Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔊 Alianza Atlético and Deportivo Garcilaso are both pushing for the upper reaches of the Clausura table. The visitors sit fifth with 25 points, while the hosts are eighth, just three points behind. With the table this tight, a single win could significantly shift both teams' positions. In the first round of the Primera, Garcilaso came out on top (2-1), though the overall head-to-head record favours Alianza. Now the club from Sullana will look to get revenge and put an end to their recent run of poor results.
Alliance have the edge
Deportivo Garcilaso beat Alianza Atlético in the Primera on 11 May 2026, winning 2-1. With shots almost level at 14-13, the hosts were more accurate on target (7-5) and delivered noticeably more corners (7-2).
📊 In eight official meetings, Alianza Atlético have won six and Deportivo Garcilaso two, with no draws. Alianza Atlético's home record is particularly striking: four wins from four matches, with an aggregate score of 8-0.
Head-to-head statistics Alianza Atletico - Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico have picked up 7 wins in their last 10 matches
Alianza Atlético's last Liga 1 match ended in a 1-4 away defeat to Sport Huancayo, with all four goals conceded before half-time. Despite that, they created more attacks than their opponents (109 to 70), but were outshot from inside the penalty area - 4 to 14.
Alianza Atlético are going through a productive run, winning 7 of their last 10 official matches including the Copa de la Liga. The attack has been particularly impressive over that period, averaging more than two goals per game. The defence has not always held up, and two consecutive defeats have slightly dented the overall picture. At home, though, the team have been considerably more consistent - 5 wins from 6 Clausura matches. Even against the backdrop of those recent setbacks, Alianza Atlético remain a serious force in front of their own supporters.
Match Results: Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso: Tough Road Trips
In their previous Primera División home match, Deportivo Garcilaso beat Los Chankas 4-1. The scoreline was backed up by a significant advantage in shots: 24-8 overall and 12-2 on target.
Deportivo Garcilaso have also been putting up decent results - six wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 10 league matches. Their attack has averaged 2.1 goals per game over that run, while their defence has conceded exactly one. Away from home, though, the team have been noticeably more cautious than at home. In 7 of their last 8 away matches, no more than two goals were scored, and Garcilaso themselves have not always been particularly prolific in those games.
Match Results: Deportivo Garcilaso
Match Result Prediction
Alianza Atlético have a strong historical record against Deportivo Garcilaso. In 6 of their last 7 official meetings, including Copa Sudamericana fixtures, it was the club from Sullana who came out on top. The one defeat in that run, however, came in the first leg of the current season. Alianza's home form remains a significant factor, while Garcilaso have managed just three away wins all season. Bet: Alianza Atlético to win at 1.85*.
Safer Bet
Alianza Atlético very rarely lose at home. In 10 of their last 11 home matches the team have at least avoided defeat, regularly picking up points even against strong opponents. Deportivo Garcilaso are also capable of causing the favourites problems, but the visitors' results away from home are considerably more modest. Given the home side's statistics, the probability of another successful home performance remains high. Our pick: Alianza Atlético not to lose at 1.18*.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on the algorithm's calculations using statistics and probabilities, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11.65%), 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The probabilities are fairly close, but 1-1 is the most likely outcome.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Alianza Atlético have a good opportunity to get back to winning ways after two consecutive defeats. The hosts are considerably more assured at home in Sullana, where their productive attack regularly delivers points. Deportivo Garcilaso can also create chances, but away from home the team far less frequently converts that potential. The head-to-head record also supports the idea that Alianza know how to handle this opponent. Predicted score: 2-1. Main bet: Alianza Atlético to win.
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Betting Tips: Alianza Atletico - Deportivo Garcilaso
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in 9 of last 10 away games.in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
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