Roma vs Cagliari Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 October 2026
📢 How will one of the more intriguing fixtures of the ninth round of Serie A end? At the Stadio Olimpico, Roma - who have made a brilliant start to the new season and are yet to lose in the league - host Cagliari. The Romans have been playing quality, consistent football and are deservedly among the leaders of the table. Cagliari, for their part, also produced some pleasant results early on, though they have visibly dropped off in recent times and have been gradually slipping down the standings. Even so, Cagliari are clearly not looking to give up points without a fight, even against an opponent of Roma's calibre.
Roma maintain a clear advantage
📊 Over the last few years, Roma and Cagliari have met 36 times, with the Roman club holding a clear advantage. Roma have won 21 of those matches, while Cagliari have come out on top just 7 times, with eight draws. Last season the two sides each won at home. Cagliari edged Roma 1-0 in the first meeting, though Roma had been down to ten men from the 52nd minute following a red card. In the return fixture, Roma took convincing revenge, winning 2-0 at the Stadio Olimpico.
Head-to-head statistics Roma - Cagliari

Roma keep up the pace
Everyone seems to be talking about Roma's superb start to the season, and there is plenty to praise: the Romans have been playing bright, attacking football, scoring regularly and picking up points consistently. After eight rounds, the Giallorossi remain one of the few Serie A sides yet to suffer a defeat. They have 18 points and sit third in the table, which gives them genuine reason to believe they can challenge for the title.
Even so, Roma have not been entirely without slip-ups. In the previous round they travelled to Napoli and were involved in a six-goal thriller that ended 3-3. For neutral supporters it was a spectacular match, but Roma themselves can hardly have been satisfied: in a title race, wins are what matter most, and dropping two points could prove costly later on.
Roma were also in danger of coming away from Naples with nothing at all. They fell 0-2 behind during the match, then found themselves chasing the game again at 2-3. They only avoided defeat in the 89th minute, when they scored their third goal to level things up. In terms of the football played, though, Roma were at least the equal of their opponents, so the draw cannot be called undeserved.
Match Results: Roma

Cagliari quickly lost their early momentum
In the opening rounds of the new season, Cagliari were rightly regarded as one of the championship's surprise packages. The Sardinians were picking up points with unexpected regularity and even spent some time in the top four of Serie A. However, their results did not always reflect the quality of their play: in a number of matches they found success more through fortunate circumstances than any real superiority over their opponents. Now things are gradually returning to normal. Cagliari have taken just one point from their last three rounds and have dropped to ninth in the table, with 13 points to their name.
Particularly painful was the 0-4 away defeat to Monza. Judging by subsequent results, the team have not managed to recover from that heavy blow. In the previous round, Cagliari again came away empty-handed, losing 0-2 at home to Bologna. Bologna admittedly have a stronger squad, but they themselves had made a very poor start to the season, so with home support behind them, the Sardinians had every reason to expect at least a draw.
Instead, Cagliari produced frankly poor football and offered almost nothing in response to their visitors. The match statistics speak for themselves: Bologna outshot the hosts 10-4, and their advantage in clear-cut chances was even more pronounced, at 3-0. Cagliari struggled badly to create any dangerous situations and were beaten again, which was no more than they deserved.
Match Results: Cagliari Calcio
Latest news
Roma
❌ Roma have four confirmed absentees ahead of the match. Mile Svilar, Manu Koné, Lorenzo Pellegrini and Muhammed Bah remain sidelined through injury, while Paulo Dybala is doubtful due to a shin injury.
Cagliari Calcio
❌ Cagliari have two confirmed absentees. Mattia Felici and Riyad Idrissi remain sidelined with ACL injuries, while Yael Trepy and Harry Winks are doubtful.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Roma make strong starts in home matches against Cagliari, regularly finding the net before the break. In 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches at the Stadio Olimpico in Serie A, Roma scored at least one goal in the first 45 minutes. Given the Giallorossi's impressive attacking form at the start of this season, we're backing Roma to Score in the First Half at 1.50*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Cagliari are among the worst teams in Serie A for corners won. The islanders average just 3.6 corners per match - only three other sides in the division have a lower figure. Away to Roma, who will in all likelihood control the game, it will be even harder for the Sardinians to threaten the opposition goal. Our bet is Cagliari Team Total Corners - Under 3.5 at 1.49*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Roma play with an edge and often resort to physical challenges even when they are in control. In 6 of their last 7 matches, the team picked up at least two yellow cards. Given such a consistent pattern, we expect Roma to collect several bookings against Cagliari as well. Our bet is Roma Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The bookmakers make Roma clear favourites for this match, and it is hard to argue with that. The Romans are noticeably superior to their opponents both in the quality of their players and in their style of play, and the match is at the Stadio Olimpico. Cagliari, meanwhile, are going through a serious slump. Their attack is a particular concern - the islanders have managed just six goals in eight Serie A rounds. Given the visitors' current form and Roma's superiority, we doubt the Sardinians will manage to find the net even once. Our main bet is Cagliari to Score: No. Predicted score: 2-0.