Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Prediction 6 September 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Early in the season, Vitória Guimarães sit in mid-table and have been unable to find any consistency, while Casa Pia are bottom without a point. Both sides are struggling in front of goal: the hosts have only one win since the start of the season, while the visitors have failed to score in four consecutive rounds. Their league positions tell different stories - Vitória Guimarães are aiming considerably higher, while for Casa Pia the situation is already critical after finding themselves in the relegation zone so early in the campaign.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two sides have drawn more often than not in head-to-head meetings, and neither team holds a decisive advantage.

    Head-to-head statistics Guimaraes - Casa Pia

    22%
    2 Wins
    44%
    4 Draws
    33%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    0.89
    Both teams scored
    11%
    0.33
    Total average
    0.56
    2
    Yellow cards
    2.44
    Last matches
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1.41
    0.76
    6
    4
    11
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.41
    0.76
    6
    4
    11
    16
    2
    1
    28.12.25
    Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    0.5
    1.32
    2
    3
    23
    11
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.5
    1.32
    2
    3
    23
    11
    4
    2
    01.03.25
    Liga Portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Casa Pia Lisbon
    Casa Pia Lisbon
    1.76
    0.48
    7
    2
    9
    18
    4
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.76
    0.48
    7
    2
    9
    18
    4
    6
    28.09.24
    Примейра-лига
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    -
    -
    7
    9
    13
    8
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    9
    13
    8
    2
    0
    24.02.24
    Примейра-лига
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    -
    -
    8
    2
    12
    13
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    12
    13
    1
    3
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    Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview

    Vitória Guimarães come into this match having lost three of their last four league games. In attack, the hosts are averaging a modest 0.75 goals per game, while defensively they have been conceding 1.25 per game this season. They are aiming to push into the leading group in the table, though there is already a noticeable gap in points.

    Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes

    Last matches
    31.08.26
    liga portugal
    Braga
    Braga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    0.77
    0.19
    2
    2
    11
    18
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.77
    0.19
    2
    2
    11
    18
    2
    3
    L
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    W
    14.08.26
    liga portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1.13
    1.01
    5
    1
    12
    21
    4
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    1.13
    1.01
    5
    1
    12
    21
    4
    4
    L
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    L
    02.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Varzim
    Varzim
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    D
    Empty
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    Casa Pia Team Overview

    Casa Pia have started the season with four consecutive defeats. Their attack has hit a serious slump, with the team failing to score in their most recent league matches. Defensively they are also struggling, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game this season. The table situation is extremely tight: the club sit bottom and are in the relegation zone, just two points from safety. The motivation is clearly high, but against the backdrop of such a prolonged scoring crisis, even that extra drive has so far done nothing to change things.

    Match Results: Casa Pia

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    liga portugal
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    0.88
    0.58
    5
    1
    14
    18
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.88
    0.58
    5
    1
    14
    18
    1
    3
    L
    24.08.26
    liga portugal
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1.66
    0.8
    3
    4
    11
    12
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.66
    0.8
    3
    4
    11
    12
    1
    1
    L
    17.08.26
    liga portugal
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.26
    2.4
    1
    3
    11
    13
    1
    0
    0
    7
    0
    2
    0
    5
    0.26
    2.4
    1
    3
    11
    13
    1
    0
    L
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Maritimo Madeira
    Maritimo Madeira
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1.22
    0.51
    2
    6
    17
    13
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.22
    0.51
    2
    6
    17
    13
    2
    2
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Leixoes
    Leixoes
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    6
    2
    3
    2
    3
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Corners Prediction

    Vitória Guimarães have had fewer than 5.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 home matches. This consistent pattern points to a limited number of set-piece situations for the hosts on their own ground, suggesting a similar outcome is likely in the upcoming game. Vitória Guimarães Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at odds of 1.84*.

    Reliable Bet

    In 13 of their last 14 home matches, Vitória Guimarães have not scored more than two goals. Their average of just 0.5 goals per home game this season further underlines how limited they are in attack at home. These figures make Vitória Guimarães Team Total - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.31* a reliable selection.

    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines for this match: 1-0 (23.8%), 0-0 (15.06%) and 2-0 (14.38%). A narrow home win is the most probable outcome, though a goalless draw also features in the top three. All three scenarios reflect expectations of low scoring.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match is shaped by a sharp attacking crisis at Kaza Pia. The team have gone four consecutive rounds without scoring. Even with strong motivation in terms of their league position, nothing has changed: their finishing remains at a very low level. The visitors' defensive problems are also clear, but what matters more for this bet is the fact that their attack has been virtually toothless for an extended period. Our pick is Kaza Pia Team Total - Under 0.5.
    Casa Pia will not score goal
    Published: 04/09/2026, 11:38
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Snooker and football expert
    29
    0
    20
    49 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Casa Pia

    Vitoria SC Guimaraes have lost:
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    Casa Pia Win
    Bovada
    +525
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes have not won:
    vitoria-guimaraes-1casa-pia-atleticoin 7 of last 8 games against Casa Pia (Primeira Liga).
    Casa Pia will not lose
    Everygame
    +128
    Casa Pia have not won:
    casa-pia-atleticoin 16 of last 18 games (Primeira Liga).
    casa-pia-atleticoin 11 of last 12 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes will not lose
    Everygame
    -909
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 10 of last 11 Vitoria SC Guimaraes home games (Primeira Liga).
    casa-pia-atleticoin last 5 Casa Pia away games (Primeira Liga).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Guimaraes - Casa Pia Table position

    Liga Portugal 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    11.
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    31113-64
    12.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    41033-53
    13.
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    41032-73
    16.
    Alverca
    Alverca
    40224-82
    17.
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    40132-71
    18.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    40040-110

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 14
    -6
    -10
    5 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draws
    2
    6
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    5
    14
    Conceded
    15
    2.2
    Match goals average
    2
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.5
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    3
    Both teams scored
    2
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    180'
    View all stats