Milan vs Atalanta Prediction
πCan we expect an action-packed match when AC Milan take on Atalanta in the 33rd round of Serie A? Milan are currently sitting in 9th place on the table, eager to climb higher, especially after a series of inconsistent performances in recent games. Meanwhile, Atalanta are confidently holding onto 3rd place, with their sights set on securing a spot in the Champions League. Both teams are known for their attacking style: the hosts consistently find the net at home, while the visitors are dynamic on the road. The intrigue of this matchup is heightened by the recent head-to-head victory of the "Queen of the Provincial" with a 2-1 scoreline, adding extra interest to this upcoming clash.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical preview of official encounters between Milan and Atalanta:
- 36 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 13, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 47 for the hosts, 42 for the visitors;
- average goals in the first half - 1.14, in the second half - 1.33;
- average total goals per match - 2.47.
The last game took place on 06 December 2024 at Atalanta's ground, ending in a 2-1 scoreline.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Milan Team Overview
πAC Milan are showing mixed results in the current Serie A season. The team often relies on attacking football with a focus on ball control and creating numerous chances in front of the opponent's goal. In their last ten matches, the Rossoneri have secured three wins, suffered four losses, and drawn three times. This is reflected in their average goals scored - 1.7 per game, with a nearly equivalent number of goals conceded (1.5). At home, they remain unbeaten in 16 of their last 17 matches, underscoring the strength of their home ground.
On April 11, Milan claimed a commanding 4-0 away victory over Udinese, breaking a three-match winless streak. Goals came from Rafael LeΓ£o, Strahinja PavloviΔ, Theo HernΓ‘ndez, and Tijjani Reijnders. However, the match was marred by a serious injury to goalkeeper Mike Maignan, who was stretchered off following a collision with teammate Alex Jimenez. The goalkeeper was hospitalized with a suspected head injury, but latest reports indicate his condition is stable.
Yet, Milan's roster issues don't end there. The club faces several other absences, though some players are nearing a return to action. Emerson Royal, who suffered a thigh injury, has resumed training and could be back in the lineup soon. Kyle Walker (elbow injury) and Ruben Loftus-Cheek remain sidelined until early May. All three are key figures, and their absence impacts the team's flexibility in defense and midfield.
Match Results: Milan

Atalanta Team Overview
πAtalanta continue to impress with their performances on the road, consistently securing positive results away from home thanks to a potent attacking line and solid defense. Over their last ten games, they've secured three wins, suffered five losses, and drawn twice. They boast an average of 1.3 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.9 goals per game. The "Queen of the Provincials" have held their own against opponents on the road in most matches this season.
On April 13, for instance, Atalanta defeated a formidable opponent like Bologna at home with a 2-0 scoreline, snapping a streak of three consecutive scoreless defeats. The goals for the Bergamo side were netted by Mateo Retegui and Mario PaΕ‘aliΔ. Head coach Gian Piero Gasperini emphasized the importance of this victory in their quest for a Champions League spot and highlighted the team's mature performance, especially following the early goal in the match.
It's worth noting that Atalanta are facing significant squad issues. Four players - Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Giorgio Scalvini, and Marco Palestra - are sidelined until the end of April due to various injuries (thigh, hamstring, shoulder). Sead KolaΕ‘inac is the most serious loss, out with an ACL injury until the end of August. Additionally, Stefan Posch's participation is doubtful due to a hamstring injury. These absences affect several positions, complicating the coaching staff's task in forming the starting lineup.
Match Results: Atalanta
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 13, draws - 9.
Statistics: Milan vs Atalanta
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of wins: 14 vs 18;
- win percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- number of losses: 9 vs 7;
- number of draws: 9 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 3;
- number of losses: 4 vs 5;
- number of draws: 3 vs 2.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 1.17;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.47;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Milan vs Atalanta
- average total in the tournament: 2.75 vs 2.97;
- average total goals scored: 1.59 vs 2.03;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.72 vs 1.03;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.88 vs 1;
- Milan: average total at home in the tournament - 1.56;
- Atalanta: average total away in the tournament - 2.13;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.4) vs 1.3 (away - 2.5).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Milan games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Atalanta away games.
Prediction on corners
Milan: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6; at home field - 6.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 3.6.
Atalanta: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.66, away - 4.19;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 3.75.
- Milan have taken under 5.5 corners in 12 of last 13 games against Atalanta (Serie A).
- Milan have taken under 5.5 corners in their last 6 home games against Atalanta (Serie A).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.5 (2.25 for home team and 2.25 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.89 (1.78 for home team and 2.11 for away team).
Milan: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.59; at home - 1.69;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 3.2.
Atalanta: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5, away - 1.94;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 2.
- Under 3.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Atalanta away games (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 6 times.
Statistics: Milan vs Atalanta
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Milan at home - 8 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atalanta away - 5 (31%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 2;
- BTTS matches for Milan at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Atalanta away - 1 (25%).
- Milan have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games.
- Milan have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 home games.
- Milan have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
Editorial Prediction
The clash between Milan and Atalanta promises to be a thrilling, attacking spectacle, given the competitive motivations of both sides. Milan are pushing for European qualification and have been bold in attack, with over 2.5 goals scored in eight of their last nine matches. Atalanta, under pressure to maintain their top-four status, often engage in high-scoring affairs on the road, with at least three goals in six of their last seven away games. Considering these trends, betting on over 2.5 goals seems like a well-founded prediction.