UTC de Cajamarca vs Cajamarca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔊 This Cajamarca derby carries particular significance for the hosts, who are still fighting to preserve their place in the Primera División. UT de Cajamarca sit 15th in the Clausura with 11 points, while UTC are bottom of the table and have already been mathematically relegated following a 10-point deduction. The hosts need a win, and the weak defences of both sides add an extra dimension in terms of goals.
Almost evenly matched head-to-head encounters
UTC de Cajamarca beat UT de Cajamarca 3-1 in the Liga Cup 26 June 2026. Despite having less possession, the hosts had more shots on target - 9 to 4 - and won more corners - 12 to 8.
📊 In two official meetings, each side has won once, with both matches played away by UT de Cajamarca. Both teams scored in each game, and the aggregate score across the two meetings stands at 4-3 in favour of UTC de Cajamarca.
Head-to-head statistics UTC de Cajamarca - Cajamarca
UT Cajamarca have picked up 3 wins in their last 10 matches.
UT de Cajamarca lost their last Primera match away to Sport Boys, going down 4-2. The visitors had 13 shots to their hosts' 16, but were almost as accurate in terms of shots on target - 4 to 5.
UT de Cajamarca simply cannot get their results going: three wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 10 matches. Their attack has been reasonably productive over that run, averaging 1.7 goals per game. However, the defence has been conceding 2.3 goals per game, regularly undoing the attacking efforts. The situation at home is particularly concerning, with the club having gone without a win since mid-May. Even against the league's bottom side, the hosts will need to work hard to end this prolonged run without a victory.
Match Results: UTC de Cajamarca
UT Cajamarca: nine consecutive defeats
At home against Melgar, UTC de Cajamarca lost 2-1 in their previous Primera match despite outshooting their opponents 19 to 8, including 9 to 5 on target. The visiting goalkeeper made eight saves.
UTC de Cajamarca have completely fallen apart in the Clausura, losing nine matches in a row. Over their last 10 games, they have picked up just one point, averaging one goal scored and 2.1 conceded per match. Away from home in particular, opponents have regularly exploited errors in their defence. The situation is made worse by the fact that the players have already been relegated on sporting results. Now UTC's only aim is to at least end their losing run and see out the remaining rounds with some dignity.
Match Results: UTC de Cajamarca
Match Result Prediction
UTK's away record looks catastrophic - 11 defeats in their last 12 away league matches. The problems arise even against opponents who are themselves in the lower part of the table. UT de Cajamarca average 1.6 goals per game at home this season, though wins have not come easily for them. This time the hosts have the opportunity to take advantage of their opponents' crisis and pick up three points. Bet: UT de Cajamarca to win at 1.67*.
Corners Prediction
UTC de Cajamarca don't earn many corners away from home. In their last six away matches, they have had no more than three corners. Their seasonal average on the road is 3.8 corners per game. Their current form also gives little reason to expect sustained pressure on the opposition goal. Our pick: UTC de Cajamarca Team Total Corners - Under 3.5 at 1.69*.
Safer Bet
UTC de Cajamarca's defence has had virtually no success away from home. In all 15 of their away matches in the current championship, they have conceded at least one goal - and the situation is no better against sides in the lower half of the table. UTC de Cajamarca create chances fairly regularly, so even their current attacking output should be enough to get on the scoresheet. We're backing UTC de Cajamarca Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines for this match are 1-1 (10.47%), 2-1 (9.14%) and 1-0 (8.03%). All three outcomes show similar probabilities, pointing to an expected contest between two evenly matched sides.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams make defensive errors far too often, so even in poor form they are capable of producing a high-scoring match. UT de Cajamarca need to be proactive, as a win is directly tied to their chances of staying in the Primera. UTC no longer face the same pressure, but they can exploit the vulnerability in the hosts' defence. However, the visitors' current form also gives UT de Cajamarca reason to expect a few goals of their own. Predicted score: 2-1. Main bet: Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: UTC de Cajamarca - UTC de Cajamarca
in 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).
in last 6 home games (Primera Division).
in 11 of last 12 away games (Primera Division).in last 9 games (Primera Division).in last 7 games.in 6 of last 7 away games.in last 9 home games.in last 8 home games (Primera Division).Comparison of Teams Stats
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