New York Red Bulls vs New-York City Prediction 27 September 2025
🔊 The New York derby promises to be intense and thrilling. New York Red Bulls, aiming to climb the standings, will host New York City FC. Both teams have shown mixed results in recent matches: the home side has alternated between wins and losses, while the visitors have displayed confident performances on the road. It will be intriguing to see if the hosts can leverage home support to halt the visitors' successful run. Tactical maneuvers by the coaches and the form of key players will be crucial in this matchup.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 17 May 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (New York City were the home side):
- possession: 35% vs 65%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
📊 Analytical review of past official games between New York Red Bulls and New York City:
- 34 matches played;
- home wins: 17, away wins: 13, draws: 4;
- goals scored (home/away): 54 to 42;
- average total goals per match: 2.82.
Head-to-head statistics New York Red Bulls - New-York City
NY Red Bulls Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the MLS, with Montreal Impact hosting New York Red Bulls. The game concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (New York Red Bulls vs Montreal Impact):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 19 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
The New York Bulls currently sit 10th in the standings, a position that doesn't fully reflect their potential. Over their last five matches, they've secured two wins, suffered two losses, and drawn once, showcasing an inconsistent form with frequent changes in results. Their most recent match ended in victory, but it was only their third win in MLS over the last ten games. The hosts have an average scoring rate of 1.45 goals per game, yet they often struggle with converting chances-having scored more than 1.5 goals against today's opponent only once in their last eight encounters.
Match Results: NY Red Bulls
New-York City Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the MLS, where New York City hosted Inter Miami. The match ended with a 0-4 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (New York City vs Inter Miami):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 22 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 8.
The "Citizens," on the other hand, sit in fifth place and are eager to solidify their position among the league's frontrunners. The visitors' form is impressive, with six victories in their last ten matches underscoring this. Despite a positive away record, currently extending over five games, New York City's attack seldom displays high productivity, averaging just 1.48 goals per game this season. An intriguing fact: in their last head-to-head encounter, the club secured a 2-0 victory over the "Red Bulls."
Match Results: New-York City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 13, draws - 4.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs New-York City
- matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- wins: 12 vs 16;
- win percentage: 39% vs 52%;
- losses: 12 vs 10;
- draws: 7 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 0.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.59, the guests - 1.24;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.82;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs New-York City
- average total in the tournament: 2.74 vs 2.74;
- average total goals scored: 1.45 vs 1.48;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.74 vs 0.48;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 1;
- NY Red Bulls: average total at home in the tournament - 2.27;
- New-York City: average total away in the tournament - 1.27;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 1.5 (away - 1.67).
- New-York City have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 away games against NY Red Bulls.
Prediction on corners
NY Red Bulls: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.03; at home field - 3.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 3.
New-York City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5, away - 3.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 4.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.64 (2.32 for home team and 2.32 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.65 (2.41 for home team and 2.24 for away team).
NY Red Bulls: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.42; at home - 2.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 1.75.
New-York City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.81, away - 1.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; away - 2.33.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs New-York City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls at home - 9 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for New-York City away - 7 (47%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for New-York City away - 2 (67%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming derby, expect a fiercely contested match with a low goal count from both sides due to their current attacking stats and recent head-to-head history-both teams consistently score fewer than two goals against each other, whether at home or away. Considering the form of the "Citizens," who rarely lose on the road, and the current statistical trend towards low scoring from both teams, a well-founded prediction would be to bet on New York City's individual total under 1.5 goals. This bet is supported by the visitors' current trend.
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Betting Tips: NY Red Bulls - New-York City
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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