Aberdeen vs Falkirk Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔊 Both sides sit in mid-table and retain moderate motivation, as the gap to the leaders is small. Aberdeen have 11 points from 10 matches and sit ninth, while Falkirk are just one point ahead of the hosts. Recent head-to-head statistics suggest a fairly even contest: both teams score just over a goal per game and neither has shown a clear edge across their last ten matches.
Head-to-head record is level
Aberdeen and Falkirk drew 1-1 in the Premiership. Falkirk had more possession and won 10 corners to Aberdeen's four, but Aberdeen had the better of the chances, leading on shots 9-7 and on expected goals 1.26-0.7.
📊 In five official meetings between Aberdeen and Falkirk, each side has won two, with one match ending in a draw. Despite that even split, Aberdeen have scored twice as many goals: 8 to 4.
Head-to-head statistics Aberdeen - Falkirk
Aberdeen: lacking consistency
Aberdeen lost 2-3 away to Dundee United in their last Premiership match. The visitors had more shots - 20 against 14 - and their expected goals figure was close to the hosts': 2.06 against 2.1. However, they managed only three shots on target, compared to six from their opponents.
Aberdeen's form has been inconsistent - across their last five matches they have two wins, one draw and two defeats. They have scored six goals in that period, which matches their seasonal average of 1.2 goals per game. Defensively the picture is similar: they are conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match, suggesting they do not always cope well under pressure from opponents. Their league objective is to close a two-point gap on the teams above them, which means picking up points now, though the season is still only approaching its midpoint.
Match Results: Aberdeen
Falkirk: frequent goal exchanges
Falkirk beat Kilmarnock 3-0 at home in their previous Premier League match. The hosts had eight shots on target and kept their opponents off the scoresheet entirely, though the expected goals figures were fairly close - 1.93 to 1.77.
Falkirk have shown slightly more consistent form, with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches keeping them close to the top of the table. Their average goals scored per game is identical to the hosts' (1.2), while their defence looks more stable - though they concede the same number of goals per game on average across the season. Their recent run highlights the visitors' tendency to be involved in scoring at both ends: Falkirk have both scored and conceded in seven consecutive matches, which reflects both their general style and their potential involvement in a match with goals at both ends.
Match Results: Falkirk
Goals Prediction / Total
In 13 of Aberdeen's last 14 home matches, the total goals have been under 3.5, which confirms a consistent trend towards low scoring at home. The seasonal averages for both teams in goals scored and conceded (Aberdeen - 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded, Falkirk - 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded) also give no indication of a high-scoring game. There are no significant statistical contradictions, and the bet is well supported by both the trend and the current averages. The price on Total Goals - Under 3.5 is 1.32*.
Corners Prediction
Falkirk have had fewer than 5.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 Premier League matches, pointing to a consistent tendency towards a low corner count from the away side. No additional contradictions have been identified for this market. The price on Falkirk Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 is 1.45*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Falkirk have both scored and conceded in seven consecutive Premier League matches, which points to a high likelihood of goals at both ends. Both sides also have similar scoring averages this season at around 1.2 goals per game. There are no direct statistical conflicts, though it is worth noting that the bet is supported primarily by the visitors' trend. Both Teams to Score - Yes is priced at 1.64*.
Reliable Bet
In 10 of Falkirk's last 11 away matches, the total goals has been over 1.5, pointing to consistent scoring on the road. Both teams' average figures for goals scored and conceded also support this scenario. The bet on Total Goals - Over 1.5 is backed by a consistent trend and the season's statistics. The odds are 1.2*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely correct scores are: 1:0 (15.39%), 1:1 (11.75%) and 0:0 (10.86%). The 1:0 scoreline has the highest probability, though the other two options are close in value. This reflects a cautious match scenario with a limited number of goals.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both sides have similar attacking and defensive numbers, with a modest difference in their league ambitions - each is looking to close the gap on the Champions League places while carrying an average level of motivation for this stage of the season. The key factor is Falkirk's trend towards matches with goals at both ends: the visitors have regularly been involved in open, end-to-end games for seven rounds in a row. The balance between attack and defence in both teams also supports a scenario where each side has chances to score. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Aberdeen - Falkirk
in 6 of last 7 away games.
in 13 of last 14 Aberdeen home games.in 10 of last 11 Aberdeen home games (Premiership).in last 12 Falkirk games.in last 9 Falkirk games (Premiership).in last 6 Falkirk away games (Premiership).in last 5 games against Aberdeen.in 6 of last 7 away games (Premiership).in last 14 games (Premiership).in last 9 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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