Casa Pia vs Guimaraes Prediction 28 December 2025

    🔊 The upcoming match between Casa Pia and Vitória Guimarães promises to be intriguing from a tactical standpoint. Casa Pia are eager to distance themselves from the relegation zone, adding motivation for this encounter. However, their form is concerning, having won only 3 out of 15 Primeira Liga matches. Vitória, on the other hand, sit comfortably in the upper part of the table and appear more confident. It will be fascinating to see if the hosts can challenge such a well-organized opponent.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between the teams took place on 01 March 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home side - Vitória Guimarães):

    • possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
    • corners: 7 vs 2;
    • fouls: 9 vs 18;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 2.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Casa Pia and Vitória Guimarães:

    • 7 matches played;
    • home wins - 2, away wins - 2, draws - 3;
    • goals scored - 4 for Casa Pia, 3 for Vitória Guimarães;
    • average total in the first half - 0.71, second half - 0.29;
    • average total goals per match - 1.

    Head-to-head statistics Casa Pia - Guimaraes

    33%
    3 Wins
    44%
    4 Draws
    22%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    0.89
    Both teams scored
    11%
    0.56
    Total average
    0.33
    2.44
    Yellow cards
    2
    Last matches
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1.41
    0.76
    6
    4
    11
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.41
    0.76
    6
    4
    11
    16
    2
    1
    28.12.25
    Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    0.5
    1.32
    2
    3
    23
    11
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.5
    1.32
    2
    3
    23
    11
    4
    2
    01.03.25
    Liga Portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Casa Pia Lisbon
    Casa Pia Lisbon
    1.76
    0.48
    7
    2
    9
    18
    4
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.76
    0.48
    7
    2
    9
    18
    4
    6
    28.09.24
    Примейра-лига
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    -
    -
    7
    9
    13
    8
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    9
    13
    8
    2
    0
    24.02.24
    Примейра-лига
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    -
    -
    8
    2
    12
    13
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    12
    13
    1
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Casa Pia Team Overview

    The last official match took place on as part of the 15th round of the Primeira Liga (Tondela were the hosts, Casa Pia the visitors). The match concluded with a score of 1-2.

    Here are the game statistics (Casa Pia vs Tondela):

    • possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
    • fouls: 16 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    ⚫ Casa Pia are fighting to stay in the league, currently sitting in 15th place on the table. The team is going through a challenging period, with just one win in their last five matches, which came in the previous round away against Tondela (2-1). Their average scoring rate is only 1.07 goals per game, while they concede around 1.93 goals to opponents. This balance does not help improve their standing in the table. Casa Pia's playing style is focused on counter-attacks, but their lack of consistency makes them vulnerable to more organized opponents.

    Match Results: Casa Pia

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    liga portugal
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    0.88
    0.58
    5
    1
    14
    18
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.88
    0.58
    5
    1
    14
    18
    1
    3
    L
    24.08.26
    liga portugal
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1.66
    0.8
    3
    4
    11
    12
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.66
    0.8
    3
    4
    11
    12
    1
    1
    L
    17.08.26
    liga portugal
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.26
    2.4
    1
    3
    11
    13
    1
    0
    0
    7
    0
    2
    0
    5
    0.26
    2.4
    1
    3
    11
    13
    1
    0
    L
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Maritimo Madeira
    Maritimo Madeira
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1.22
    0.51
    2
    6
    17
    13
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.22
    0.51
    2
    6
    17
    13
    2
    2
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Leixoes
    Leixoes
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    6
    2
    3
    2
    3
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview

    The visitors last took the field on during the 15th round of the Primeira Liga, facing Vitória Guimarães away. The match concluded with a 1-4 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Vitória Guimarães vs Sporting):

    • possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • corners: 2 vs 5;
    • fouls: 21 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 7.

    ⚪ The "Conquerors" had been delighting their fans with a six-match unbeaten streak across all competitions, but in the last Primeira Liga round, they suffered a heavy home defeat to Sporting (1-4). Despite this setback, we anticipate that Vitoria will regain their confidence and put on a solid performance, thanks to their reliable defense and balanced attacking line. Securing a victory against Casa Pia will be a challenging task for any opponent-even though the previous head-to-head ended with a narrow 1-0 win for Guimaraes.

    Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    W
    14.08.26
    liga portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1.13
    1.01
    5
    1
    12
    21
    4
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    1.13
    1.01
    5
    1
    12
    21
    4
    4
    L
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    L
    02.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Varzim
    Varzim
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Chaves
    Chaves
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 7;
    • Home wins - 2, Away wins - 2, Draws - 3.

    Statistics: Casa Pia vs Vitória Guimarães

    • Matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • Victories: 3 vs 6;
    • Win percentage: 20% vs 40%;
    • Losses: 8 vs 6;
    • Draws: 4 vs 3.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 3 vs 5;
    • Losses: 5 vs 4;
    • Draws: 2 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Casa Pia have failed to win in 9 of their last 10 matches (Primeira Liga).
    • Casa Pia are winless at home in their last 8 matches.
    • Casa Pia have not won at home in 7 consecutive Primeira Liga matches.
    👉Prediction: Vitoria SC Guimaraes will not lose(odds: 1.29)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Current hosts average goals scored - 0.57, visitors - 0.43;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head - 1;
    • Both teams scored: all-time - once; at the home team's ground - once.

    Statistics: Casa Pia vs Vitória Guimarães

    • Average total in the tournament: 3 vs 2.47;
    • Average goals scored: 1.07 vs 1.07;
    • Average first-half total: 0.4 vs 0.53;
    • Average second-half total: 0.67 vs 0.53;
    • Casa Pia: average home total in the tournament - 1;
    • Vitória Guimarães: average away total in the tournament - 0.57;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.25) vs 1.4 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Vitória Guimarães have scored under 1.5 goals in their last 7 head-to-head matches against Casa Pia.
    • Vitória Guimarães have scored under 1.5 goals away in 7 of their last 8 Primeira Liga matches.
    • Vitória Guimarães have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches.
    👉Prediction: Vitoria SC Guimaraes Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.44)

    Corners Prediction

    Casa Pia: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.07; at home - 3.86;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; at home - 4.5.

    Vitória Guimarães: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.67, away - 4.57;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.4; away - 4.25.
    Trends
    • Total over 9.5 corners has hit in 6 of Vitória Guimarães' last 7 matches.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (9,5)(odds: 1.91)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 7;
    • Both teams scored all-time - once;
    • At the home team's ground - once.

    Statistics: Casa Pia vs Vitória Guimarães

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): Casa Pia - 7, Vitória Guimarães - 5;
    • Casa Pia's BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
    • Vitória Guimarães' BTTS away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • BTTS matches: Casa Pia - 5, Vitória Guimarães - 2;
    • Casa Pia's BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
    • Vitória Guimarães' BTTS away - 1 (25%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.7)

    Correct Score Prediction

    Frequent results statistics (current season):

    • The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1:1 (16/135, 11.9%);
    • Casa Pia's frequent home result: 0-2 (3/7, 42.9%);
    • Vitória Guimarães' frequent away result: 2-0 (3/7, 42.9%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:

    1-1 - 13.9% (odds: 5.4)
    0-1 - 11.04% (odds: 5.85)
    0-0 - 9.37% (odds: 6.9)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 5.4)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the current form of both teams and their standings in the league table, Vitória Guimarães are expected to have the upper hand. They boast more consistent results and a strong defense against Casa Pia's weak attack. Trends also suggest a low-scoring affair: under 2.5 goals has been recorded in all seven of their recent head-to-head encounters, making this bet an obvious choice.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-189
    Published: 26/12/2025, 11:39

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    Betting Tips: Casa Pia - Vitoria SC Guimaraes

    Vitoria SC Guimaraes have drawn:
    casa-pia-atleticovitoria-guimaraes-1in last 3 away games against Casa Pia.
    Draw
    Bovada
    +193
    Casa Pia have not won:
    casa-pia-atleticoin 9 of last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
    casa-pia-atleticoin last 8 home games.
    casa-pia-atleticoin last 7 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes will not lose
    Everygame
    -294
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    casa-pia-atleticoin 19 of last 20 Casa Pia games.
    casa-pia-atleticoin 16 of last 17 Casa Pia games (Primeira Liga).
    casa-pia-atleticoin last 10 Casa Pia home games.
    casa-pia-atleticoin last 9 Casa Pia home games (Primeira Liga).
    in 8 of last 9 Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -189
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes have scored under 1.5 goals:
    casa-pia-atleticovitoria-guimaraes-1in last 7 games against Casa Pia.
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 7 of last 8 away games (Primeira Liga).
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Casa Pia - Guimaraes Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    341261647-6442
    9.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    341261639-5142
    10.
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    341091554-5739
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630
    16.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    346121631-5730
    17.
    Tondela
    Tondela
    346101827-5528

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 5
    Conceded - 15
    -10
    0
    13 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    1
    6
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    5
    Scored
    13
    15
    Conceded
    13
    2
    Match goals average
    2.6
    0.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    2
    Both teams scored
    3
    180'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats