Botafogo vs Gremio Prediction
🔊 The upcoming clash between Botafogo and Grêmio promises to be a tense battle for crucial Série A points. Both teams are in different forms, adding intrigue to this matchup. Botafogo have been consistent at home, often hitting the over 2.5 goals mark and effectively using corner kicks as a tool to pressure their opponents. Grêmio, on the other hand, are looking to climb the standings and have every chance to challenge the hosts with their attacking style and high motivation. The key question is whether the visitors can withstand the formidable pressure from a home side in strong form.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 24 September 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Grêmio were the home side):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 7 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Botafogo and Grêmio:
- 34 matches played;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 18, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 34 for Botafogo, 56 for Grêmio;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.06, in the second half - 1.59;
- average total goals per match - 2.65.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Botafogo FR Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament (home team - Botafogo, away team - Sport Recife). The match ended with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Botafogo vs Sport Recife):
- possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 9 vs 4.
⚫ Botafogo are currently in fifth place in the Serie A standings after 34 matches this season. The team have shown decent form with two wins and three draws in their last five games, indicating a level of consistency in their results. In their most recent match, they overcame a two-goal deficit to defeat Sport Recife 3-2 by the 58th minute. At home, the team consistently deliver high-scoring performances, with their last five games all featuring over 2.5 goals. Botafogo's main strength lies in their balanced play and strong defensive organization, allowing an average of just 0.88 goals per match.
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Gremio Team Overview
The visiting team last played an official match on in the Serie A tournament (home team - Grêmio, away team - Vasco da Gama). The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama):
- possession percentage: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
🔵 Grêmio currently sit in twelfth place in the league standings after 34 rounds, showing less consistent form compared to their hosts. Their last five matches have been a mixed bag: a win was followed by two losses, then a draw, and another victory in their most recent outing against Vasco da Gama (2-0). Their attacking line has struggled with efficiency, averaging 1.09 goals per game, while their defense has been shaky, conceding an average of 1.26 goals per match. The teams faced off back in September, with that encounter ending in a 1-1 draw.
Match Results: Gremio
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 34;
- Home wins - 10, Away wins - 18, Draws - 6.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Gremio
- Matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- Wins: 15 vs 11;
- Win percentage: 44% vs 32%;
- Losses: 9 vs 13;
- Draws: 10 vs 10.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
- Gremio have covered a +1.5 handicap in their last 14 away head-to-head matches against Botafogo.
- Gremio have covered a +1.5 handicap in 20 of their last 22 matches.
- Gremio have covered a +1.5 handicap in 19 of their last 21 Serie A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team averages - 1, the away team - 1.65;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.65;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 14 times; at the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Gremio
- Tournament average total: 2.26 vs 2.35;
- Average goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.09;
- First-half average total: 0.65 vs 0.53;
- Second-half average total: 0.74 vs 0.56;
- Botafogo: home tournament average total - 1.88;
- Gremio: away tournament average total - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 2) vs 1.3 (away - 0.6).
- Total over 2.5 goals has hit in Botafogo's last 5 home Serie A matches.
Corners Prediction
Botafogo: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 4.82; at home - 5.71;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5; at home - 6.
Gremio: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 3.88, away - 3.88;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4; away - 4.
- Gremio have recorded over 3.5 corners in their last 7 Serie A matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.58 (1.79 for the home side and 1.79 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 2.82 (1.38 for the home side and 1.44 for the visitors).
Botafogo: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 2.47; at home - 2.59;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.2; at home - 4.
Gremio: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 2.82, away - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.9; away - 3.4.
- Total over 4.5 yellow cards has hit in Botafogo's last 7 home Serie A matches.
- Total over 4.5 yellow cards has hit in Botafogo's last 6 out of 7 Serie A matches.
- Total over 4.5 yellow cards has hit in Gremio's last 5 Serie A matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 34;
- Both teams have scored overall - 14 times;
- At the home ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Gremio
- Total matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 18;
- BTTS for Botafogo at home - 8 (47%);
- BTTS for Gremio away - 10 (59%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- BTTS for Botafogo at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for Gremio away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Given the current form of both teams, an open match with plenty of chances at both ends is anticipated. Botafogo appear more favorable due to their solid home performances and ability to create numerous opportunities through set-pieces and high pressing. However, Gremio will aim to exploit the hosts' weaknesses on the counterattack and try to secure at least a point on the road to improve their standing in the league table. Therefore, betting on Gremio with a +1.5 handicap seems the most reasonable for this matchup, considering Gremio have covered this handicap in 14 consecutive head-to-head away games. We expect a 2-1 victory for Botafogo.
Betting Tips: Botafogo FR - Gremio
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
