Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Prediction 11 May 2026
🔊 Vitória Guimarães and Casa Pia are gearing up for another showdown. Both teams have struggled with consistency. Vitória sit in 8th place, showing decent form with a few wins in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Casa Pia are fighting for survival, positioned closer to the bottom of the table, and displaying weak performances both defensively and offensively.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 28 December 2025 and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Casa Pia were the home side):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 23 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Vitória Guimarães and Casa Pia:
- 8 matches played;
- home victories - 2, away victories - 2, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 3 for Vitória, 4 for Casa Pia;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 0.63, in the 2nd half - 0.25;
- average total goals per match - 0.88.
Head-to-head statistics Guimaraes - Casa Pia
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Sporting hosting Vitória Guimarães. The match concluded with a 5-1 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Vitória Guimarães vs Sporting):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 10.
Vitória Guimarães currently sit in 8th place on the table, delivering average performances. In their last five matches, they have secured three wins and suffered one defeat, indicating a positive trend. However, their attacking prowess leaves much to be desired, with an average of just 1.22 goals per game. This could pose a challenge against Casa Pia, especially given the historically low scoring in their head-to-head encounters. Defense is also not their strong suit, conceding around 1.5 goals per match.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Casa Pia Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga, with Casa Pia hosting Tondela. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Casa Pia vs Tondela):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 22 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Casa Pia sit 16th in the standings, fighting to stave off relegation. Their recent form is concerning, with no wins in their last five matches, including four losses and a draw. Offensively, the team struggles significantly, averaging just 0.91 goals per game. This issue is even more pronounced over their last ten games, where they've managed a mere 0.4 goals on average per match. Defensively, they are equally shaky, conceding around 1.75 goals per game. This lack of effectiveness both in attack and defense complicates their situation further.
Match Results: Casa Pia
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 2, draws - 4.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
- matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- wins: 12 vs 5;
- win percentage: 38% vs 16%;
- losses: 14 vs 16;
- draws: 6 vs 11.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 0;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
- Casa Pia won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games against Vitoria SC Guimaraes.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.38, the guests - 0.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 0.88;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
- average total in the tournament: 2.72 vs 2.66;
- average total goals scored: 1.22 vs 0.91;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.53 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.44;
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total at home in the tournament - 1.63;
- Casa Pia: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2.25) vs 0.4 (away - 0.4).
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Casa Pia.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 games against Casa Pia (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.41; at home field - 4.31;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 2.25.
Casa Pia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.88, away - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 5.4.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have taken under 6.5 corners in 8 of last 9 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 9 (56%);
- number of BTTS matches for Casa Pia away - 6 (38%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Casa Pia away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (29/288, 10.1%), 1:1 (29/288, 10.1%);
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:1 (3/16, 18.8%);
- Casa Pia away most often play: 4:0 (3/16, 18.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.14% (odds 7)
1:0 - 11.11% (odds 7)
2:0 - 10.16% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams are struggling with their offensive output. Vitória Guimarães, despite a positive trend over their last five matches, continue to show modest attacking prowess. Casa Pia, on the other hand, have been even less effective up front, averaging just 0.4 goals over their last ten games. The trends clearly point towards low-scoring affairs: the under 2.5 goals bet has hit in eight consecutive head-to-heads between these teams. Therefore, this option appears to be the most reasonable bet.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Casa Pia
in 12 of last 13 away games (Primeira Liga).in last 10 games (Primeira Liga).in last 8 away games.
in 11 of last 12 Vitoria SC Guimaraes games (Primeira Liga).in last 5 Vitoria SC Guimaraes home games (Primeira Liga).
in 11 of last 12 Luis Miguel Branco Godinho games (in the Primeira Liga).in last 8 games against Casa Pia.in last 7 games against Casa Pia (Primeira Liga).in 22 of last 23 games.in 19 of last 20 games (Primeira Liga).in 10 of last 11 home games.in 9 of last 10 home games (Primeira Liga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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