Casa Pia vs Guimaraes Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 December 2025
🔊 The upcoming match between Casa Pia and Vitória Guimarães promises to be intriguing from a tactical standpoint. Casa Pia are eager to distance themselves from the relegation zone, adding motivation for this encounter. However, their form is concerning, having won only 3 out of 15 Primeira Liga matches. Vitória, on the other hand, sit comfortably in the upper part of the table and appear more confident. It will be fascinating to see if the hosts can challenge such a well-organized opponent.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 01 March 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home side - Vitória Guimarães):
- possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 6;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Casa Pia and Vitória Guimarães:
- 7 matches played;
- home wins - 2, away wins - 2, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 4 for Casa Pia, 3 for Vitória Guimarães;
- average total in the first half - 0.71, second half - 0.29;
- average total goals per match - 1.
Head-to-head statistics Casa Pia - Guimaraes
Casa Pia Team Overview
The last official match took place on as part of the 15th round of the Primeira Liga (Tondela were the hosts, Casa Pia the visitors). The match concluded with a score of 1-2.
Here are the game statistics (Casa Pia vs Tondela):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 16 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
⚫ Casa Pia are fighting to stay in the league, currently sitting in 15th place on the table. The team is going through a challenging period, with just one win in their last five matches, which came in the previous round away against Tondela (2-1). Their average scoring rate is only 1.07 goals per game, while they concede around 1.93 goals to opponents. This balance does not help improve their standing in the table. Casa Pia's playing style is focused on counter-attacks, but their lack of consistency makes them vulnerable to more organized opponents.
Match Results: Casa Pia
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
The visitors last took the field on during the 15th round of the Primeira Liga, facing Vitória Guimarães away. The match concluded with a 1-4 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Vitória Guimarães vs Sporting):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 21 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
⚪ The "Conquerors" had been delighting their fans with a six-match unbeaten streak across all competitions, but in the last Primeira Liga round, they suffered a heavy home defeat to Sporting (1-4). Despite this setback, we anticipate that Vitoria will regain their confidence and put on a solid performance, thanks to their reliable defense and balanced attacking line. Securing a victory against Casa Pia will be a challenging task for any opponent-even though the previous head-to-head ended with a narrow 1-0 win for Guimaraes.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 7;
- Home wins - 2, Away wins - 2, Draws - 3.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Vitória Guimarães
- Matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- Victories: 3 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 20% vs 40%;
- Losses: 8 vs 6;
- Draws: 4 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 5;
- Losses: 5 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- Casa Pia have failed to win in 9 of their last 10 matches (Primeira Liga).
- Casa Pia are winless at home in their last 8 matches.
- Casa Pia have not won at home in 7 consecutive Primeira Liga matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Current hosts average goals scored - 0.57, visitors - 0.43;
- Average total goals in head-to-head - 1;
- Both teams scored: all-time - once; at the home team's ground - once.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Vitória Guimarães
- Average total in the tournament: 3 vs 2.47;
- Average goals scored: 1.07 vs 1.07;
- Average first-half total: 0.4 vs 0.53;
- Average second-half total: 0.67 vs 0.53;
- Casa Pia: average home total in the tournament - 1;
- Vitória Guimarães: average away total in the tournament - 0.57;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.25) vs 1.4 (away - 1.25).
- Vitória Guimarães have scored under 1.5 goals in their last 7 head-to-head matches against Casa Pia.
- Vitória Guimarães have scored under 1.5 goals away in 7 of their last 8 Primeira Liga matches.
- Vitória Guimarães have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches.
Corners Prediction
Casa Pia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.07; at home - 3.86;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; at home - 4.5.
Vitória Guimarães: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.67, away - 4.57;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.4; away - 4.25.
- Total over 9.5 corners has hit in 6 of Vitória Guimarães' last 7 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 7;
- Both teams scored all-time - once;
- At the home team's ground - once.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Vitória Guimarães
- Total matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): Casa Pia - 7, Vitória Guimarães - 5;
- Casa Pia's BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
- Vitória Guimarães' BTTS away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: Casa Pia - 5, Vitória Guimarães - 2;
- Casa Pia's BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- Vitória Guimarães' BTTS away - 1 (25%).
Correct Score Prediction
Frequent results statistics (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1:1 (16/135, 11.9%);
- Casa Pia's frequent home result: 0-2 (3/7, 42.9%);
- Vitória Guimarães' frequent away result: 2-0 (3/7, 42.9%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-1 - 13.9% (odds: 5.4)
0-1 - 11.04% (odds: 5.85)
0-0 - 9.37% (odds: 6.9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their standings in the league table, Vitória Guimarães are expected to have the upper hand. They boast more consistent results and a strong defense against Casa Pia's weak attack. Trends also suggest a low-scoring affair: under 2.5 goals has been recorded in all seven of their recent head-to-head encounters, making this bet an obvious choice.
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Betting Tips: Casa Pia - Vitoria SC Guimaraes
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