Wales vs Norway Prediction 1 October 2026
🔉 Wales started their Nations League campaign with two away defeats and are playing at home for the first time in this edition. The aim is simple - pick up their first points. But it won't be easy: Norway knocked Brazil out of the 2026 World Cup and reached the quarter-finals, and they have been just as impressive in the current Nations League campaign.
Head-to-Head
📊 There is no head-to-head history - the two sides have never met before.
Wales: Winless in 2026
Wales have not won a single match in 2026: three draws and three defeats. One of those draws ended in a penalty shootout loss to Bosnia and Herzegovina in the World Cup qualifying play-offs. There followed draws against Northern Ireland and Ghana, and a defeat to Romania. In all four of those matches, Wales both scored and conceded.
In the 2026/27 Nations League, the goals have dried up entirely: defeats to Portugal (0-1) and Denmark (0-2), both away from home. Wales sit fourth in the group, without a point or a goal to their name.
Craig Bellamy has been unable to settle on a first-choice squad. The starting line-ups for the Portugal and Denmark matches differed by six players - a reflection not only of the search for the right combinations but also of a congested schedule. The problem is not chance creation: against Denmark, Wales had more shots than their opponents, and against Portugal they created more clear-cut chances. The problem is finishing. Before this tournament, the team had scored in seven consecutive matches.
Match Results: Wales
Norway: the goal fest rolls on
Norway finished in the top eight at the 2026 World Cup. They lost to England in the quarter-finals (1-2), but before that had beaten Ivory Coast and Brazil in the knockout rounds. In the Nations League, the Norwegians have been equally entertaining.
Their opening match against Denmark turned into a goal fest. Norway raced into a two-goal lead - Oscar Bobb scored on 14 minutes, Erling Haaland added a second on 18. Denmark pulled one back before half-time, and on 60 minutes Rasmus Højlund levelled. Norway snatched the win at home: Haaland completed his brace on 74 minutes to make it 3-2. In their second match they lost to Portugal (1-2). By xG, shots and clear chances Norway were the stronger side, but the Portuguese were more pragmatic and more clinical.
Scoring and conceding - that is what defines this Norway side right now. In both Nations League matches the team conceded two goals. In all six of Norway's matches at the 2026 World Cup both sides scored, with a combined goal difference of 13-12. Across all competitions, Norway have kept just one clean sheet in their last 15 matches: a 0-0 draw at home to Switzerland in March 2026. In every other match, both teams scored.
Match Results: Norway
Latest news
Wales
Charlie Savage has joined the squad. He arrived in camp ahead of the match against Portugal and went straight into the starting XI. Yoel Colwill and David Brooks have left the squad.
Norway
Martin Ødegaard's participation is in doubt. He picked up a knock in the match against Portugal and missed part of training. David Møller Wolfe returns from suspension - he missed the Portugal game due to a red card received in the match against Denmark. Julian Ryerson is carrying an injury: he was substituted during the second half of the match against Portugal.
Predicted Lineups
Wales predicted starting XI: Ward - Dasilva, Cabango, Mepham, Roberts - Sheehan, Savage - Johnson, Kaumas, James - Moore.
Norway predicted starting XI: Nyland - Aursnes, Heggem, Ostigard, Moller- Berg, Berge, Thorstvedt - Bobb, Schjelderup, Haaland.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The referee is Alejandro Hernández from Spain. He cannot be considered a strict official: since 2023 he has taken charge of nine international matches, averaging 3.9 yellow cards per game. However, Norway's matches in this Nations League campaign have featured plenty of fouls - four yellows against Denmark and six against Portugal. The main prediction is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3 at 1.62*.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Before their two away defeats in the Nations League, Wales had scored in seven consecutive matches. At home they have a scoring run of seven matches, and Norway have conceded in each of their last ten matches. Even in their current difficult spell, Wales are creating chances - it is simply a matter of finishing. Wales to Score at 1.55* looks an interesting option.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Norway have won few corners in their away Nations League matches: in 6 of their 8 away games they have had no more than four. Wales at home have not conceded more than four corners in their last five matches in the competition. Taking a small margin of safety, the bet is Norway Team Total Corners - Under 6 at 1.55*.
🚀 Player Statistics Bet
Erling Haaland is the team's main attacking force. In this Nations League campaign he already has three goals in two matches. There are no signs he will miss the game - Haaland always plays when available. The bet is Haaland to Score at 1.45*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
Norway's scoring run stands at 21 consecutive matches, and seven in the Nations League. Away from home, the Norwegians have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches. Even with defensive problems, the attack consistently finds a way. Norway to Score is priced at 1.11*.
😱 Risky Bet
Both teams tend to score in the second half. Norway have scored after the break in five consecutive away matches and in 6 of their last 7 Nations League games. Wales have scored in the second half in six consecutive home matches. Norway have also conceded after the break in 6 of their last 7 matches. The risky option is Both Teams to Score in the Second Half - Yes at 3.15*.
👀 If the Match Goes Off Script
Wales have struggled to break down compact defences. They create pressure, but errors in the final third and the absence of a top striker have undermined it. So far in this Nations League campaign they have not scored, and if Norway avoid serious mistakes they could keep a clean sheet. In that case, Both Teams to Score - No at 2.12* would be the appropriate bet.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Norway play attacking football, but their defence is not always reliable - this squad is clearly built around going forward. Wales are not in good form right now: key players are missing, there is constant rotation, and they have failed to score in their last two rounds. On that basis, there is little reason for optimism when it comes to picking up their first points. Norway will probably concede - but their attacking play will be decisive, and they will take all three points, further strengthening their chances of finishing in the top two in the group and reaching the Nations League play-offs. The recommended bet for this match is: Norway Team Total - Over 2. Predicted score: 1-3.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Wales - Norway
in last 5 away games.
in last 5 away games.
in 9 of last 10 away games.in 11 of last 12 home games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
