Gremio vs Botafogo Prediction
🔊 The upcoming clash between Grêmio and Botafogo is filled with intrigue, as both teams showcase contrasting forms. Grêmio suffered a defeat in the opening round of the championship and are now winless in their last three matches. Meanwhile, Botafogo, under new management, are topping the Série A standings after a commanding victory over one of the title contenders. It will be fascinating to see who seizes the initiative in Porto Alegre, especially since their last season encounter at the Arena Grêmio ended in a 1-1 draw. Our editorial team anticipates an engaging match with a focus on attacking play from the visitors.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 22 November 2025 and ended with a 3-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Botafogo were the home side):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 17 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Grêmio and Botafogo:
- 35 matches played;
- home wins - 18, away wins - 11, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 58 for Grêmio, 37 for Botafogo;
- average first-half total - 1.09, second-half - 1.63;
- average total goals per match - 2.71.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Gremio Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Campeonato Gaúcho, with Grêmio hosting Juventude. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match stats (Grêmio vs Juventude):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 17 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
🔵 Grêmio kicked off their 2026 Serie A campaign with a 2-1 defeat away to Fluminense. Carlos Vinícius managed to pull one back in the 75th minute, but the "Immortal Tricolors" couldn't find an equalizer. Under the guidance of Portuguese coach Luís Castro, Grêmio have played seven matches, six of which were part of the Gaúcho League. In Group B, the "Immortal Tricolors" lead the standings with three wins, one draw, and two losses. However, heading into the second round of the championship, Grêmio are on a three-match winless streak.
Match Results: Gremio
Botafogo FR Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Carioca League, with Botafogo hosting Fluminense. The game ended 0-1.
Here are the match statistics (Botafogo vs Fluminense):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 0 vs 7.
⭐ Under the guidance of Martin Anselmi, the "Lone Star" has made a powerful statement of intent for this season: Botafogo thrashed Cruzeiro at the MRV Arena, scoring four goals in the second half (4-0). Danilo found the net twice, with Matheus Martins and Arthur also getting on the scoresheet. This result propelled the Rio de Janeiro club to the top of the league after the first round. In the Carioca League, Group B, Botafogo also sit in first place, having secured three wins and suffered two losses in five matches. One of those defeats came right before their upcoming match, at home against Fluminense (0-1).
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- Total encounters - 35;
- First-half wins for the home team (at home) - 6; for the away team (on the road) - 1; draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.09;
- Today's home side averages 0.54 goals, while the visitors also average 0.54.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 1;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 6 vs 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4).
- Botafogo have drawn the first half in their last 7 matches in a row.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 35;
- Home wins - 18, Away wins - 11, Draws - 6.
Statistics: Grêmio vs Botafogo
- Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- Wins: 0 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 0% vs 100%;
- Losses: 1 vs 0;
- Draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 6;
- Losses: 4 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
- Botafogo have drawn their last 4 away matches in Serie A.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average goals scored by home team - 1.66, away team - 1.06;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.71;
- Both teams scored: overall - 15 times; at home ground - 6 times.
- Botafogo have scored less than 1.5 goals in 16 of their last 18 away head-to-head encounters.
Corners Prediction
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 6; at home - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; at home - 4.8.
Botafogo: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 3, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5; away - 5.25.
- Total under 9.5 corners hit in 13 of Grêmio's last 15 home matches.
- Total under 9.5 corners hit in Grêmio's last 8 matches consecutively.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 35;
- Both teams scored overall - 15 times;
- At the home ground - 6 times.
Statistics: Grêmio vs Botafogo
- Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): Grêmio - 1, Botafogo - 0;
- BTTS at Grêmio's home ground - 0 (0%);
- BTTS for Botafogo away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: Grêmio - 5, Botafogo - 5;
- BTTS at Grêmio's home ground - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for Botafogo away - 3 (75%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In this matchup, Gremio might take the risk and push forward aggressively, but Botafogo have a knack for defending effectively and capitalizing on their chances up front. Our editorial team sees the most likely scenario as betting on a total over 2.5 goals, which has been successful in five consecutive Gremio games and the last six matches involving Botafogo. The "Immortal Tricolor" have failed to beat the "Lone Star" in their last four encounters-their last victory came in 2023 with a 4-3 scoreline.
Betting Tips: Gremio - Botafogo FR
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
