Venezia vs Inter Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
📢 How will this meeting between the two teams at opposite ends of the Serie A table play out? In the ninth round, Venezia - who have collected just three points from eight matches and sit bottom of the table - host league leaders Inter at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. The Milanese side have made a superb start to the season and come into this match as clear favourites. Football has shown more than once, though, that even an obvious gap in quality is no guarantee of victory, particularly if the stronger side underestimates their opponents.
🔁 This prediction is updated on match day. Keep an eye on the Latest News section.
Inter dominate the head-to-head matchup
📊 The head-to-head record between Venezia and Inter over recent years spans five matches, and Inter have won all of them. The two sides met most recently in December 2025, when they were drawn together in the Round of 16 of the Coppa Italia. Inter made light work of Venezia on that occasion, winning 5-1 and progressing to the next round with ease.
Head-to-head statistics Venezia - Inter
Venezia are performing better than their results suggest.
Venice have had precious little to show for their return to Serie A. After eight rounds, they have managed just one win from seven defeats, accumulated only three points, and are firmly rooted to the bottom of the table. It seemed as though their sensational win over Napoli (1-0) two rounds ago might be a turning point that would give the side some confidence. But last weekend Venice were left empty-handed again, losing 0-1 away to Genoa - a side who are themselves far from in good form.
That said, Venice arguably deserved a very different result this time. Even on the road, they looked noticeably more dangerous than their opponents, controlled the ball for 55% of the match and had 19 shots to Genoa's 7. The expected goals figures make the visitors' superiority even clearer - 1.69 xG to 0.39. With those numbers, the team had every reason to expect not just a point but a win. There is one important caveat, however: Venice only really came to life after the break, when they were already chasing the game. It was in the second half that they took the initiative and began creating chances, yet they were unable to convert their advantage. Which raises an obvious question: what stopped them from playing with the same boldness from the first minute?
Match Results: Venezia
Inter maintain title-winning form
Inter's season in Serie A has gone almost perfectly so far. In eight rounds, the Nerazzurri have dropped points just once, drawing away at a remarkable Roma side (2-2). They won all seven of their other matches, which has taken them to 22 points and the top of the table. That said, Inter cannot yet be called the outright leaders: Lazio have exactly the same number of points and are keeping pace with the reigning Italian champions step for step.
In fact, in the previous round, Lazio came close to overtaking Inter in the table. The Milanese side ran into unexpected difficulties at home against Fiorentina, who sit in the lower half of the table. On 65 minutes, the Nerazzurri conceded and found themselves on the brink of a shock defeat. But the team showed character and came back impressively, scoring twice in stoppage time. The second goal did come from a penalty in the 90+7th minute, yet on the balance of play the reigning champions fully deserved the win: 63% possession, 33-7 in shots, 11-2 in shots on target, and 3.53 against 0.36 in xG. With numbers like those, dropping points would have been hard to justify.
Match Results: Inter Milano
Latest news
Venezia
❌ Venezia have four confirmed absentees ahead of the match. Andrea Adorante, Thierry Correia, Bartol Franjić and Marin Šverko remain sidelined with injuries.
Inter Milano
❌ Inter have significant injury concerns, particularly in attack. Lautaro Martínez and Luis Henrique are unavailable due to thigh injuries, while Benjamin Pavard, John Stones and Curtis Jones also remain sidelined.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Venezia: Stanković - Halhal, Moreno, Juan Jesus - Hainaut, Bašić, Pérez, Sohm, Haps - Yeboah, Adams.
📋 Predicted starting XI for Inter: J. Martínez - Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni - Spence, Barella, Sučić, Zieliński, Dimarco - F. Esposito, Thuram.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Although Inter's matches this season have often been high-scoring affairs, there are noticeably fewer goal fests when they play away from home. In 7 of their last 8 away matches, no more than four goals were scored. Given that Venezia will almost certainly set up defensively and Inter will look to win without unnecessary drama, we are not expecting a particularly high-scoring contest. Our bet is Total Goals - Under 4.5 at odds of 1.45*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Inter's away matches in Serie A are rarely heavy on set pieces: no more than ten corners were taken in 8 of their last 9 such games. The most recent head-to-head meeting with Venezia is also telling - just 4 corners were earned between the two sides. We are therefore backing Total Corners - Under 10.5 at odds of 1.45*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Inter have more technically gifted players, which means Venezia will frequently have to stop their opponents' attacks with fouls. The hosts are already among the most ill-disciplined sides in the league, averaging 2.5 bookings per match - the second-highest figure in Serie A. We are therefore backing Venezia to receive more yellow cards.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
While Lautaro Martínez recovers from injury, Marcus Thuram has been doing an excellent job as Inter's main striker. The Frenchman scored two rounds ago against Bologna and then netted a very important goal against Fiorentina last weekend. Venezia's defence is making too many mistakes at the moment, so the forward should have plenty of chances to extend his scoring run. We are backing Marcus Thuram to Score at odds of 2.00*.
😱 Risky Bet
In their last two matches, Inter have been on the brink of dropping points. Against Shakhtar, the Nerazzurri somehow snatched victory even after going down to ten men, and last weekend they produced an incredible comeback against Fiorentina, having trailed right up until the 90th minute. Venezia, who recently beat Napoli at home (1-0), are quite capable of causing problems for the reigning champions - especially if the visitors again take to the pitch in a relaxed frame of mind. Those who enjoy a risk can back Venezia not to lose at odds of 3.70*.
🎯 Safe Bet
Almost every match involving Venezia produces at least two goals - that mark has been reached in 16 of their last 17 matches. If you want to avoid risk, you can back Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.10*.
👀 If the Match Goes Off Script
Although Inter's defence is far from flawless at the moment, a clean sheet cannot be ruled out. After the gruelling match against Fiorentina, the visitors may well decide they cannot afford to underestimate their opponents, come out fully focused for all 90 minutes and keep a clean sheet. The alternative bet is at least one team to fail to score at odds of 2.45*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Inter are clear favourites for this match, which is easy to explain given their recent results and league position. That said, it has to be acknowledged that the Nerazzurri's recent wins have come with considerable difficulty, and their defence continues to raise serious questions. Over eight rounds they have conceded ten goals - more than any other side in Serie A's top five. Venezia, meanwhile, look far from as hopeless in terms of their actual play as their results might suggest: the Lagunari regularly create dangerous chances but have been struggling to convert them.
Given Inter's less-than-reliable defence, we think the hosts are capable of getting on the scoresheet at least once against the league leaders, while we have little doubt about the Milanese side's ability to score themselves. Our main bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Venezia - Inter Milano
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