Sporting vs Maritimo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 October 2026
🔊 Sporting hammered Marítimo in the League Cup back in December 2022, winning 5-0. Now a Lisbon fixture opens the quarter-final stage, with a place in the Final Four in Leiria on the line. Marítimo, meanwhile, have conceded in nine consecutive away matches. Can the hosts do it again?
Head-to-Head
Sporting beat Marítimo 2-1 in their most recent Primeira Liga meeting. The home side's dominance was reflected in the statistics: 15 shots to two and 74% possession.
Across 40 head-to-head meetings, Sporting have won 25 times and Marítimo seven, with eight draws. The difference is particularly pronounced at Sporting's ground, where the hosts have won 18 of the 22 meetings played there, with Marítimo winning just two.
Head-to-head statistics Sporting - Maritimo
Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
Sporting lost to Académico de Viseu (1-2) in their last Primeira Liga match, despite having 28 shots to their opponents' nine and outperforming them on expected goals - 2.87 to 0.78. Of those 28 shots, only four were on target.
On Sunday, Sporting suffered their first defeat in the Primeira Liga, losing at home to sixth-placed Académico de Viseu at the José Alvalade. Their defence has been the problem: they have conceded five goals in their last two home league matches. The consequences were most costly in the Champions League, where Rui Borges' side lost to Austrian club LASK (2-3). "Three turnovers we couldn't afford gave away three goals," the manager explained.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon
Maritimo Madeira Team Overview
Maritimo lost to Vitória Guimarães (0-5) in their last Primeira Liga match. The score was 0-1 at half-time, and across the whole game Maritimo managed ten shots, only two of which were on target.
Maritimo began the Primeira Liga season with two wins, and that was where the good news ended. In the next seven league matches, Mitchell van der Gaag's side picked up just two points and currently sit 14th. Friday brought a hammering: the Madeiran club lost 5-0 to Vitória Guimarães. Maritimo had not conceded five goals in a league match since September 2022. Their attack has offered little relief either - in nine Primeira Liga matches they have scored just nine times. The one bright spot came in the Taça de Portugal, where the club came through against Alcochete, winning away by a single goal.
Match Results: Maritimo Madeira
Prediction for the 1st half
Sporting have scored before half-time in 8 of their last 9 home matches. The hosts are generally free-scoring. We're expecting Sporting to find the net in the first half. The bet is Sporting Team Total Goals 1st Half - Over 0.5.
Match Result Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 40;
- home team wins - 25, away team wins - 7, draws - 8.
- Sporting Lisbon have won in 13 of last 14 home games against Maritimo Madeira.
Total Goals Prediction
Fewer than three goals have been scored in just one of Sporting's last 11 home matches. The hosts score freely, and Marítimo concede a lot away from home. We're expecting at least three goals. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 40;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
- Sporting Lisbon have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
Correct Score Prediction
The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (10.75%), 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.72%). Of these, 1-0 has a slight edge, but the gap between the top three is minimal.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Sporting have scored in 18 consecutive matches. Marítimo's defence is unlikely to stop an attack of that quality: the Madeira side have conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches. That said, Sporting themselves are not always reliable at the back - both teams have scored in 6 of Sporting's last 7 matches. We expect the Lisbon side to reach the Final Four, but to concede along the way. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Sporting Lisbon - Maritimo Madeira
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