Botafogo vs Gremio Prediction 16 September 2026
🔊 Botafogo and Grêmio go into this meeting near the bottom of the table, both fighting to stay in the league. The standings are tightening - the two sides are separated by just four points and are close to the danger zone. Neither team's form inspires much confidence: Botafogo rarely win at this stage of the season, and Grêmio's results have been inconsistent. Every slip could bring either club closer to the relegation zone, which makes this fixture particularly significant.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official meetings between Botafogo and Grêmio, the two sides have faced each other 36 times. The hosts have won 11, the visitors 19, with 6 draws. In terms of goals, Grêmio have the advantage - they have scored 63 against their opponents' 40. On average, the teams score 1.14 goals in the first half and 1.72 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.86 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Botafogo - Gremio
Botafogo FR Team Overview
Botafogo are going through a difficult spell: just one win alongside two defeats and two draws in their last five matches. Over the past ten rounds, they have won twice, drawn four times and lost four times. Their attack has been modest - they are averaging 0.7 goals per game over that last ten-match stretch, compared to a seasonal average of 1.46 per match. The defence has been equally unconvincing, conceding 1.5 goals per game recently against a seasonal average of 1.58. With the end of the season approaching, the club still have the motivation of staying out of the relegation zone, but their recent performances give little reason to expect a sharp improvement.
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Gremio Team Overview
Grêmio have looked slightly more assured than their opponents in recent matches: back-to-back wins followed a run of two defeats, which had itself been preceded by a draw. Across their last ten games, the club have recorded four wins, four defeats and two draws - a better points return than their opponents over the same period. Their average goals scored has edged up to 1.1 per match over that spell, compared to a season average of 1.08, while defensively they have looked more solid, conceding an average of just one goal per game. Grêmio's motivation is as high as it gets: the club are right on the edge of the danger zone and need every point they can get.
Match Results: Gremio
Match Result Prediction
Grêmio have not lost by more than one goal in 15 consecutive away head-to-head meetings with Botafogo. That is a very long run, and it is backed up by further statistics: Grêmio have lost 9 of their 13 away matches this season, but heavy defeats have been rare. For that reason, Grêmio - Handicap +1.5 looks a reliable bet at odds of 1.35*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 10 of their last 11 matches, Botafogo have comfortably come in under 3.5 goals, pointing to a tendency for low-scoring games. On top of that, both teams' average scoring rates this season are modest: Botafogo score 1.46 goals per game, while Grêmio manage just 1.08. All of this points towards Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.35*.
Risky Bet
Grêmio have failed to score away from home in four consecutive matches, and their average goals scored per away match this season is just 0.46 - dropping to 0.2 over their last 10 away games. There is a minor contradiction here: the team have scored in some away matches this season, but the current trend of extremely low scoring on the road makes Grêmio to Score: No an interesting option at 2.38*.
Reliable Bet
Botafogo have scored in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings with Grêmio. Even with a dip in scoring in their recent home matches, their overall home average this season stands at 1.62 goals per game. Taken together, this makes Botafogo Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals a reliable bet at odds of 1.17*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are: 1-0 (13.67%), 1-1 (12.21%) and 2-0 (10.17%). A narrow Botafogo win by 1-0 is considered the most probable result, though the chances of a draw and a two-goal home win are fairly close behind.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The current trend is firmly against Botafogo: the hosts have won just once in their last eight matches, with both their five-game run and their season-long averages for goals scored and conceded confirming the dip in form. Grêmio look the better side on recent evidence, with improved attacking output and slightly greater defensive solidity over a longer stretch - they have been winning more often than their opponents lately, and remain highly motivated by the threat of relegation at this late stage of the season. All of that points towards a result without a home win. The editorial prediction is Grêmio Handicap +1.
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Betting Tips: Botafogo FR - Gremio
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in 8 of last 9 home games.in last 13 away games (Serie A).in last 8 away games.in 10 of last 11 Botafogo FR games (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 Botafogo FR home games.in 21 of last 22 Gremio away games.in last 13 Gremio away games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 Gremio games (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 games against Gremio (Serie A).in last 12 games (Serie A).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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