    View more facts

    Milan - Atalanta Table position

    Serie A 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    38249579-3581
    3.
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    38228878-3774
    4.
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    381816458-3570
    7.
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    381811961-4965
    8.
    Milan
    Milan
    381891161-4363
    9.
    Bologna
    Bologna
    381614857-4762

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 15
    -6
    +2
    12 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    3
    6
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    12
    15
    Conceded
    10
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.2
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    78'
    View all stats