Progreso vs Liverpool Prediction 31 March 2026
📣 In the upcoming Primera round, Progreso are set to host Liverpool Montevideo. Both teams have shown contrasting performances this season, which is reflected in their standings. Progreso are fighting to improve their position, while Liverpool aim to solidify their spot at the top of the table. A key aspect of this clash will be the defensive play from both sides. Read our prediction for their showdown below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (with Liverpool Montevideo as the home side):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 2 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2.
📊Analytical review of past official games between Progreso and Liverpool Montevideo:
- 21 matches played;
- home team victories - 6, away team wins - 11, draws - 4;
- goals scored (home/away) - 24 to 46;
- average total goals per match - 3.33.
Head-to-head statistics Progreso - Liverpool
Progreso Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Racing Montevideo hosting Progreso. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the game statistics (Progreso vs Racing Montevideo):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 5;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Progreso sit 13th in the standings, showcasing inconsistent form. Over their last five matches, they've secured one win, drawn twice, and suffered one defeat. The team averages 0.75 goals per match while conceding an average of 1.5 goals. This highlights defensive issues and a lack of offensive efficiency, posing challenges in their quest for points.
Match Results: Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo Team Overview
The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Liverpool Montevideo hosting Central Español. The encounter ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Liverpool Montevideo vs Central Español):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Liverpool Montevideo hold the sixth position thanks to their consistent performances: three wins and two draws in their last five matches indicate the team is in good form. They average 1.5 goals per game while also maintaining a solid defense, conceding just one goal per match. This makes them strong contenders for victory, even on the road.
Match Results: Liverpool Montevideo
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Progreso (Home) vs Liverpool Montevideo (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 2;
- Number of wins: 1 (33.33%) vs 2 (100%);
- Number of losses: 1 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 1 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.5;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.67 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 0;
- Number of draws: 4 vs 7;
- Average first half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7) vs 1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.3).
- Progreso have lost the 1st half in last 5 home games against Liverpool Montevideo (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 11, draws - 4.
Statistics: Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 1 vs 3;
- win percentage: 13% vs 50%;
- losses: 4 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Progreso won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 14 home games (Primera Division).
- Progreso won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.14, the guests - 2.19;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo
- average total in the tournament: 2.25 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 0.75 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.25 vs 1.17;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.33;
- Progreso: average total at home in the tournament - 0.67;
- Liverpool Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.8) vs 1.1 (away - 0.8).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 20 of last 21 Progreso games against Liverpool Montevideo.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 18 of last 19 Progreso games against Liverpool Montevideo (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 11 Progreso home games against Liverpool Montevideo.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 10 Progreso home games against Liverpool Montevideo (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Progreso home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Progreso at home - 1 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Liverpool Montevideo away - 1 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Progreso at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Liverpool Montevideo away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (13/57, 22.8%);
- Progreso at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:3 , 2:2 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Liverpool Montevideo away most often play: 0:1 , 1:2 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.29% (odds 6)
0:1 - 12.95% (odds 7)
0:0 - 10.99% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Analyzing current trends and statistics, it's noteworthy that Liverpool Montevideo consistently features in matches with under 2.5 goals (6 of their last 7 games). Additionally, the team frequently scores fewer than two goals when playing away (in 9 of their last 10 matches). These factors suggest a high likelihood that the overall scoring will remain low.
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Betting Tips: Progreso - Liverpool Montevideo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
