Liverpool vs Progreso Prediction 26 October 2025

    📢 Liverpool Montevideo face off against Progreso in an exhilarating clash that promises to be intense and action-packed. The league leaders, playing at home, aim to solidify their position at the top of the standings, with their attacking style suggesting plenty of goalmouth action. On the other hand, Progreso, sitting mid-table, are looking to improve their away record. Read the prediction for their encounter below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these teams ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Progreso):

    • possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 7.

    📊Analytical review of previous official matches between Liverpool Montevideo and Progreso:

    • 20 matches played;
    • home wins - 10, away wins - 6, draws - 4;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 43 to 23;
    • average total goals per match - 3.3.

    Head-to-head statistics Liverpool - Progreso

    50%
    11 Wins
    23%
    5 Draws
    27%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    22
    Total Goals Avg
    3.45
    Both teams scored
    73%
    2.23
    Total average
    1.23
    Last matches
    31.03.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    6
    6
    -
    -
    3
    4
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    6
    -
    -
    3
    4
    26.10.25
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    2
    27.04.25
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1.05
    1.34
    4
    4
    0
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.05
    1.34
    4
    4
    0
    0
    2
    2
    03.11.24
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    4
    28.04.24
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    5
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    5
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Liverpool Montevideo Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Plaza Colonia hosting Liverpool Montevideo. The match concluded with a scoreline of 0-1.

    Here are the game statistics (Liverpool Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia):

    • possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 2.

    Liverpool Montevideo have been showcasing a strong performance throughout the season, holding the top spot in the league with 17 wins and only 6 losses over 34 rounds. In their last five matches, they've secured three victories and suffered just one defeat, highlighting the stability of the "Black-and-Whites." They maintain a well-balanced approach with a focus on attack, averaging 1.41 goals per match while maintaining a solid defense, conceding just 0.97 goals per game. 

    Match Results: Liverpool Montevideo

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    Primera Division
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    12
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    12
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    23.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Colon
    Colon
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    9
    1
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    9
    1
    2
    W
    20.09.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    5
    D
    14.09.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    8
    -
    -
    4
    5
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    8
    -
    -
    4
    5
    L
    06.09.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    3
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament (Progreso as the home team and Defensor Sporting as the visitors). The encounter ended with a score of 2-3.

    Here's the game statistics (Progreso vs. Defensor Sporting):

    • possession: 53% vs. 47%;
    • corners: 3 vs. 3;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs. 2;
    • shots on target: 7 vs. 6.

    Progreso currently sit in eleventh place in the league following a rather inconsistent season, marked by ten wins and sixteen losses. However, their form has shown signs of improvement over the last five matches, with three victories and a draw offering hope for further progress. The statistics highlight a weaker defense for the visitors, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game, paired with a modest scoring rate of just over one goal per match (1.06). The last head-to-head clash between these teams ended in a 2-0 victory for the visitors.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    16.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    12
    11
    8
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    12
    11
    8
    2
    1
    L
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    L
    07.09.26
    Primera Division
    Albion
    Albion
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 20;
    • Home wins - 10, Away wins - 6, Draws - 4.
    Trends
    • Progreso have covered a +1.5 handicap in their last 5 away head-to-head matches (Primera).
    • Progreso have covered a +1.5 handicap in their last 9 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Progreso Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.4)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team average goals - 2.15, away team - 1.15;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.3;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 14 times; at home team's ground - 6 times.

    Statistics: Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso

    • Tournament average total: 2.38 vs 2.56;
    • Average goals scored: 1.41 vs 1.06;
    • First-half average total: 0.65 vs 0.47;
    • Second-half average total: 0.76 vs 0.59;
    • Liverpool Montevideo: home tournament average total - 1.65;
    • Progreso: away tournament average total - 0.82;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1.3 (away - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Liverpool Montevideo have conceded at home in their last 7 head-to-head matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Progreso will score goal(odds: 1.57)

    Corners Prediction

    Trends
    • Total under 9.5 corners has hit in 8 of Liverpool Montevideo's last 9 home matches (Primera).
    • Total under 9.5 corners has hit in 6 of Progreso's last 7 away matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9,5)(odds: 1.82)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.7 (2.35 for home team and 2.35 for away team);
    • Average total yellow cards at home ground - 5.5 (2.75 for home team and 2.75 for away team).

    Liverpool Montevideo: Statistics

    • Season: tournament average total - 2.06; at home - 1.82;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; at home - 2.

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: tournament average total - 2.97, away - 2.71;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3.4; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 20;
    • Both teams scored overall - 14 times;
    • At home team's ground - 6 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes)(odds: 1.83)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering current trends and team statistics, we can anticipate an active match with plenty of chances at both ends. Liverpool Montevideo have a clear home advantage, as evidenced by their ability to consistently score over 1.5 goals in front of their fans. This bet seems the most well-founded given the league leader's current form and their superiority over the visitors in key attacking metrics. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.

    Liverpool Montevideo Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-125
    Published: 24/10/2025, 12:47

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    Betting Tips: Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso

    Liverpool Montevideo have not lost:
    liverpool-m-in 18 of last 19 home games (Primera Division).
    liverpool-m-in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    Progreso have not won:
    ca-progresoin 9 of last 10 away games (Primera Division).
    Liverpool Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -588
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    liverpool-m-ca-progresoin 19 of last 20 Liverpool Montevideo games against Progreso.
    liverpool-m-ca-progresoin 17 of last 18 Liverpool Montevideo games against Progreso (Primera Division).
    liverpool-m-ca-progresoin 8 of last 9 Liverpool Montevideo home games against Progreso.
    liverpool-m-ca-progresoin 7 of last 8 Liverpool Montevideo home games against Progreso (Primera Division).
    liverpool-m-in 8 of last 9 Liverpool Montevideo home games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    ca-progresoin 7 of last 8 Progreso away games (Primera Division).
    in 14 of last 15 Leodan Frankin Gonzalez Cabrera games.
    in 13 of last 14 Leodan Frankin Gonzalez Cabrera games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -333
    Progreso have scored under 1.5 goals:
    liverpool-m-ca-progresoin 6 of last 7 away games against Liverpool Montevideo.
    ca-progresoin last 10 away games (Primera Division).
    Progreso Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Liverpool - Progreso Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1595122-932
    2.
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1594235-1631
    3.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1593323-1530
    10.
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1545616-2217
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 6
    +12
    -5
    8 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    0
    2
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    8
    6
    Conceded
    13
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    0.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    3
    Both teams scored
    4
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats