Liverpool vs Progreso Prediction 26 October 2025
📢 Liverpool Montevideo face off against Progreso in an exhilarating clash that promises to be intense and action-packed. The league leaders, playing at home, aim to solidify their position at the top of the standings, with their attacking style suggesting plenty of goalmouth action. On the other hand, Progreso, sitting mid-table, are looking to improve their away record. Read the prediction for their encounter below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these teams ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Progreso):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
📊Analytical review of previous official matches between Liverpool Montevideo and Progreso:
- 20 matches played;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 6, draws - 4;
- goals scored (home/away) - 43 to 23;
- average total goals per match - 3.3.
Head-to-head statistics Liverpool - Progreso

Liverpool Montevideo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Plaza Colonia hosting Liverpool Montevideo. The match concluded with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here are the game statistics (Liverpool Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia):
- possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
Liverpool Montevideo have been showcasing a strong performance throughout the season, holding the top spot in the league with 17 wins and only 6 losses over 34 rounds. In their last five matches, they've secured three victories and suffered just one defeat, highlighting the stability of the "Black-and-Whites." They maintain a well-balanced approach with a focus on attack, averaging 1.41 goals per match while maintaining a solid defense, conceding just 0.97 goals per game.
Match Results: Liverpool Montevideo

Progreso Team Overview
The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament (Progreso as the home team and Defensor Sporting as the visitors). The encounter ended with a score of 2-3.
Here's the game statistics (Progreso vs. Defensor Sporting):
- possession: 53% vs. 47%;
- corners: 3 vs. 3;
- yellow cards: 2 vs. 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs. 6.
Progreso currently sit in eleventh place in the league following a rather inconsistent season, marked by ten wins and sixteen losses. However, their form has shown signs of improvement over the last five matches, with three victories and a draw offering hope for further progress. The statistics highlight a weaker defense for the visitors, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game, paired with a modest scoring rate of just over one goal per match (1.06). The last head-to-head clash between these teams ended in a 2-0 victory for the visitors.
Match Results: Progreso
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 20;
- Home wins - 10, Away wins - 6, Draws - 4.
- Progreso have covered a +1.5 handicap in their last 5 away head-to-head matches (Primera).
- Progreso have covered a +1.5 handicap in their last 9 matches (Primera).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 2.15, away team - 1.15;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.3;
- Both teams scored: overall - 14 times; at home team's ground - 6 times.
Statistics: Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso
- Tournament average total: 2.38 vs 2.56;
- Average goals scored: 1.41 vs 1.06;
- First-half average total: 0.65 vs 0.47;
- Second-half average total: 0.76 vs 0.59;
- Liverpool Montevideo: home tournament average total - 1.65;
- Progreso: away tournament average total - 0.82;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1.3 (away - 0.6).
- Liverpool Montevideo have conceded at home in their last 7 head-to-head matches (Primera).
Corners Prediction
Trends- Total under 9.5 corners has hit in 8 of Liverpool Montevideo's last 9 home matches (Primera).
- Total under 9.5 corners has hit in 6 of Progreso's last 7 away matches (Primera).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.7 (2.35 for home team and 2.35 for away team);
- Average total yellow cards at home ground - 5.5 (2.75 for home team and 2.75 for away team).
Liverpool Montevideo: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 2.06; at home - 1.82;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; at home - 2.
Progreso: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 2.97, away - 2.71;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.4; away - 3.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 20;
- Both teams scored overall - 14 times;
- At home team's ground - 6 times.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering current trends and team statistics, we can anticipate an active match with plenty of chances at both ends. Liverpool Montevideo have a clear home advantage, as evidenced by their ability to consistently score over 1.5 goals in front of their fans. This bet seems the most well-founded given the league leader's current form and their superiority over the visitors in key attacking metrics. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.