Gremio vs Botafogo Prediction

    🔊 On September 24th, Brazil will witness an exciting clash as Gremio host Botafogo in a rescheduled Round 16 fixture of Serie A. Both teams enter the match on a high, having secured victories in their previous outings. Historically, the club from Porto Alegre holds the advantage, but Botafogo's status as reigning champions and their current form position them as favorites for this encounter. A tense duel is anticipated, where the cost of any mistake could be significant.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 29 September 2024 and ended in a goalless draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Botafogo were the home side):

    • possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • corners: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 9 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Grêmio and Botafogo:

    • 33 matches played;
    • home wins - 18, away wins - 10, draws - 5;
    • goals scored - 55 to 33;
    • average first-half total - 1.09, second-half - 1.58;
    • average total goals per match - 2.67.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    53%
    19 Wins
    17%
    6 Draws
    31%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    36
    Total Goals Avg
    2.86
    Both teams scored
    44%
    1.75
    Total average
    1.11
    1.5
    Yellow cards
    1.83
    Last matches
    05.02.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    3.48
    1.03
    4
    2
    13
    14
    0
    3
    5
    3
    1
    2
    4
    1
    3.48
    1.03
    4
    2
    13
    14
    0
    3
    22.11.25
    Serie A
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    Gremio
    Gremio
    2.04
    1.74
    7
    1
    17
    8
    2
    4
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    2.04
    1.74
    7
    1
    17
    8
    2
    4
    24.09.25
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    7
    17
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    7
    17
    1
    2
    29.09.24
    Serie A
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    9
    13
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    9
    13
    3
    3
    16.06.24
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    -
    -
    7
    4
    11
    9
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    11
    9
    3
    3
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    Gremio Team Overview

    The last official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament, featuring Internacional as the home team and Grêmio as the visitors. The match ended with a scoreline of 2-3.

    Here's the match statistics (Grêmio vs Internacional):

    • possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 8;
    • fouls: 15 vs 18;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 6.

    🔵 Grêmio secured a thrilling victory in the "Grenal" derby, defeating Internacional away with a 3-2 scoreline in the 24th round of the Brazilian Championship. The hosts took the lead twice through Alan Patrick's penalties, but the visitors responded each time, with goals from Carlos Vinicius and Andre Henrique. The decisive strike came in the middle of the second half from Alisson, who came off the bench.

    ⚫ The ending was dramatic. In the 73rd minute, Grêmio had Arthur Melo sent off, and in stoppage time, Patrick had a chance to complete his hat-trick and rescue Internacional, but his third penalty hit the post. With this victory, Grêmio climbed to 12th place with 28 points, distancing themselves from the relegation zone and gaining confidence ahead of their match against Botafogo.

    Match Results: Gremio

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    1.58
    1.73
    4
    8
    23
    20
    3
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1.58
    1.73
    4
    8
    23
    20
    3
    2
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1.83
    1.92
    7
    5
    12
    16
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.83
    1.92
    7
    5
    12
    16
    2
    2
    D
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Santos
    Santos
    1
    1.38
    1.17
    8
    5
    12
    13
    1
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.38
    1.17
    8
    5
    12
    13
    1
    1
    W
    21.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Palestino
    Palestino
    1.74
    1.35
    3
    10
    15
    16
    3
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.74
    1.35
    3
    10
    15
    16
    3
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.75
    0.18
    7
    3
    18
    14
    4
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.75
    0.18
    7
    3
    18
    14
    4
    5
    D
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    Botafogo FR Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the Serie A tournament (Botafogo as the home team, Atlético Mineiro as the visitors). The match ended with a score of 1-0.

    Here are the match statistics (Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro):

    • possession: 39% vs 61%;
    • corners: 7 vs 4;
    • fouls: 14 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 2.

    ⭐ Botafogo secured a vital win in the 24th round of the Brazilian Championship, narrowly defeating Atletico Mineiro 1-0. The decisive goal came early in the second half, courtesy of Santiago Rodriguez. The hosts played most of the half with a man down after Chris Ramos was sent off just before halftime. Despite the pressure, they held firm to clinch the victory. This triumph allowed the "Lone Star" to accumulate 39 points, maintaining their 5th place in the standings and solidifying their position in the Copa Libertadores zone.

    Match Results: Botafogo FR

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1
    2.16
    1.04
    10
    4
    14
    16
    4
    5
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2.16
    1.04
    10
    4
    14
    16
    4
    5
    L
    27.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Caracas
    Caracas
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    0.80
    3.01
    9
    4
    9
    11
    2
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    0.80
    3.01
    9
    4
    9
    11
    2
    3
    W
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1.49
    0.95
    4
    3
    20
    19
    4
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.49
    0.95
    4
    3
    20
    19
    4
    4
    D
    21.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Independiente Petrolero
    Independiente Petrolero
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    0.20
    6.84
    1
    5
    11
    12
    3
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.20
    6.84
    1
    5
    11
    12
    3
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.46
    0.77
    1
    1
    16
    7
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0.46
    0.77
    1
    1
    16
    7
    2
    1
    W
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 33;
    • Home wins - 18, Away wins - 10, Draws - 5.

    Statistics: Grêmio vs Botafogo

    • Matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
    • Victories: 7 vs 11;
    • Win percentage: 30% vs 48%;
    • Losses: 9 vs 6;
    • Draws: 7 vs 6.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 3 vs 4;
    • Losses: 4 vs 4;
    • Draws: 3 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Botafogo have avoided defeat in 6 of their last 7 away matches (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Botafogo FR will not lose(odds: 1.4)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team average goals - 1.67, away team - 1;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.67;
    • Both teams have scored: overall - 13 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.

    Statistics: Grêmio vs Botafogo

    • Average total in the tournament: 2.26 vs 2.22;
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.48;
    • Average first-half total: 0.57 vs 0.7;
    • Average second-half total: 0.43 vs 0.78;
    • Grêmio: average home total in the tournament - 0.82;
    • Botafogo: average away total in the tournament - 1.09;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 0.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Botafogo have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 15 of their last 17 away head-to-head encounters against Grêmio.
    👉Prediction: Botafogo FR Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.45)

    Corner Prediction

    Grêmio: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 3.7; at home - 3.55;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3.7; at home - 5.

    Botafogo: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.91, away - 4.18;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; away - 3.
    Trends
    • Botafogo have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 away matches (Serie A).
    • Botafogo have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 away matches.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Botafogo FR Total Under (4.5)(odds: 1.95)

    Card Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.96 (1.48 for the home team and 1.48 for the visitors);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.5 (1.44 for the home team and 2.06 for the visitors).

    Grêmio: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.87; at home - 2.91;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; at home - 2.6.

    Botafogo: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.13, away - 2.27;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; away - 2.5.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 33;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 13 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 5 times.

    Statistics: Grêmio vs Botafogo

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
    • Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 6;
    • Grêmio's BTTS at home - 5 (45%);
    • Botafogo's BTTS away - 1 (9%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
    • Grêmio's BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
    • Botafogo's BTTS away - 2 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.8)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Gremio enter this match riding high after an emotional victory in the "Grenal," which should boost their confidence. However, they remain in the bottom half of the table and must fight for every point under pressure. Botafogo, on the other hand, showcased their resilience by defeating Atletico Mineiro despite being a man down, affirming their status as one of the league's most consistent teams.

    While Gremio hold the edge in head-to-head history, the current form and superior game organization give the advantage to Ancelotti's squad. Considering both teams' motivations and potential caution in the opening minutes, the match promises to be a hard-fought contest with a slight edge to the visitors. Our prediction: Botafogo win with a handicap (0). The expected scoreline is 1-0 in favor of the visitors.

    Our choice
    Botafogo FR Handicap (0) at odds of -122*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (23 September 2025, 11:27)

    Betting Tips: Gremio - Botafogo FR

    Gremio have drawn in the 2nd half
    gremio-rs-2in 6 of last 7 home games.
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +115
    Botafogo FR have won
    botafogo-rj-1in 5 of last 6 away games (Serie A).
    Botafogo FR Win
    Bovada
    +200
    Botafogo FR have not lost
    botafogo-rj-1in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).
    Botafogo FR will not lose
    Everygame
    -213
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    gremio-rs-2botafogo-rj-1in 14 of last 16 Gremio home games against Botafogo FR.
    gremio-rs-2botafogo-rj-1in 13 of last 15 Gremio home games against Botafogo FR (Serie A).
    gremio-rs-2in last 19 Gremio home games.
    gremio-rs-2in last 12 Gremio home games (Serie A).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -714
    View more facts

    Gremio - Botafogo Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2025
    gWDLGDPForm
    5.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    381971250-3964
    6.
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    381712958-3863
    7.
    Bahia
    Bahia
    381791250-4660
    8.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    381491543-4751
    9.
    Gremio
    Gremio
    3813101547-5049
    10.
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    381461845-5748

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 9
    +6
    +7
    18 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    4
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    18
    9
    Conceded
    11
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    4
    Both teams scored
    7
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats